Top FPL GW7 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW7 Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some big scores where 3 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points last week. 

• Dwight Mcneil – 2 Goals, 3 Bonus 15 Points
• Antoine Semenyo – 1 Goal, 7 Points
• Fabio Carvalho – 1 Assist, 1 Bonus – 6 Points

That makes it 18/36 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season. In this FPL GW7 Differentials article, we will be highlighting 4 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 2 Ultra Differentials (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Wednesday 2nd October, 2024. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide not to go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW7 blogs including Scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW7 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Brennan Johnson – Spurs – 6.4 Mil Mid – 1.6 % TSB  

• The In Form Man for a Spurs team which is finally starting to click. He has 3 Attacking returns in the last 2 Games and has put up an xGI of more than 0.5 in these 2 Games.
• He has had 18 Shots in the Box, 6 on Target, and has been presented with 4 Big Chances. Confidence is also high after cementing his place on the right wing, with Kulusevski now playing in Midfield. 

• Brighton have some defensive injuries with Van Hecke out injured and were carved open by Chelsea multiple times, because of their High Line. Spurs are one of the worst teams to face when playing with a High Line and Johnson can fully take advantage this Gameweek.

Further Read: FPL GW7 Tips – Palmer, Solanke Planning, Captaincy and More

Leandro Trossard – Arsenal – 6.9 Mil Mid – 2.2 % TSB

• With Odegaard injured, it is Trossard & Martinelli who are profiting in terms of minutes now. Trossard has actually been playing alongside Havertz as a 2^nd Forward and getting into good positions in the center of the box.
• 8 Shots in the box, 4 Shots on Target, 2 Big Chances, and an xG of 1.45 in only 300 minutes, Trossard also has a decent Assist threat with 5 Key Passes and 2 Big Chances created. He continued his good from the weekend by assisting Havertz in the UEFA Champions League against PSG.
• Southampton have been the whipping boys this season with only 1 Point from 6 Games and 12 Goals conceded and no clean sheets. They are the team to target for your attackers every week. Trossard could continue his great form this Gameweek.

Matchup alert: Southampton have conceded 23 chances centrally which is the 2nd worst amongst all teams so far this season making it a good matchup for Trossard.

Further Read: FPL GW7 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Jarrod Bowen – West Ham –  7.4 Mil Mid – 5.5 % TSB

• Although West Ham have had a bad start to the Season, Bowen has got 3 Attacking returns in the 1^st 6 Gameweeks. With the fixtures about to turn now for West Ham, Bowen should start appearing in more teams after a couple of good Gameweeks. The best time is to get on him at the start of the good run and Ipswich at home marks the beginning of a decent 5 Gameweek run for West Ham.
• Speaking of Ipswich, they have conceded the 2^nd most xGC and the 3^rd most Non Penalty xGA. Ipswich will always come to play and not just defend with 10 men. This could present Bowen with some good opportunities to haul this Gameweek.
• Bowen has decent stats this season. 4 Shots on Target and 7 Shots in the Box. A Decent 14 Key Passes which underlines his Assist threat as well.

Further Read: FPL GW7 Tips – Palmer, Solanke Planning, Captaincy and More

Matheus Cunha – Wolves – 6.5 Mil Foward – 2.3 % TSB

• Wolves fixtures are about to turn very soon and they have got a sea of Green fixtures after facing Manchester City next Gameweek. Even in these tough fixtures, Cunha has already scored 2 Goals including a goal in his last away match at Aston Villa.

• Cunha is the leading Goal Threat for Wolves with 16 shots, 11 Shots in the Box, and 7 Shots on Target.
• His 9 Key passes are also more than any Wolves player and indicate his creativity in the team. An all-around player categorized as a Striker in FPL is what we want to have multiple avenues to FPL points.
• Brentford’s defensive numbers don’t look good at all and they have conceded the 2^nd most Shots in the League with 111, 3^rd most Shots In the Box with 72, and joint 2^nd for Shots on Target with 40. A great fixture for Cunha to exploit.

Further Read: FPL GW7 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

FPL GW7 Ultra Differential Picks (Under 1 % Ownership)

Evanilson – Bournemouth – 5.9 Mil Forward – 0.6 % TSB  

• Finally getting off the mark against Southampton, Evanilson will be hoping to make it 2 consecutive Gameweeks by scoring against Leicester who are bottom of most of the defensive stats this Season.
• Leicester have conceded the most Shots (115), most Shots in the Box (89), most Shots on Target (43), Most Headed chances (25), Most number of Big Chances (25) and the most xGC (13.04). 
• Evanilson has underperformed his xG (2.33) so far, by scoring only 1 Goal. He has had good stats with 5 Shots on Target and 8 Shots in the Box. Now is his time to reverse this trend against a leaky Leicester backline.

Amongst forwards priced 7.0 Million and below, Evanilson has the joint highest xGI(2.7) in the first six games.

Further Read: FPL GW7 Tips – Palmer, Solanke Planning, Captaincy and More

Stephy Mavididi – Leicester – 5.3 Mil Mid – 0.3 % TSB

• Mavididi is slowly but surely playing his way back into the Starting 11 after a couple of benchings at the beginning of the season. Already scored 2 Goals this season, Mavididi has been Leicester’s 2^nd most attacking player after Vardy.
• Mavididi also has penalties when Vardy is off the pitch, so that could be a bonus in some matches. Mavdidi also has a good assist threat with an xA of 1 generated so far (4 Key Passes and 1 Big Chance created)
• Leicester have a great run in the next 4 Gameweeks where they play Bournemouth, Southampton, Forest and Ipswich and they will surely be targeting close to 6 points from these 4 Games. Much will depend on the goal threat of Vardy & Mavididi in these fixtures.

That’s it for Gameweek 7. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 7.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW7

FPL GW7 Tips – Palmer, Solanke Planning, Captaincy and More
FPL Gameweek 7 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL Gameweek 7 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW7 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Top FPL GW7 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW7 Deadline
Vote for AllAboutFPL in the 2024 Football Content Awards Finals
FPL GW7 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW7 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 7 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

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