Top FPL GW3 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW3 Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some Big Scores with 3 of our 6 FPL GW2 differential picks returned with FPL Points.

• Son Heung Min – 2 Goals, 16 Points
• Kevin De Bruyne – 1 Goal, 1 Assist, 12 Points
• Antonee Robinson – 1 Assist – 7 Points

That makes it 7/12 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season. In this FPL GW3 Differentials article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Thursday 29 th August, 2024. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide not to go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW3 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW3 Differential Picks

Bryan Mbeumo – Brentford – 7 Midfielder – 5.3 % TSB – 

• Mbeumo without Toney in my opinion becomes an even Better Option. With Toney rumored to leave the club, Mbeumo will be on Penalties and set pieces. He will become the Talisman of the Team in Toney’s absence. He scored 7 goals and 3 assists last season during Toney’s absence.
• Mbeumo is an all-round player and good for Bonus. This is shown from his numbers where he has an xA of 0.43 (Created 2 Big Chances and played 4 Key passes). Very good for Bonus as well.
• Southampton did not travel well in the Championship and Brentford are always a tough nut to crack at their home. Southampton have conceded the 3^rd Most Big Chances in the League so far. They have also conceded 9 Shots on Target in the League (1 of them was a match against 10 Man Newcastle for 60 minutes). Not good numbers.

Mbeumo with Toney vs Mbeumo without Toney since 2022/23:

• Starts: 35 vs 25
• Goals- 5 vs 14
• Assists- 7 vs 9
• FPL Points per game: 3.37 vs 6.56

Update on Toney ahead of FPL GW3:

Thomas Frank confirms Toney remains out of contention. ‘I can say Ivan will not play on Saturday. He is training well, in good spirits, and I am happy to answer more questions about him next time.’

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Leon Bailey – Aston Villa – 6.5 Midfielder – 3.2 % TSB –

• Leicester City have conceded a huge 13 chances from their Left flank which could massively benefit Bailey, who is a High Upside Player on his day. Also, remember Leicester’s weakness from set pieces, Bailey has a share of corner duties now. 
• Leicester have conceded the Most Shots in the Box in the League (25), the 2^nd most Shots (33), the 3^rd Most Shots on Target (13), and the most Headed Attempts in the League (12) in the 1^st 2 Gameweeks. Could be a field day for the Villa attackers if they can bury their chances.
• With an xG of 0.25 and an xA of 0.23, Bailey has multiple routes to points. 3 Key Passes and 2 Shots in the Box for Bailey. A brilliant Differential option if you cannot stretch to Watkins for some reason.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

Antoine Semenyo – Bournemouth – 5.5 Midfielder – 2.6 % TSB –

• What a start Semenyo has had for Bournemouth. 1 Goal, 1 Assist, and 13 Points from the 1^st 2 Games. He is also Top for xGI (1.96) and Joint Top for Shots (12) in the League. 7 Shots in the Box and has got 1 Big Chance.

• Very good chance creation numbers with an xA of 1.27, 2 Big Chances created, and 3 Key Passes. Semenyo has taken over as the Talisman of the team in Solanke’s absence.
• A Depleted Everton backline with lots of injuries have conceded the 2^nd Most xGC (3.94) and 2^nd most Goals (7). Bournemouth should profit like Brighton and Spurs did in the 1^st 2 Gameweeks. If Bournemouth score a couple, expect Semenyo to be involved.

Further Read: FPL GW3 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Noni Madueke – Chelsea – 6.5 Midfielder – 8.1 % TSB –

• Madueke performs whenever he plays. He finished last season strongly with 5 Goals and 3 Assists. 
• Palace’s Defensive departures could lead to an unbalanced team against Chelsea who have scored the most Goals in the 1^st 2 Gameweeks so far alongside Manchester City. Palace also have a weakness on their left flank which Madueke can exploit.

• Palace are 5^th worst for Shots (27) and Shots in the Box (21). Chelsea do love to score goals at Home and will be targeting to continue their momentum and get their 1^st Home win this season. If you cannot get to Palmer and are looking to sell Nkunku, Madueke could be a lowly-owned option for you.

Further Read: FPL GW3 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide

Leif Davis – Ipswich – 4.5 Defender – 1.6 % TSB –

• Now is the time for Mckenna & his Ipswich team to shine. With the tough fixtures out of the way, it’s time to unleash the Monster out of the Closet. With a spirited 1^st half-performance against Liverpool and a decent start against Man City, do not be surprised if Ipswich get their 1^st points at home in Gameweek 3.
• Fulham’s numbers away from home last season were not the best with only 24 Goals scored and 37 conceded which is bang average in both departments.
• Leif Davis got 18 Assists and 2 Goals last season and is on set pieces. In the relatively easier games, he puts his best Forward. An absolute favorite of mine from playing Gaffr last season (The Championship Fantasy Game), he is a heart-over-head pick and I predict him to do really well in the next 8 Gameweeks, in terms of attacking returns. Best to buy him at the start of the run, before he becomes popular.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

FPL GW3 Ultra Differential Pick (Under 1 % Ownership)

Omari Hutchinson – Ipswich – 5.5 Midfielder – 0.5 % TSB – 

• Ipswich’s Form Player at the end of last season. He had a decent Game with 0.27 xG against Liverpool where he caused a lot of problems for Liverpool’s Backline.
• I expect him to start most games as he is a favorite of Mckenna and was bought for big money. He has looked the most threatening Ipswich attacker in the 2 Games so far. A super talented player who should get even better with some great signings beside him like Clarke & Szmodics.
• Fulham’s average stats away from home and the party atmosphere as Ipswich could bring out the best of the Ipswich players this Gameweek and that is why I have gone with 2 of their players this Gameweek. I will be rooting for them, will you? “Come On Ipswich!!” 

That’s it for Gameweek 3. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 3.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW3

Premier League Penalty & Set Piece Takers | 2024/25 PL Season
FPL Gameweek 2 Stats Summary & Key Notes
FPL GW3 Wildcard Guide- Pros, Cons, Players to Target and Best Drafts
FPL GW3 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
FPL GW3 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
FPL GW3 Tips- Haaland, Nkunku Problem, Best Budget Assets, Wildcard Planning, etc
FPL GW3 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW3 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 3 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

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