Top FPL GW15 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article had a bad week where only 1 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points. This week, we will be aiming to bounce back with some strong scores this Gameweek.

• Maxence Lacroix – 1 Clean Sheet, 2 Defcon – 8 Points

That makes it 32/84 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this FPL GW15 Differentials article, we will be highlighting 4 Player who are less than 10% Owned and 2 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Friday 5^th December, 2025. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW15 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW15 Differential Picks

Pedro Neto – Chelsea – £7.2 Midfielder – 8.5 % TSB

• Over the last seven gameweeks, Neto is the highest scoring midfielder with 47 points(4 goals and 2 assists), only 3 less than Haaland(50 pts). Yet he’s still owned by less than 10% of FPL managers!

• He’ll be facing a leaky Bournemouth defence in GW15 who have conceded 13 goals in the last six games(Joint highest along with Leeds) and an excellent differential option to consider.
• Neto’s xGI of 3.4 during the last seven games is the 4th highest amongst midfielders.
• He’s got both goal scoring and assist potential, over the last seven games he’s created 10 chances including 2 big chances for his teammates and also has had 3 big chances for himself.

Further Read: FPL GW15 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Bruno Guimares – Newcastle United – £6.8 Midfielder – 6.6 % TSB

• Guimaraes is the 3^rd Highest scoring Midfielder and only trails Semenyo by 9 points. The reason for his climb up the ladder is due to his consistency in securing points in Home Matches. Over his last 4 Games, he has 3 Double Digit returns (10, 10 and 14) and even a benching in his last home game in midweek, could not stop him from getting FPL Points as he scored a goal and got 7 Points. This week, Newcastle will face Burnley at home. Surely another good score to follow.
• Due to his benching, Guimaraes is odds on favorite to start against Burnley. He has scored 4 Goals and got 4 Assists this season, out of which 3 Goals and 3 Assists have come in the last 4 Home Games. His stats are decent too, with 5 Shots on Target, 8 Shots in the Box and 4 Big Chances. He has played 17 key passes and when starting usually plays 90 minutes. He also has a chance of picking up Defcon points occasionally.
• Burnley are ranked Bottom for all defensive Metrics such as Shots conceded, Shots in the Box conceded, Shots on Target conceded, Big Chances conceded, Non Penalty xGC, xGC and have conceded the 2^nd most Goals in the League (28). With Newcastle’s terrific home form, this could be another bad day at the office for the Clarets.

Further Read: FPL GW15 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Stats & Eye Test

Bart Verbruggen – Brighton – £4.4 Goal Keeper – 4.7 % TSB

• Nick Pope’s injury means many FPL managers are on the look out for a new goalkeeper and Verbruggen could be an excellent differential choice.
• Brighton have a decent run of upcoming fixtures and in the last six games, the Seagulls have kept three clean sheets(Joint 2nd highest in the league during the period) and have conceded only 9 goals(4 of them in their last game) which indicated they have largely been solid recently except ofcourse the last game vs Villa when they failed to capitalize on a 2-0 lead and ended up losing 4-2 in the end.
• In the last six games, Verbruggen has also made 21 saves(4th highest in the league and only six shy of Areola who is top with 27 saves.
• He also rotates nicely with Dubravka, so you can bench Verbruggen in GW16 & GW18 when they face Liverpool and Arsenal away. Burnley play Fulham & Everton at home in those two gameweeks which are decent fixtures.
• The clean sheet odds are healthy too, Brighton have a minimum of 40% chance of clean sheet in GW15(40%), GW17(42%) & GW19(40%)

Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Matheus Cunha – Manchester United – £7.9 Midfielder – 3.6 % TSB

• Since joining Manchester United, Cunha has underwhelmed with small injuries. This Gameweek, Cunha returns to his former club Wolves. Wolves are ranked as the 3^rd bottom team for Non Penalty xG and are the only team yet to keep a Clean Sheet this season. They have conceded the most Goals in the League (29) and are yet to win a single win so far this season.
• Cunha has decent stats with 10 Shots on Target, 10 Shots in the Box. He has also created 10 key passes. He is yet to convert these stats into attacking returns but that may change soon with more guaranteed minutes after Mbeumo & Amad’s departure for AFCON. United have a great run of fixtures and play Wolves twice in the next 7 Gameweeks, along with Burnley and Leeds and teams like Bournemouth and Newcastle who struggle away from home.

Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Ultra Differential Picks for FPL GW15 (Under 1 % Ownership)

Lewis Hall – Newcastle United – £5.2 Defender – 1.0 % TSB

• Hall has now started 3 games in a row and his minutes are gradually increasing. He has got an Assist and earned Defcon points in the last Game. Last season, Hall was the best Newcastle defender to own when he played regularly. Newcastle are ranked 4^th best for xGC this season behind Arsenal, City and Liverpool.
• Newcastle have the 2^nd best Clean Sheet odds this Gameweek as they face a Burnley team which is ranked in the Bottom 3 for Shots on Target  and Big Chances and xG. They are also ranked the Bottom club for Shots and Shots in the Box. They have scored only 15 Goals (5^th worst in the League). Hall will play Burnley twice and the other 2 promoted teams and Wolves in the next 8 Gameweeks, which could mean Hall is a long term hold with good Clean sheet security and a decent chance of attacking returns.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 15 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell

Nicolò Savona – Nottingham Forest – £4.5 Defender – 0.2% TSB

• If you’re looking for a cheap defender Savona is the one, Forest defence has improved under Dyche and they have lost only one of their last five games(3 wins including one against Liverpool in GW12)
• Starting from GW9, Savona has played 90 minutes in all PL games under Dyche and has scored two goals as well during the period.
• Savona has registered 1.42 xGI in the last six games which is the 3rd highest amongst defenders during the period only behind Nick O’Rielly, Krejci.

• Everton and Spurs, the next two opponents for Nottingham Forest have been struggling for goals. Everton have scored only six goals in the last six games, only Wolves(2 goals) have scored fewer in the league during the period.

That’s it for Gameweek 15. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 15.

Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW15

Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
Top FPL Gameweek 15 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW15 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW15 Predicted Lineups, Injuries, & Press Conference Updates
FPL GW15 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
FPL GW15 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Stats & Eye Test
FPL Gameweek 15 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
FPL GW15 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW15 blogs,including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 15 of the 2025/26 FPL Season?

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