Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 35 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. We head into the deadline after the news that we’ll not have any more double gameweeks this season. There are still four gameweeks left to gain ranks, and captaincy plays a key role. The popular captaincy options this week include Mbeumo, Salah, Marmoush, Bowen, and Isak. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics!
This season the metrics has a 24/34 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 + 6 + 16 + 58 + 40 + 28 + 12 + 30 + 14 + 6 + 4 + 22 + 8 + 16 = 650 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW35 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, free hit drafts, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW35 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW35 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Mbeumo tops the captaincy poll this week with 32% of the votes ahead of facing Man United at home. Salah is 2nd and will be playing against his old team, Chelsea, at Stamford Bridge. Marmoush is third with 18% of the votes and will be up against high-flying Wolves. The top five in the captaincy poll is completed by Bowen and Isak.
Further Read: FPL GW35 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 35 Captain picks
The Egyptian king tops the table with an xG of 3.85 in the last six games, including 9 big chances, which is the highest amongst the five players. He’s also created 18 chances for his teammates, close to three chances every game.
Marmoush is 2nd in the table with an xG of 3.64 in the last six games and is 2nd for big chances(5). He’s also had a healthy 15 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Isak is 3rd with an xG of 3.49, 19 goal attempts in the box(highest amongst the five players), and 9 big chances (Joint highest with Salah) in the last six games.
Brentford star Mbeumo is only fourth with an xG of 1.91 and has had only two big chances. He’s created 15 chances for his teammates, 2nd highest amongst the five players.
Bowen is last with an xG of 1.42 over the last six games, he’s also created 8 chances for his team mates during the period.
Further Read: FPL GW35 Tips and Top Transfer Targets to Consider
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool take the first spot with an xG of 13.71 in the last six games and have had 95 shots inside the box and 26 big chances during the period.
Newcastle are second with 12.10 xG over the last six games, they have also had 67 goal attempts in the box and 25 big chances.
Man City are 3rd with 11.64 xG, 25 big chances, which is only one less than Liverpool, and 57 goal attempts in the box.
Brentford is 4th with 7.69 xG, the Bees have had 17 big chances and 51 goal attempts in the box.
West Ham are last for xG amongst the five teams, registering 6.55 xG in the six games. They have also had a decent 48 shots inside the box and 12 big chances.
Further Read: FPL GW35 Players to Target for the Final Four Weeks(35-38)
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW35
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Man City are first with a 87% odds of at least 1 goal and 45% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW35 vs Wolves(H)
Brentford are 2nd with a 79% odds of scoring at least one goal and 33% odds of scoring odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW35 vs Man United(H).
Newcastle have a 78% odds of scoring at least one goal and 25% odds of scoring odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW35 vs Brighton(A).
Liverpool have a 73% odds of scoring at least one goal and 20% odds of scoring odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW35 vs Chelsea(A)
West Ham have a 68% odds of scoring at least one goal and 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals as they prepare to face Spurs at home.
All three of Newcastle, Liverpool and West Ham are tied 3rd with pretty similar odds.
Further Read: Top FPL GW35 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 35 Captain Picks
In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah is first for projections this week with 63% anytime returns & a 7.0 points projection in FPL GW35.
Isak is second this week with 60% anytime returns & a 5.6 points projection in FPL GW35.
Marmoush, meanwhile, is 3rd and has a 56% anytime returns & a 5.5 points projection in GW35 against Wolves at home.
Mbeumo is 4th with 52% anytime returns and a points prediction of 5.4. Bowen is last with a 46% anytime returns and a points prediction of 5.0.
Further Read: FPL GW35 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 35 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of 6, Isak is 2nd with a CRF of 10. Marmoush is closely behind Isak with a CRF of 11 and takes the 3rd spot. Mbeumo is 4th with a CRF of 14, and Bowen is 5th with a CRF of 16.
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW35:
FPL GW35 Players to Target for the Final Four Weeks(35-38)
FPL GW35 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 35 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW35 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW35 Tips and Top Transfer Targets to Consider
GW35 Draft Fantasy Punts and Hidden Gems
FPL GW35 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW35 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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