Top FPL GW11 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

In this FPL GW11 Differential Picks article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Thursday 7th November, 2024. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including Scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW11 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Son Heung Min – Spurs – 9.9 Mid – 6.2 % TSB

• Son has always delivered a big haul, whenever we have included him in this Differential Article. His underlying stats have always been ok but he has always exceeded his output compared to his expected stats, as he is one of the best finishers in the League. Add to this, that he is also on penalties.
• Spurs dominate the Attacking stats as they have accumulated the most xG so far and have scored the most Goals in the League. They are placed 2^nd for Shots in the Box and Shots on Target. They face an Ipswich side that has conceded the most xGC so far and the 2^nd most Goals in the League. Ipswich concede around 5 Big Chances per game which makes this a tasty game for any Spurs attacker.
• Son has 6 Shots on Target, 7 Shots in the Box, and 3 Big Chances. He has created 5 Big Chances and played 17 Key passes so far this season. According to me, if Son plays close to 90 minutes, he is the Best Captain option this Gameweek.

Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 11 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Bruno Fernandes – Man United – 8.2 Mid – 7.7 % TSB –

• He finally delivered big for his FPL owners with a Double-Digit Haul after underperforming the most for around 10 Gameweeks. Bruno is nailed to start and play almost 90 minutes in the majority of games. He is the first-choice penalty taker as well as being on some set-pieces. This gives Bruno a lot of avenues to points. Add to that Manchester United’s New Manager Bounce, he could be a great pick for the next 3 Gameweeks.
• Leicester have scored in every game but their Defensive stats are actually terrible. They are 18^th for xGC (19.3) and 17^th for Goals conceded (18 Goals). They have conceded the most Shots in the Box and have conceded the 2^nd most Shots overall. They have also conceded the 2^nd most Big Chances and the most Headed shots in the League (more on another pick because of this later)
• Bruno has great stats but he has underperformed big time under Ten Hag. He has had a xG of 3.74 which is almost the same as Mbuemo (who has scored 8 Goals) and an xA of 1.79 which is slightly more than the xA of Salah (who has had 5 Assists). Thus if the Manchester United players can start converting these chances being supplied by Bruno, he could become a monster FPL asset over the upcoming Gameweeks.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Antoine Semenyo – Bournemouth –  5.6 Mid – 8.6 % TSB – 

• Now is the time to start playing Antoine Semenyo if you had him on your FPL benches so far or if you want to buy him for the upcoming brilliant run for Bournemouth. Brentford and Wolves are the only 2 sides that have not kept a single Clean sheet so far this season. They have conceded the Most Shots, the 2^nd most Shots in the box, the most shots on Target, and the 3^rd most Goals. 
• This could be a dream fixture for Semenyo and any other Bournemouth attacking asset because of the above factors. Frank’s side have conceded the most shots in the league from their centre and the third most from their right. That should be a good match-up for both Semenyo and Evanilson.
• Semenyo has had 42 Shots, 28 Shots in the Box, and 10 Shots on Target. He is basically a Shot Merchant. His creativity stats are decent too with 3 Big Chances created and playing 13 Key passes. He looks to have become Bournemouth’s Talisman and could have a great run with the upcoming fixtures.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Tips – Best Spurs Assets, Hold or Sell Watkins & More

Matthijs De Ligt – Man United – 5.0 Def – 4.7 % TSB –

• Manchester United have kept 4 Clean Sheets so far this season (joint 2^nd most) and will face 3 of the 4 teams with the lowest XG so far in the next 3 Gameweeks. United also tend to keep things tight against these Lower table teams. Add in the New Manager bounce and they should do well quite well (hopefully).
• Leicester have conceded the 2^nd most Big Chances and the most Headed shots in the League. We all know De Ligt’s threat in the air. There could be a big Clean Sheet and Goal haul coming soon in the next few Gameweeks. Remember De Ligt has already scored a Goal and kept a Clean sheet against Southampton this season.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats

Jorgen Strand Larsen – Wolves – 5.6 Foward – 2.5 % TSB

• Southampton tend to concede a large number of Big Chances (3^rd worst in the League) and they also allow the 2^nd most shots in the League from their left-hand side. They are also 2^nd worst in the League for defending set pieces and all these things play into Strand Larsen’s hand (or head) as he is a big threat from set pieces. He also averages the most big chances for Wolves and could find some joy against Southampton’s defence in a game Wolves have to win.
• Strand Laresen for 1.1 million cheaper than Cunha has the same number of Shots on Target (10) and has more xG (2.36 to 2.15 for Cunha) He struggles in the creative part but as said previously has got 6 Big Chances compared to Cunha’s 2 as he leads the line for Wolves as the Central striker. A nice option to buy as a 3^rd striker if you cannot reach to Cunha’s price range.

Further Read: FPL GW11 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

FPL GW11 Ultra Differential Pick (Under 1 % Ownership)

Evanilson – Bournemouth – 5.9 Forward – 0.9 % TSB – 

• Brentford and Wolves are the only 2 sides that have not kept a single Clean sheet so far this season. They have conceded the Most Shots, the 2^nd most Shots in the box, the most shots on Target, and the 3^rd most Goals. 
• This could be a good fixture for Evanilson and any other Bournemouth attacking asset because of the above factors. Frank’s side have conceded the most shots in the league from their centre and the third most from their right. That should be a good match-up for Evanilson.
• Evanilson has slowly started getting regular attacking returns with 3 Goals and 1 Assist so far this season. He has had 8 Shots on Target, 14 Shots in the box, and 5 Big Chances. He has a healthy xG of 3.01 and should profit from the great run of fixtures Bournemouth have coming up.

That’s it for Gameweek 11. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 11.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW11

FPL GW11 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW11 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL GW11 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 11 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Sleeper Draft Fantasy GW11 – Best Punts and Hidden Gems
FPL GW11 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats

Link to all our FPL GW11 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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