Top FPL Gameweek 26 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Welcome back to another captaincy metrics blog and this time it’s an interesting week in terms of captaincy with 4-5 good captaincy options to consider. Without further ado, let’s look at the top FPL Gameweek 26 Captain Picks and see who tops our captaincy metrics to emerge as our best captain choice for FPL GW26.

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 19/24 “returns record” this season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 430 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40+20+4+4)

Link to all our FPL GW26 blogs including Fixtures to target, Double and blank game-week news, Predicted GW26 Lineups, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW26 Captaincy Metrics

FPL GW26 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

FPL GW26 Captaincy poll ~ Saka, Haaland, Kane, Rashford, and Odegaard make the top five

Saka tops the metrics after a big haul in GW25, interestingly Saka himself in his FPL team captained Odegaard instead of captaining himself last week. Haaland is second in the polls this week as he plays Newcastle at home. Kane, Rashford, and Odegaard make up the remaining of the top 5.

Further Read: Top FPL GW26 Differential Picks to Consider(<10% TSB)

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 26 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 26 Captain picks

Marcus Rashford(3.20) outscores Haaland(3.03) in terms of xG and tops the individual player metrics. Haaland however has had a whopping 9 big chances in the last six games compared to Rashford’s 5 big chances which continues to show that Haaland is always getting good goal-scoring changes.

Saka and Odegaard are the all-rounders with good goal-scoring and assist potential with Saka slightly having a better goal-scoring than Odegaard whereas Odegaard has a slightly higher assist potential than Saka. Kane continues to post healthy numbers with 5 big chances and an xG of 2.51 in the last six games.

Further Read: FPL GW26 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Man City dominate the numbers once again and are first for all three metrics(Shots inside the box, Big chances, and xG). Man United is second with a healthy xG of 12.11 above Arsenal who have a total xG of 10.71 in the last six games. Spurs are without surprise the last when compared to the other teams as they have been struggling to create quality chances.

Further Read: FPL GW26 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW26

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW26

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. 

The Bournemouth game at home means Arsenal have the perfect matchup with a whopping 90% chance of scoring at least one goal and 50% chance of scoring 2+ goals. Although Newcastle are a defensively strong side, their recent run of poor form and the home game for Man city means Haaland/Man City is second with a 86% chance of at least one goal and a 38% chance of 2+ goals.

Further Read: FPL GW26 Predicted Lineups, Injury/Press Conference Updates

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 26 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 26 Captain Picks

In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option.

Surprise here with Kane topping the anytime return and projected points numbers with a 67% chance of anytime returns and 7.1 projected points. Odegaard and Saka are closely 2nd and 3rd with the Arsenal captain edging out Saka by a small margin. Haaland and Rashford are second last and last for projection considering their tricky fixtures when compared to the others.

Further Read: Gameweek 26 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy, Hold, Sell

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 26 Captaincy metric analysis

Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 26 Captaincy metric analysis

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.

This is one of the closest the metrics has ever been in the history of our captaincy metrics with no player registering a single-digit CRF. Haaland tops it with a CRF of 10, and Saka and Odegaard are joint second with a CRF of 11. Rashy is 4th with a CRF of 12 and Kane is last with a CRF of 14.

Only a CRF of 4 separates the first and last!

Further Read: FPL GW26 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide

Haaland tops our FPL GW26 Captaincy metrics becoming the best captaincy choice for FPL Gameweek 26 based on our metrics

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW26

Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks From FPL GW26
FPL GW26 Tips & Preview – Breaking Down Key Dilemmas 
FPL GW26 Predicted Lineups, Injury/Press Conference Updates
FPL GW26 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL Gameweek 26 Scout Picks based on Stats and Matchups
Gameweek 26 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy, Hold, Sell
Top FPL GW26 Differential Picks to Consider(<10% TSB)

FPL GW26 Odds Preview- Goals, Clean Sheets and Predicted Points
FPL GW26 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
When to Use Your FPL Chips? FPL Chip Strategy Explained

FPL Gameweek 26 Stream

Check our FPL Gameweek 26 stream which covers chip strategy, WC drafts with pros & cons for GW26, players to target from GW26 onwards, Brighton mids comparison, Watkins vs Toney comparison, double/blank gameweek news, chip strategy, and more with the latest relevant information. Do consider subscribing to our channel, it would mean a lot to us:)

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Link to all our FPL Gameweek 26 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best wildcard team, chip strategy, differentials, and more.

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AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1

One thought on “Top FPL Gameweek 26 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

  1. missed the deadline by one minute, I had not made a transfer, a team pick or a captain change from a GW25…, Salah has stayed as captain. GW26 with +70pts with 2 players not playing. LOL, lucky me.

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