Team wise Best FPL Differentials for the 2024/25 Season

With the popular FPL picks now established within the community, now is a good time to look for assets that could help set your team apart from others’ and gain valuable points over your opponents. This article looks at a potential FPL Differentials for each Premier League team, taking into account last season’s statistics, opening fixtures and pre-season performance.

All Stats are from FFHUB(unless stated otherwise.) -> Subscribe now with 50% off for Opta stats, heatmaps, player Comparisons & more

Note – I have tried to keep these differentials to under 10% ownership, but some will be slightly higher than this. These are all, however, under 15% ownership as of writing this.

Link to all our 2024/25 Pre-Season articles including all team pre-season friendly updates, team previews, fixture analysis, position-wise analysis, differentials, players to target, budget enablers and more. Completely free to access as well!

Team wise Best FPL Differentials for the 2024/25 Season

Dominic Solanke (£7.5m FOR) ~ 10.5% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 175 points across 37 starts
• 19 goals from an xG of 19.64
• 3 assists from an xA of 2.11
• 29 big chances
• 3 big chances created

Solanke proved yet again last season that he provides great value for money as Bournemouth’s talisman. He had the fourth-highest amount of goals (tied with Foden and Watkins), and was 13th for total FPL points among all players. His number speak for themselves, and he will always have the added bonus of being on penalties.

His opening fixtures are just below average, and Bournemouth did rank in the bottom half of the table for attacking prowess last season. However, with a 41% goal involvement, even in those tougher fixtures, it is a good chance that he will be involved in any goals Bournemouth does get. He is likely to tick along very nicely for owners.

The latest transfer rumors are that Solanke might leave Bournemouth to join Spurs. If that move goes through before the GW1 deadline, Solanke is an even more tempting pick considering the first 2 games of Spurs- Leicester(A) and Everton(H).

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Kai Havertz (£8m FOR) ~ 14.1% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 180 points across 30 starts
• 13 goals from an xG of 12.36
• 10 assists from an xA of 3.88
• 24 big chances
• 8 big chances created

Last season’s 12th-highest FPL scorer can provide an alternative, cheaper route into the Arsenal attack, which scored 91 goals last season (only Man City managed more). Although he really over-performed on assists, he is still a great creator.

Arsenal’s opening fixtures aren’t as favourable as some of the other top teams with very popular assets, such as Liverpool, Aston Villa and Crystal Palace. However, Arsenal are one of the best attacking forces in the League, and it would be a big risk going without at least one of their players. The issue with Havertz is that the likes of Watkins and Isak are very popular forward picks. With them equalling £17.5m, the most likely case is that your third forward slot will be a budget pick, unless you wanted to go against the curve and choose Havertz over either of those two.

Further Read: Best Mid-Priced FPL Midfielders (£6.5 -£7.5 Million) | 24/25 Season

Leon Bailey (£6.5m MID) ~ 4.6% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 148 points over 22 starts
• 10 goals from an xG of 6.29
• 11 assists from an xA of 7.17
• 8 big chances
• 12 big chances created

His 21 goal involvements put him among the top 10 midfielders last season, and he is expected to carry on this fine form with Villa. Hub predicts him to accumulate 29.9 points in the opening six games, placing him just outside the top 10 for midfielders, showing that he could provide excellent value at this price point.

With 76 goals scored last season, Aston Villa have proven themselves to be a top attacking force in the League. Their opening six games rank 6th in Hub’s fixture analyser, and I think this makes a great case for doubling up on their attack with Watkins and Bailey. However, there is a lot of competition in that £6.5m midfield slot, and you may want to opt for a player to cover a different team.

Bryan Mbeumo (£7m MID) ~ 6.9% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 127 points across 22 starts
• 9 goals from an xG of 9.7
• 7 assists from an xA of 5.67
• 17 big chances
• 6 big chances created

16 goal contributions definitely makes Mbeumo an asset to consider this season. Another great statistic is that he had a 41% goal involvement for Brentford. With 2 goals in pre-season, I think he makes a good case for a differential spot in your team, but he does have some tough competition among the mid-priced midfielders.

Brentford’s opening fixtures are fairly poor compared to others. Liverpool, Man City and Spurs in the first six games are tough matches to justify picking their assets. In these games, he is predicted a very respectable 27.5 points. However, there are £6.5m mids such as Nkunku, Bailey and Johnson who are predicted to score more, so there could be better value to be had in a cheaper price range. I would avoid him at the start of the season, but he has a habit of becoming a very nice differential if you transfer him in at the right time.

Further Read: Best FPL Picks Outside Top 6 Teams | 2024/25 FPL Season

Yankuba Minteh (£5.5m MID) ~ 0.8% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24 Eridivisie via FBREF):

• 17 starts (27 appearances)
• 10 goals from an xG of 9.8
• 5 assists from an xA of 4.3
• 24 shots on target
• 27 key passes

15 goal contributions with just 17 starts in the Eridivisie is enough to make him a really promising asset to keep an eye on this season if he can nail down a starting place. Excitement is really growing around him, and rightfully so – he has racked up 2 goals and 1 assist in pre-season.

Brighton have a below average fixture difficulty rating, with some tough games against Man United, Arsenal, and Chelsea. Despite that, Brighton players could bring in great points hauls in games such as Ipswich and Forest at home, and now that we can accumulate 5 free transfers, there is definitely the potential to take a punt on someone like Minteh for these matches. At £5.5m, he is one of my favourite differential options this season.

Robert Sanchez (£4.5m GK) ~ 6.7% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 16 starts
• 59 points
• 3 clean sheets
• 7 bonus points

Former FPL favourite Sanchez is predicted to score 20.7 points in Chelsea’s opening six games, and I think he comes in contention as a differential spot, given that he is the most viable route into the Chelsea defence.

Chelsea have a fairly average start to the season in term of fixture difficulty, but the opening match against Man City will definitely put FPL managers off starting with them. There is also the problem that other £4.5m options Flekken, Johnstone, Leno and Neto are all predicted to score more. Therefore, I think he works best in a rotational pair rather than as your sole goalkeeper option.

Daniel Muñoz (£5m DEF) ~ 4.4% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24 Pro League via FBREF):

• 16 starts
• 5 goals from an xG of 3.3
• 1 assist from an xA of 2.1
• 8 shots on target
• 21 key passes

Key Stats (2023/24 Premier League):

• 56 points across 16 starts
• No goals (xG=1.26)
• 4 assists from an xA of 1.26
• 2 big chances
• 5 big chances created

If you can spare the funds to upgrade Guehi(Heavily linked to Newcastle, so watchout) or Anderson to Munoz, I think he is a fantastic differential option. He’s a very attacking fullback with 7 big chance involvements over 16 games started, and I think he has great potential for both goals and assists.

Palace are 4th on Hub’s fixture analyser for the opening six games. They were also a top defensive team last season, with 10 clean sheets. Overall, I do think it is justified to choose him over Palace’s £4.5m defenders, and he has also shown this at Genk. The difficulty would be finding this extra £0.5m to spare.

Further Read: Eight Simple FPL Tips to Secure a Top FPL Finish | 24/25 Season

Rodrigo Muniz (£6m FOR) ~ 6.5% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 97 points across 18 starts
• 9 goals from an xG of 8.76
• 2 assists from an xA of 0.92
• 12 big chances
• 2 big chances created

Muniz is another great contender for the budget forward slot. Last season, his output was in line with his expected figures, and he is definitely proving himself to be a worthy replacement for former FPL favourite Mitrovic. He scored in seven consecutive Premier League games, and he could have another great run of games looking at Fulham’s opening fixtures.

Hub rank Fulham’s opening fixtures at 2nd on difficulty, with a predicted points of 8.4. There is a slightly tougher opening game at Old Trafford, but they then face two promoted teams and the likes of Forest and West Ham, which also have solid potential for Fulham assets.

Vitaliy Mykolenko (£4.5m DEF) ~ 11.2% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 101 points across 28 starts
• 9 clean sheets
• 2 goals from an xG of 1.49
• 1 assist from an xA of 1.07
• 2 big chances
• 2 big chances created

Mykolenko is not the most attacking asset, but he is my favourite Everton defensive pick. He also rotates very well with Andersen and Guehi (£4.5m). I personally would not think it would be worth spending an extra £0.5m on Branthwaite, as I believe the £4.5m defenders offer better value for money.

Everton’s defensive record last season definitely make them strong contenders for your team, bagging 13 clean sheets in total. It’s also fairly positive when you look at Everton’s first six games, with them ranked 6th on the fixture analyser. There are some tougher games scattered here, but if they continue their momentum from last season then I think £4.5m is great value.

Further Read: Best Premium FPL Defenders for the 2024/25 FPL Season

Leif Davis (£4.5m DEF) ~ 3% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24 Championship via FBREF):

• 43 starts
• 2 goals from an xG of 2.1
• 18 assists from an xA of 11.2
• 11 shots on target
• 125 key passes

Davis had a brilliant season in the Championship, topping the assists chart by a comfortable margin. Although, we can be wary of promoted teams being able to perform in the Premier League.

Those opening 2 games against Liverpool and Man City make Ipswich’s assets a firm avoid for the start of the season. I would wait until they hit a good run, where we would be able to see if Davis can replicate some of his brilliance from last season, but he is still an exciting prospect for this season.

Abdul Fatawu (£5.5m MID) ~ 0.5% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24 Championship via FBREF):

• 33 starts (40 appearances)
• 6 goals from an xG of 4.7
• 13 assists from an xA of 11.47
• 15 shots on target
• 65 key passes

19 goal contributions in his debut season at Leicester puts Fatawu firmly on the watchlist for this FPL season. If he gets into form quickly, I think he is a really exciting asset and an absolute gem at his price point. However, this will be his debut season in the Premier League, so it would definitely be a risk choosing him, and perhaps may be one to keep an eye on.

Leicester will likely have a tough season having just come up from promotion, and their start to the season is stacked with tough fixtures against Spurs, Villa, Crystal Palace and Arsenal. Fantasy Football Hub rank only two teams below them in the fixture difficulty ranking. Again, unless you were using Leicester’s £4m Faes or £4.5m Winks as bench fodder, I wouldn’t recommend starting with their assets this season.

Further Read: FPL Rotational Pairs & Combinations for the 2024/25 FPL Season

Dominik Szoboszlai (£6.5m MID) ~ 2.7% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 99 points across 25 starts
• 3 goals from an xG of 3.64
• 4 assists from an xA of 5.13
• 4 big chances
• 7 big chances created

I’m a Liverpool fan who really rates Szobo and I’m backing him to have a great season. Across 25 starts last season, he had 7 goal contributions (3 goals and 4 assists), just under his expected goal involvement of 8.8. He showed flashes of brilliance last season, and I do think he is under-priced if he takes up the number 10 position.

Liverpool are the team predicted to gain the most points (8.6) in the opening six games, so this will be a great opportunity for him to hit the ground running. They will hopefully be leading another title chase, and have consistently been one of the top attacks in the Premier League. Fitting him in would be difficult, and I would of course prioritise Salah.

Kevin De Bruyne (£9.5m MID) ~ 6.9% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 159 points across 15 starts
• 4 goals from an xG of 2.4
• 10 assists from an xA of 6.9
• 1 big chance
• 21 big chances created

It’s very rare that we can say De Bruyne is a differential for your squads, so now could be as great a time as any to fit him into your teams. Despite starting only 15 games, he still bagged 14 goal involvements. This amounts to a brilliant 1.03 GI per 90 minutes.

Man City actually rank in the bottom five of the fixture analyser, but the team is as close to fixture proof as any other, comfortably scoring the most goals of any side last season (96). It would be a big risk going without their assets for those games against Ipswich, West Ham and Brentford, considering they accumulated 2.53 goals per match. With De Bruyne now at the same price as Foden, I think this gives players a very interesting dilemma, and I really like him as an alternative to the 28% owned Foden.

Further Read: FPL Players to Avoid in your GW1 Drafts | 2024/25 FPL Season

Amad Diallo (£5m MID) ~ 2.5% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 23 points across 6 starts (388 minutes)
• 1 goal from an xG of 0.53
• 1 assist from an xA of 0.47
• No big chances
• 1 big chance created

We haven’t seen a lot of Diallo in the Premier League, but he is now on a lot of people’s radar given his pre-season performances, with 2 goals and 1 assist. If he can nail down a starting place at Man United, then £5m is a very generous price tag indeed.

Man United’s opening fixtures are mostly favourable. However, they did not have the best attacking record last season, scoring the fewest goals of all top 10 teams. Despite this, we cannot ignore a potential £5m gem, and I think Diallo is a great differential for this season if we can ascertain that he starts consistently.

Chris Wood (£6m FOR) ~ 5.2% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 131 points across 20 starts
• 14 goals from an xG of 11.71
• 1 assist from an xA of 0.92
• 23 big chances
• 4 big chances created

Wood contributed to 38% of Forest’s goals last season, placing him among the top 10 forwards for this statistic and proving that he is a crucial squad member. He was also among the top 10 for big chances. With 2 goals in pre-season, he is a great option for the budget forward slot in your team.

Forest is actually 5th in the Hub’s fixture analyser for the first six games, with some favourable fixtures against Bournemouth, Southampton and Fulham. Forest was the team who narrowly missed relegation last season in 17th. They did also place in the bottom half of the table for xG, with only three teams scoring less goals than them in the end. However, Hub predicts Wood to accumulate 32.1 points in those opening six games, the third highest among forwards (only beaten by Haaland and Isak). This again proves his value for money. If you are ever going to take a punt on their players, it would be good to take advantage of this early fixture run.

Rotation with Awoniyi should be taken into consideration, but he has proven himself to be a key player for Forest. Forest also have Gibbs-White (£6.5m) and Hudson-Odoi (£5.5m) as great differentials if you do not have space in your front line.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 1 Drafts with Haaland and Salah

Tino Livramento (£4.5m DEF) ~ 1.9% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24 Season):

• 45 points across 12 starts
• 1 goal from an xG of 0.38
• No assists from an xA of 0.83
• 2 big chances
• 1 big chance created

Livramento is a familiar asset for FPL managers. With a predicted points tally of 19 and given his attacking potential, I think this makes him an interesting alternative to Dan Burn, who is owned by over 20% of managers at the moment.

Newcastle have a fairly average fixture difficulty rating for the start of the season, but opening games against Southampton and Bournemouth would be great to target. Newcastle’s defensive assets were great in FPL last season, with the team managing 10 clean sheets in total. Not only this, but they also ranked 4th among goals scored, with 85. Livramento’s minutes should be kept an eye on, but I believe he can retain his position as a great budget asset this season. Whether or not Trippier makes a move away could also affect this.

Further Read: 24/25 Season FPL Team Structure Guide with Drafts & Ratings

Adam Armstrong (£5.5m FOR) ~ 3.6% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24 Championship via FBREF):

• 44 starts (46 appearances)
• 21 goals from an xG of 22
• 13 assists from an xA of 7.8
• 53 shots on target
• 62 key passes

34 goal contributions is certainly quite the season, and Armstrong has been generously priced. His form has continued through pre-season, where he has accumulated 3 goals. However, Armstrong has a less successful 2022/23 season in the Premier League, with 2 goals and 1 assist, though he had just 14 starts in this time.

It’s also promising when you consider Southampton’s run-in for the start of the season. Given his incredible momentum right now, £5.5m could be a great price, and targeting those favourable fixtures could lead to some great points. There will of course have to some scepticism for players from promoted teams.

Brennan Johnson (£6.5m MID) ~ 2% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 131 points across 26 starts (23 starts at Spurs)
• 5 goals from an xG of 10.36
• 12 assists from an xA of 4.3
• 22 big chances
• 12 big chances created

Although last season’s numbers show that Johnson massively over-performed with assists, it also shows that he could have secured a lot more points had he been more clinical. Per 90 minutes, he just comes into the top ten midfielders for big chances, so there is a lot of potential there. Of course, there is also the option of FPL fan-favourite Son.

An expected points tally of 27.8 in the first 6 games is great for his price range, especially considering there will be some more difficult games against Newcastle, Arsenal, and Man United.

Further Read: Underpriced FPL Assets at Each ‘Big Six’ Club | 24/25 Season

Mohammed Kudus (£6.5m MID) ~ 10% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 137 points across 27 starts
• 8 goals from an xG of 5.06
• 9 assists from an xA of 3.48
• 6 big chances
• 5 big chances created

Kudus did overperform on goal contributions (17 from an xGI of 8.5), but his creativity will be exciting for FPL managers looking for options outside of the top 6 teams. However, he does fall behind the other assets at his price point for predicted points (22.9).

Only Wolves have a more difficult opening run of games than West Ham, so you would have to take this into consideration and potentially have some back-up players to rotate with him. He currently occupies one of the £6.5m midfielder slots in my team, but I am conscious that I may need to replace him for the more difficult fixture runs.

Further Read: Best £4.0 Million FPL Defenders for the 2024/25 FPL Season

Rayan Ait-Nouri (£4.5m DEF) ~ 3.6% Ownership

Key Stats (2023/24):

• 77 points across 29 starts
• 2 goals from an xG of 3.12
• 3 assists from an xA of 1.81
• 7 big chances
• 3 big chances created

I think his numbers show that, should he stay fit, Ait-Nouri is a great differential for that £4.5m defender slot that almost all managers are looking to fill this season.

However, I do think that Wolves’ opening fixtures mean that their assets should be placed on your watchlist to see if they are worth taking a punt on for better runs of games – Hub places them last in the fixture difficulty analyser. They did keep just 5 clean sheets and scored 50 goals last season, and could potentially see themselves in a relegation battle. I really like Ait-Nouri, but would definitely not put him in my starting team.

Thank you for reading my first article ahead of the 2024/25 FPL season. You can follow me on X @soph_fpl if you’d like!

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW1 of the 2024/25 FPL Season

FPL Gameweek 1 Articles:
Top FPL GW1 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) To Target Ahead Of GW1 Deadline
FPL GW1 Scout Selection- Top Picks for GW1 with Stats and Analysis
Best FPL Drafts with Salah + Haaland with Pros/Cons and Key Notes
AllAboutFPL FPL GW1 Team Reveal with Key Notes
Top FPL Gameweek 1 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Team Structure Analysis with Drafts and Ratings
FPL GW1 Tips- Best Formations & Structure, Haaland + Mo?, More

Must Read articles:
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2024/25 Pre-Season Summary of All 20 Premier League Teams
Best FPL Rotational Pairs and Combinations for 2024/25 FPL Season
Best FPL Budget Enablers For The 2024-25 FPL Season
List of Free to Join Prize FPL Mini Leagues Ahead of 24/25 Season
List of Creative FPL Team Names for the 2024/25 FPL Season
Best £6.5m FPL Midfielders Comparison For 2024/25 FPL Season
Team wise Best FPL Differentials(<10% TSB) for the 2024/25 Season
Best Liverpool FPL Assets to Target for FPL GW1
2024/25 FPL Season – Teams & Players to Target | Fixture Analysis
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2024/25 FPL Season- New Rules & Changes | What’s New in FPL?
Players to Avoid in FPL GW1 Drafts
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Ultimate 2024/25 FPL Pre-Season Guide: Tips, Preview & More

GW1 Drafts and Analysis:
AllAboutFPL FPL GW1 Team Reveal with Key Notes
204/25 Season FPL Team Structure Guide with Drafts & Ratings
Best FPL Drafts with Salah + Haaland with Pros/Cons and Key Notes
Initial FPL GW1 Drafts for the 24/25 FPL Season with Pros & Cons

Position-Wise Analysis:
Defenders and Goal Keepers series:
Best FPL Goalkeepers to Target For The 2024/25 FPL Season
Best £4.0 Million FPL Defenders For The 2024/25 FPL Season
Best £4.5 Million FPL Defenders for the 2024/25 FPL Season
Best £5-5.5 Million FPL Defenders for the 2024/25 FPL Season
Best Premium FPL Defenders for the 2024/25 FPL Season(>=6.0 million)

Midfielders Series:
Best Premium FPL Midfielders (£8.0 – £12.5 Million) | 24/25 Season
Best Mid-Priced FPL Midfielders (£6.5 -£7.5 Million) | 24/25 Season
£4.5 Million FPL Midfielders Watchlist for the 2024/25 FPL Season
Best Budget FPL Midfielders (£5.0 -£6.0 Million) | 24/25 Season

Forwards Series:
Best Premium FPL Forwards Analysis Ahead Of 2024/25 Season
Best FPL Budget Forwards (£4.5 – £5.5 Million) | 24/25 FPL Season
Best FPL Mid Priced Forwards (£6 – £7 Million) | 24-25 Season
Best FPL Mid Priced Forwards (£7.5 – £8 Million) | 24-25 Season

If you’re new to FPL, here is a link to all our FPL Beginners Guide including FPL Beginner’s Guide- How to play?, Bench boost, Team value, Triple captain, Effective ownership, Price Changes, Free Hit, Bonus Points, and more.

Link to all our 2024/25 Pre-Season articles including all position-wise analysis, team previews, fixture analysis, position-wise analysis, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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