Welcome to the GW6 captaincy metrics blog. Salah who topped our captaincy metrics last week picked up an assist but did not haul. Captaincy this week is interesting with a couple of good options to consider. The Top FPL Gameweek 6 Captain picks include Haaland, Salah, Watkins, Saka & Luis Diaz. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics this week.
Will it be Haaland or Salah or someone else?
This season the metrics has a 5/5 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 = 116 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
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FPL GW6 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW6 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 6 Captain picks
For the first time in a while, we have got five players who have all been in form over the last few games. Haaland & Saka haven’t blanked so far this season, Salah has blanked only once, Diaz is in the form of his life & Ollie is back scoring for fun.
Haaland is running away with the lead four weeks into the season with an xG of 5.81 & 10 big chances in the opening five games. His 24 shots inside the box is also the highest amongst all players.
Watkins is 2nd with an xG of 3.10, 10 big chances & 13 shots in the box, he’s also joint highest amongst all players for big chances which is brilliant considering he was off the pace in the first two games.
Salah who was unlucky not to return big in GW5 is third in the table with an xG of 2.57, the Liverpool attacker has had 5 big chances and 16 shots in the box. He’s also created 12 chances which is the joint highest amongst all players.
Fellow Liverpool attacker Luis Diaz is a close behind in the fourth spot with an xG of 2.50 and has had 7 big chances which is two more than Salah. He’s also created 8 chances & registered 11 shots inside the box.
Bukayo Saka is only 5th with an xG of 1.45 with 10 shots inside the box & three big chances. He’s however joint top amongst all players for chances created(12). It’s also worth noting that he was subbed off at Half time vs Man City after Arsenal were down to 10 players following Trossard’s red card.
Further Read: FPL GW6 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Man City’s numbers are simply extraordinary with a whopping xG of 11.46 in their opening five games.
Liverpool are 2nd with an xG of 10.10. however, they edge out Man City for shots inside the box(63) & big chances(21)
Aston Villa have made a strong start to the season and are 4th with an xG of 8.70, 44 shots inside the box & 21 big chances, they have had 3 more big chances than Man City and level with Liverpool for big chances. Ollie Watkins has had nearly half of those big chances!
Arsenal are last with an xG of 5.66 in the opening five games with only 14 big chances & 38 shots inside the box. The Gunner’s numbers are understandably low but that’s mainly due to the tough run of games for them so far. They should catch up with the stats leaders in the coming games.
Further Read: FPL GW6 Fixture Swing Analysis – Teams and Players to Target
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW6
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Arsenal are top with a 92% odds of at least 1 goal in gameweek one and 55% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW6 vs Liecester at home.
Liverpool are 2nd and have a 90% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 48% odds of scoring 2+ goals in Gameweek 5 for their away game vs Wolves.
Man City are 2nd last in the table and have 87% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and only a 40% odds of scoring 2+ goals as they face Newcastle at home.
Aston Villa are last in the table and have 80% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Ipswich(A). These are not bad odds but it’s just that the other three teams have incredibly strong odds too this week.
Further Read: Top FPL GW6 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW6 Deadline
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 6 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is back to the top in the projection rank table with an anytime returns projection of 72% and a 8.1 points projection in FPL Gameweek 6.
Salah is 2nd in the projections table this week with an anytime returns projection of 67% and a 7.8 points projection ahead of GW6.
Saka is 3rd with an anytime returns projection of 64% and a points projection of 7.2 ahead of a juicy home game vs Leicester City(H)
Watkins is 4th with an anytime returns projection of 58% and a points projection of 5.8.
Luis Diaz is last with the Liverpool attacker having an anytime returns projection of 50% and a points projection of 5.0. His xMins of only 70 minutes played a part in his predicted points being less than the others. Haaland & Salah has a xMins of 90 minutes with Saka & Watkins having a xMins of 85 minutes according to FFHUB.
Further Read: FPL GW6 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 6 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Haaland takes the top spot with a CRF of only 7. Salah is a close second with a CRF of 9. The other three are all placed together with Luis Diaz finishing third with a CRF of 13, Saka is 4th with a CRF of 14 & Watkins last with a CRF of 15.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW6
FPL GW6 Wildcard Guide- Pros, Cons, Players to Target and Best Drafts
FPL GW6 Fixture Swing Analysis – Teams and Players to Target
Top FPL GW6 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW6 Deadline
FPL Gameweek 6 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL Gameweek 6 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW6 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Sleeper Draft Fantasy GW6 – Best Punts and Hidden Gems
FPL GW6 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
FPL GW6 Tips – Arsenal, Brentford, Forwards, Defenders and More
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FPL GW6 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, WC Drafts & More
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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