Welcome back to the GW2 captaincy metrics blog, the 24/25 FPL season got off to an interesting start with Mo Salah continuing his remarkable GW1 record with a goal & an assist vs Ipswich making him the only player to return in 9 consecutive GW1 fixtures. Isak who topped the captaincy metric last week was unfortunate to pick up only an assist after Schar was red-carded earlier in the game. The action now moves on to GW2 and the Top FPL Gameweek 2 Captain picks include Haaland, Salah, Isak, Solanke, and Foden. Let’s see who tops the very first captaincy metrics of the season.
Will it be Haaland or Salah or someone else?
This season the metrics has a 1/1 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 5 points
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
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FPL GW2 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW2 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Haaland is by far the favorite captain option this week against Ipswich at home, he has accumulated 64% of the votes in the captaincy poll. Salah after yet another strong start to the season is 2nd with 17% of the votes. Isak is third picking up 39 votes and will be up against Bournemouth away from home. The top five list in the FPL GW2 captaincy poll is completed by Foden & Solanke.
Update: The Captaincy Metrics has been calculated before the Solanke news. The latest news is the Solanke is ruled out for GW2.
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Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 2 Captain picks
Note: Since one gameweek is a small sample we have taken GW1 data + last five games data from the 23/24 season.
Haaland without a surprise tops the individual table with an xG of 5.91 & 10 big chances in the last six games.
Salah is 2nd with an xG of 3.85, 7 big chances & 23 shots in the box which is the highest amongst all five players.
Isak is close behind Salah with an xG of 2.96, 8 big chances and 14 shots in the box.
Solanke & Foden are 4th & 5th respectively with an xG of 1.66 and 1.31. Foden is top amongst the five players for chances created with 12 CC.
xG split of last five games in the 23/24 season + GW1 of 24/25 season
- Haaland: 5.63 + 0.28
- Salah: 3.15 + 0.70
- Isak: 2.96 + 0.00
- Foden: 1.31 + 0.00
- Solanke: 1.32 + 0.34
Further Read: FPL GW2 Scout Selection Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Note: Since one gameweek is a small sample we have taken GW1 data + last five games data from the 23/24 season.
Salah & Liverpool top the table with a whopping 16.34 xG in their last six games, they registered an xG of 2.65 including six big chances vs Ipswich in GW1 continuing from where they left last season in Slot’s 1st PL game.
Isak & Newcastle were unfortunate not to go big in GW1 after a red card made them play most of the game with 10 man vs Saints in GW1. But they’re still 2nd with an xG of 14.75 including a whopping 27 big chances.
Man City are 3rd with an xG of 13.07 & Spurs are last with an xG of 11.89.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 2 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW2
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Man City are top with a 95% odds of at least 1 goal in gameweek one and 69% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW2.
Liverpool have a 93% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 58% odds of scoring 2+ goals in GW2 for their home game vs Brentford.
Spurs have 89% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 44% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week taking the 4th spot.
Newcastle are 5th in the table and have 80% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Chelsea.
Further Read: Top FPL GW2 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW2 Deadline
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 2 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is top of the projection rank table with an anytime returns projection of 77% and a 8.7 points projection in FPL Gameweek 2
Salah is also joint top with an anytime returns projection of 72% and a 8.0 points projection ahead of GW2.
Foden is joint third with an anytime returns projection of 63% and a points projection of 5.2.
Isak is joint 3rd with Foden having an anytime returns projection of 60% and a points projection of 6.0
Solanke takes the last spot with the Spurs forward having an anytime returns projection of 53% and a points projection of 5.1.
Further Read: FPL GW2 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 2 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Haaland takes the top spot with a cumulative rank factor(CRF) of 6. Salah takes the 2nd spot with a CRF of 8, Foden is 3rd takes the 3rd spot with a CRF of 12. Isak & Solanke are 4th & 5th with a CRF of 13 & 18 respectively.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW2
FPL GW2 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Premier League Penalty & Set Piece Takers | 2024/25 PL Season
Top FPL Gameweek 2 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW2 Scout Selection- Top Picks for GW2 based on Stats and Matchups
Top FPL GW2 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW2 Deadline
FPL Gameweek 2 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW2 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
FPL GW2 Tips- Rolling FT, Quansah Dilemma, Liverpool Assets
FPL GW1 Stats Summary and Key Notes
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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