Captaincy decisions are back on the menu after a certain Norwegian Robot broke the Premier League record, as we look into the top 5 FPL Gameweek 35 captaincy picks that the community has picked based on their votes and bring out the best result possible.
The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 28/33 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 620 pts(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40+20+4+4+8+22+14+24+24+14+28+32)
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FPL GW35 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW35 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
It doesn’t come as a surprise that Manchester City’s Erling Haaland tops the polls with 71% of the votes. He’s followed by Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah (11%) and Harry Kane (3%). The candidates list is rounded up by Kevin de Bruyne (3%) and Brighton’s Solly March (2%).
Further Read: FPL GW35 Scout Selection- Top Picks with Stats and Analysis
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 35 Captain picks
Erling Haaland tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 22 Shots Inside the Box, 13 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 7.16, as he leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration.
Mohammed Salah, with 24 Shots Inside the Box, 9 Big chances and an xG total of 6.33, takes the second spot.
Tottenham’s Harry Kane rounds up the podium places at third amassing 15 Shots Inside the Box, 5 Big Chances and xG total of 3.52.
Kevin De Bruyne gets the fourth place with 4 Shots Inside the Box, 1 Big Chances and an xG of 1.64.
Solly March gets the last spot with 5 Shots Inside the Box, 0 Big Chances and an xG of 0.56.
Further Read: FPL GW35 Scout Selection- Top Picks with Stats and Analysis
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 76 Shots Inside the Box and 21 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 15.67, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Manchester City come in behind Liverpool, with 65 Shots Inside the Box, their 24 Big Chances in Total, and xG at 15.25.
Brighton take the fourth spot with 79 Shots Inside the Box, 21 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 15.02.
Tottenham take the last spot with 55 Shots Inside the Box, 14 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 10.04.
Further Read: FPL GW35 Scout Selection- Top Picks with Stats and Analysis
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW35
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Manchester City take the first spot, with a 94% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 62% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.
Brighton are behind Pep’s men, with an 89% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 45% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
Liverpool come in just behind Brighton, with an 87% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 44% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
And lastly again, it’s Tottenham who have a 78% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 29% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.
Further Read: Top FPL GW35 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 35 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.
Erling Haaland has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 83%, while his Projected Points stand at 9.9 for the week.
Mohammed Salah has an Anytime Returns Projection at 62%, and the Projected Points at 6.8 this week, giving him the second spot.
Haaland’s teammate Kevin de Bruyne has an Anytime Returns Projections at 75% and Projected Points at 5.1, which puts him in third place.
March has an Anytime Returns Projections at 61% and Projected Points at 5.8, which puts him in tied-third place with Kevin De Bruyne.
Lastly, Harry Kane has an Anytime Returns Projections of 56% while the Projected Points stand at 5.8, pushing him to the last spot.
Further Read: Top FPL GW35 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 35 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Record breaker Erling Haaland, tops the table with a CRF value of 5.
Haaland is followed by Mohammed Salah who takes second place with a CRF value of 9.
Kevin de Bruyne takes the third place with a CRF value of 10.
Solly March takes the fourth place with a CRF value of 15. And lastly, Harry Kane takes the last spot with a CRF value of 18.
PS: If you’re considering Alvarez then here are his numbers: xG:2.41 in the last six games(The first table is sorted by xG), Tables 2 and 3 are the same as for Haaland/KDB as they are team-based numbers. Alvarez has a 66% anytime returns chance and predicted points of 4.2 for Table 4.
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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW35
Confirmed FPL Double Gameweeks From FPL GW35
Top FPL Gameweek 35 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW35 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW35 Scout Selection- Top Picks with Stats and Analysis
FPL Chip Strategy Guide with Key Notes for All The Chips
FPL GW35 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL Gameweek 35 Preview Video
If you prefer video content, here’s our FPL GW35 video covering GW35 key talking points, Players to Target for GW35, double gameweek planning, approaching the last four gameweeks, captaincy options, and more. Timestamps are added for easy viewing as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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