Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks & metrics blog. Salah who topped our captaincy metrics last week returned with 18 pts. This week there are strong captaincy candidates with good fixtures including Isak, Palmer, Salah, Cunha and Haaland which makes captaincy this week interesting. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics for FPL GW19.
This season the metrics has an 12/18 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 = 312 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW19 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW19 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW19 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Salah is on top of the captaincy poll for GW19 with a whopping 52% of the votes and will be up against West Ham on Sunday. King Mo has blanked only twice so far this season and has registered 11 double-digit hauls already. Palmer is 2nd in the captaincy poll ahead of a juicy game against Ipswich this week.
Haaland who disappointed owners in GW18 with a penalty miss is 3rd in the poll this week and will be facing a leaky Leicester City defence. The top five is completed by Cunha and Isak. Cunha continues to defy underlying numbers and is consistently returning points, he’ll be up against a Spurs side without a single senior central defender following the injury concern with Dragusin.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 19 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 19 Captain picks
Salah comes out on top for underlying numbers with an xG of 7.12 and 30 Shots inside the Box from the last 6 games. He has also had 11 Big Chances during this run, the highest amongst all players.
Salah has had more big chances(11) than the whole Wolves(10) team in the last six games!
Palmer is 2nd with an xG of 4.61 and is also second for chances created(16) amongst the five players in the last six games.
Isak is very close to Palmer & takes the third spot in the underlying numbers table with 4.49 xG in the last six games. He’s also created an impressive 17 chances over the previous six games & has had 15 goal attempts in the box.
Haaland is only 4th with an xG of 2.11 in the last six games. Man City’s poor form is seen in Haaland’s number who consistently used to have an xG of close to 0.8-1.0 per game.
Cunha comes 5th for underlying numbers with just 0.85 xG & 5 Shots inside the Box in the last six games. He has also not had a big chance during the period. The Brazilian attacker is the definition of an in-form player outperforming his underlying numbers consistently.
Further Read: Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool top the Team Underlying Data with 18.38 xG over the last 6 matches which is the highest amongst all teams by a huge margin. The Reds have also had 91 shots inside the box and 31 big chances during the period.
Chelsea are 2nd in the table with an xG of 14.47, the Blues are second for shots inside the box(79) & big chances(27).
Newcastle rank 3rd for xG amongst the five teams with the Geordies registering 12.48 xG in the six games. They have also had a healthy 69 shots inside the box and 21 big chances.
Man City are 4th with an xG of only 8.77 & they have had 14 big chances & 56 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Wolves rank fifth for Expected Goals in the last six games with 5.96 xG, 10 Big Chances, and only 39 Shots inside the box.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 19 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW19
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Man City are top with a whopping 91% odds of at least 1 goal and 55% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW18 vs Leicester(A). The odds are not a huge surprise as Leicester have been not defensively great under new manager Ruud van Nistelrooy conceding 13 goals in five games(Most in the PL for the period GW14-18)
Liverpool are second & have a 90% odds of at least 1 goal and 50% odds of scoring 2+ goals against the Hammers in GW19.
Chelsea are 3rd and have a 90% odds of at least 1 goal and 45% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Ipswich(A) in GW19.
Newcastle are 5th and have a 77% odds of at least 1 goal and 23% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Man United(A) in GW19.
Wolves are last with 73% odds of at least 1 goal and 20% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Spurs(A).
Further Read: Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Palmer is top for projections this week with 67% anytime returns & a 7.6 points projection in FPL GW19 vs Ipswich in Portman Road.
Salah is 2nd for projection this week with 66% anytime returns & a 7.6 points projection in FPL GW19 against West Ham.
Haaland is 3rd for projection this week with 63% anytime returns & a 76.4 points projection against the Foxes.
Isak has an anytime returns projection of 66% and a points projection of 6.6 in GW19 vs Man United & is ranked 4th in the table.
Cunha is last with a 49% anytime return & a 5.5 points projection in GW19 vs Spurs(A).
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 19 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 19 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of six, Palmer is close in the 2nd spot with a CRF of 8. Haaland is 3rd with a CRF of 11, and Isak is 4th with a CRF of 14. Cunha is last in the captaincy metrics for GW19 with a CRF of 20.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW19:
FPL Gameweek 19 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW19 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW19 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW19 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 19 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?
We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Scout picks, Gameweek preview, Captaincy metrics, FPL GW19 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook and keep our notification ON.
AK - Anurag Khetan
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