FPL GW37 Differential Picks to Consider | Double Gameweek Special

The penultimate gameweek is upon us and it’s also the final double gameweek of the season. A lot of places could still be made in GW37 with a lot of managers looking to free hit this week. In this article, we take a look at the top differentials to target in FPL GW37 to gain ranks. This article would be really helpful if you are on a Free Hit or looking for differential picks in this Double Gameweek.

Note: TSB is at the time of writing and is subject to change as we get closer to the deadline. PS: No Richarlison or Watkins as they have crossed the <10% differentials range we have in the blog. Both of them are of course very good options and essentials(Good captaincy shouts as well)

Link to all our FPL Gameweek 37 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best free hit drafts, captaincy, transfer trends, player comparisons, differentials, and more.
Link to our Top FPL Gameweek 37 Captain Picks Based on Analysis and Metrics

FPL GW37 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Differentials with a Double in FPL GW37

Wilfred Zaha vs Villa(A), Everton(A), £6.9, TSB: 6.7%

Zaha is back in form and amongst the goals in a crucial period for Palace, helping the Eagles to win their last two games(He was in our GW35 differentials blog as well). Zaha is a clutch player and generally, when he is in form, he goes on a goal-scoring run, with a double coming up for him vs Villa and Everton it’s hard to look past him.

Zaha has also seen taking up a more advanced role at the moment which is backed by the below numbers.

More attacking Zaha- Stats among midfielders less than 11 Mil since GW26

• Shots- 30(3rd)
• Shots on Target- 16(1st)
• Shots inside the box- 25(3rd)
• Big chances: 6(3rd)
• Goals: 7(1st)
• Points: 65(3rd, played two less than the 1 & 2, Saka and Kulusevski)
• Expected Goals- 5.81(1st)
• % Goal Involvement- 50%(3rd)

Him being the designated penalty taker for Palace further adds to the appeal of having him for the double. He’s the joint-most for penalties taken this season and has scored 5 out of the 7 he has taken so far this season. With Olise, Eze, and Gallagher all available and playing there is enough quality around Zaha.

Further Read: FPL GW37 – Team News, Injuries, and Press Conference Updates

Lucas Digne vs Palace(H), Burnley(H), £5.0 TSB: 5.6%

Digne has trolled us managers a lot this season but he has made a remarkable comeback from what was set to be a long time on the sidelines following an injury. Since returning from injury he has got an assist, registered a clean sheet, and is playing twice at home to Palace and Burnley in FPL GW37. Following a lot of sales due to his injury he’s now dropped to 5.0 Million and at his price, it’s hard to ignore him.

Palace and Villa go head-to-head and are fighting it out for a spot in the top half of the table and currently are separated by only one point.

Aston Villa defensive numbers:

Since GW26, Villa have the 5th lowest xGC(13.51), and 5th least for shots conceded(123) in the league. Keeping five clean sheets(3rd most) during the period. Their defensive numbers are pretty good considering they played a lot of big teams during the period and were also missing Digne for a few games.

Digne since returning from injury(GW35) has registered the most key passes(8) and has made 16 crosses(6 successful), 3rd amongst defenders, which are good numbers even if it’s a small sample space.

This bodes well for Digne who could be amongst both attacking and defensive returns. If you don’t have Matty Cash, Digne is a like-for-like alternative and is cheaper as well!

Further Read: FPL GW37 Free Hit- Teams to target, Must own players and Drafts

Gray vs Brentford(H), Palace(H), £5.4, TSB: 5.2%

If you have the budget, the second option from Everton you could look at from the Everton attack could be Gray over Gordon. He’s played all games from GW33, and during the period his numbers are pretty similar with Gordon. 

Gray(Left) vs Gordon(Right) since GW33:

Shots: 12 vs 7
Shots on Target: 1 vs 2
Shots inside box: 3 vs 4
xG: 0.3 vs 0.43
Key passes: 7 vs 6
xA: 1.5 vs 1.6
Big chances created: 2 vs 2

Both Everton’s opponents Brentford and Palace have conceded a lot more of their chances on the right flank(Gray’s side). Palace have conceded 112 chances on the right flank vs 87 on the left flank (All games), The trend is same in the away games for palace too with 68 chances on the right flank vs 51 on the left flank (Away games). Further going on the trend is similar in the last six GW’s too, with 18 chances on the right flank vs 13 on the left flank (Last six game weeks)

Brentford have conceded 130 chances on the right flank vs 110 on the left flank (All games), The trend is same in the away games for palace too with 72 chances on the right flank vs 59 on the left flank (Away games). Further going on the trend is similar in the last six GWs too, with 20 chances on the right flank vs 18 on the left flank (Last six game weeks)

The matchup for Gray is good and a punt on him could pay off!

Further Read: FPL GW37 Free Hit- Teams to target, Must own players and Drafts

Emiliano Buendía vs Palace(H), Burnley(H), £6.1 TSB: 1.1%

Buendia was a player whom we all debated a lot in the pre-season and was supposed to have a great season at Villa. Unfortunately, he was hampered by various factors including managerial change, new signings, and injuries.

Buendia started at 6.5 Million and was in close to 400K FPL teams in GW1, but has now dropped to 6.1 Million. However, Jan loan signing Coutinho has lost his magical touch and has now gone seven games straight without a goal or assist contribution.

Gerrard rarely plays both Buendia and Coutinho together and in the first game of GW36 vs Burnley, Buendia made a return to the starting 11 in the place of Coutinho and registered a goal and assist for a 14 point haul(0.45 xG, 0.45 xA, 1 Big Chance, 1 Big Chance Created, 3 shots on goal). He was widely expected to start vs Liverpool but Coutinho returned to the 11 for another poor performance. I strongly feel Bunedia starts over Coutinho and play both the games while Coutinho could be used as an impact sub.

Countinho vs Liverpool

Coutinho had one shot on goal which was off target, and two penalty box touches, the only two notable attacking stats for him from the game. Buendia who come in as a sub was very impressive which further pressures Gerrard to start him.

Watkins injury concern:

There is also a small injury concern for Watkins and if he’s out then both Buendia and Coutinho could start with Ings up top.

Watkins hasn’t trained all week but has got a decent chance of being involved according to Gerrard. ~ Injury update

Further Read: FPL GW37 – Team News, Injuries, and Press Conference Updates

Vitalii Mykolenko vs Brentford(H), Palace(H), £4.9, TSB: 0.6%

Our ultra differential pick last week, Mykolenko went on to score 14 points thanks to a goal and a Clean sheet. He’s still owned by less than 1% of the managers and plays at home in both the games in GW37. Six of the eight clean sheet Everton have kept so far this season has been at home and the clean sheet potential for Mykolenko is huge in GW37.

Not just that he also plays on the same side of Gray(Mentioned above) and the chances conceded by both Brentford and Palace on his side makes an interesting matchup for Mylolenko. Brentford are also second-worst for crosses conceded(387, Norwich 1st 389) through the right flank and Myko is a decent crosser as well.

Myko registered four shots, two on target, two shots inside the box, and four crosses in GW36 which are pretty decent attacking stats. If you are looking for a defender in GW37 then Myko is one of the best defensive option to consider in FPL.

Single Gameweek Differentials to consider in FPL GW37

Luis Diaz vs Southampton(A), £8.0, TSB: 4.5%

From an unknown signing Diaz has quickly become an influential attacker for Klopp and his importance is pretty evident, he came in on as Sub vs Villareal to seal the game, scored the crucial equalizer vs Spurs, and assisted the winner vs Villa. He started twice in GW36 returning a mega haul of 15 points and i strongly feel he starts again vs Southampton.

Since making his debut in GW24, Diaz has posted per 90 numbers pretty much close to that of Salah and Mane which shows his influence and importance in the Liverpool attack. Since GW33 he’s been benched only once and has the most shots, shots on target, shots inside the box, xG amongst all Liverpool attackers.

No team has conceded more goals than Southampton(17) in the last seven games and Saints have got nothing to play for in the League. Liverpool will look to boost their goal difference which is currently lower than Man City and Saints prove to be the best option for Liverpool to do that. Diaz for all the above reasons is a sold option to consider and could also be a very good differential option especially if you’re free hitting this week.

Further Read: FPL GW37 Free Hit- Teams to target, Must own players and Drafts

Leandro Trossard vs Leeds(A), £5.8, TSB: 1.9%

Trossard has been one player that all of us have over looked. In the last five gameweeks(Since GW32), Trossard is the second highest for FPL points only behind Son. He’s scored 4 goals and registered 3 assists during the period, Brighton have also won 4/6 games(Wins vs Arsenal, Spurs and Man United) played during the period with the only loss coming vs Man City when Trossard didn’t play.

Brighton will look to end the season on a high and play a Leeds side who have been leaking goals for fun and are in serious danger of relegation.

Leeds predominantly conced through the central and right flank(Positions which Trossard occupies, refer to heatmap below) and are now without Ayling who is suspended till the end of the season.

The matchup is there for Trossard and even though he’s a single gameweek option, he could return big against Leeds.

Further Read: FPL GW37 Free Hit- Teams to target, Must own players and Drafts

Ultra Differential Picks for FPL GW37 (<1%)

Michael Olise vs Villa(A), Everton(A), £5.9, TSB: 0.2%

Our ultra differential pick this week is the super talented Palace attacker, Olise. Owned by just 0.2% managers he could be a very good option to consider in GW37 especially if you’re on free hit and looking to get a few low owned options. He started against Watford and got the assist for the only goal of the game.

Although it was only Watford, Olise posted some amazing all-round attacking numbers with two shots, one on target, two shots inside the box, one big chance, 0.47 xG, 2 Key passes, one big chance created, 0.51 xA, one assists.

I also had a word with our writer and a huge Crystal Palace fan, @FPL_Eze (OR: 493 last season, Palace number 1), he’s in agreement that Olise is a very good option in GW37 and recommends him ahead of even his favorite palace player, Eze because of the bigger goal threat that Olise has compared to Eze!

[kofi]

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Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 37:

FPL GW37 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW37 – Team News, Injuries, and Press Conference Updates
FPL GW37 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC | FH Special
FPL GW37 Free Hit- Teams to target, Must own players and Drafts

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