Top FPL Gameweek 24 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

After another decent DGW for the FPL community where the Norwegian Powerhouse, Haaland, scored but could have had a monstrous haul, we are back with our top FPL Gameweek 24 captain picks.

Also, sincere apologies for the delay in publishing this week’s captaincy metrics. We’ll make sure to be on time next week!

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 422 points(24+10+12+34+34+18+12+46+12+4+6+26+14+10+2+26+12+10+16+34+40+20)

Link to all our FPL GW24 blogs including Fixtures to target, Double and blank gameweek news, Predicted GW24 Lineups, Differentials, Captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW24 Captaincy Metrics

FPL GW24 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

FPL GW24 Captaincy poll

Without any surprises, Manchester City’s Erling Haaland tops the polls yet again. He’s followed by Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford and Tottenham’s Harry Kane. The candidate’s list is rounded up by Haaland’s teammate, Riyad Mahrez, and Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka.

Further Read: Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks From FPL GW24

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 24 Captain picks

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 24 Captain picks

Marcus Rashford tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 15 Shots Inside the Box, 6 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 3.27, as he leads the Attacking Stats factor for players in consideration. 

Haaland, with 13 Shots Inside the Box, 9 Big chances and an xG total of 2.86, gets beaten again and gets the second spot.

Harry Kane rounds up the podium places at third amassing 18 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big Chances, and xG total of 2.78.

Riyad Mahrez gets fourth place with 7 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big Chances, and an xG of 2.24.
Bukaya Sako gets the last spot with 16 Shots Inside the Box, 1 Big Chances, and an xG of 1.69.

Further Read: When to Use Your FPL Chips? FPL Chip Strategy Explained

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Manchester City have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. A total of 54 Shots Inside the Box and 23 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 12.28, which is the highest of all teams in question. 

Arsenal come in behind Manchester City, with 71 Shots Inside the Box, their 9 Big Chances in Total and xG at 10.33 pushes them below Manchester City in our tables. 

Manchester United come in behind Arsenal with 51 Shots Inside the Box, 13 Big Chances in total, and an xG of 9.36.

Tottenham come in last with 52 Shots Inside the Box, 10 Big Chances in Total, and an xG of 7.54.  

Further Read: When to Use Your FPL Chips? FPL Chip Strategy Explained

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW24

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW24

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. 

Manchester City lead the teams with an 87% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also have a 40% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this week.

Manchester United come in behind City, with a 85% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 38% chance of scoring more than 2 goals this Gameweek.

Tottenham are behind United, with an 80% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this week, and a 29% chance of scoring more than 2 goals. 
And lastly, it’s Arsenal who have a 78% chance of scoring at last 1 goal this week, and a 25% chance of scoring more than 2 goals.

Further Read: Predicted GW24 Lineups, Press Conference updates, Injury News Of All 20 Premier League Teams

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 24 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 24 Captain Picks

In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. 

I have then averaged the Two Ranks to churn out the Average Rank Factor, which I have used to determine the Safest yet Explosive option. 

Erling Haaland has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 77%, while his Projected Points stand at 8.1 for the week.

Marcus Rashford has an Anytime Returns Projection at 65%, and the Projected Points at 7.3 this week, just behind the Manchester City talisman.

Harry Kane has an Anytime Returns Projections at 65% and Projected Points at 6.8, which puts him in third place. 

Riyad Mahrez has an Anytime Returns Projections at 64% and Projected Points at 6.1, which puts him in fourth. 
Bukayo Saka has an Anytime Returns Projections of 44% while the Projected Points stand at 5.0, pushing him to the last spot.

Further Read: FPL GW24 Scout Picks with Stats and Analysis

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 24 Captaincy metric analysis

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 24 Captaincy metric analysis

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric. 

Erling Haaland, comes out on top this week, with a CRF Value of 5.

Marcus Rashford and Riyad Mahrez come behind Haaland,with a CRF value of 10 each.

Harry Kane comes fourth with a CRF value of 15.

And lastly, Bukayo Saka rounds up our tables with a CRF value of 18. 

Haaland tops the metrics with a Cumulative Rank Factor(CRF) of 5 making him the best captaincy choice in FPL GW24 according to our captaincy metrics.

Further Read: When to Use Your FPL Chips? FPL Chip Strategy Explained

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW24

Confirmed & Likely FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks From FPL GW24
FPL GW24 Scout Picks with Stats and Analysis
Top FPL Gameweek 24 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL GW24 Differential Picks to Consider ahead of Deadline

Predicted GW24 Lineups, Press Conference updates, Injury News Of All 20 Premier League Teams
FPL GW24 Odds Preview: Goals, Clean Sheets & Predicted Points
FPL GW24 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
When to Use Your FPL Chips? FPL Chip Strategy Explained

FPL Chip Strategy Video/Stream

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AK - Anurag Khetan

AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He's 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools. He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field. He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1
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