After the longest Gameweek ever, we are back to doing business. Last week’s pick Josh King disappointed and only returned a mere 3 points from 2 games, showing just how bad it is to put the captaincy on a player whose team are fighting relegation quite hard. Let’s move on and jump on to our FPL Gameweek 24 Captain Picks analysis.
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 24 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best wildcard team, chip strategy, Watford Analysis, differentials, and more. Full credits to @AK_FPL1 for managing to update the tables in record time based on popular demand.
PS: If you’re looking for the Jota update then scroll down to scenario two where Jota is included.
FPL GW24 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”34″]
Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne, tops the polls with 34% of the votes.
He’s followed by West Ham’s Bowen (16%) and teammate Joao Cancelo (8%). The candidate’s list is rounded up by Salah (6.64%) and Harry Kane (6.56%).
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 24 Captain picks
Harry Kane tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 19 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 4.69, the striker leads the Attacking Stats factor for players.
Mohammed Salah comes in behind Kane, with 20 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big chances and an xG total of 4.38.
Jarrod Bowen just about gets beaten to third place with 13 Shots Inside the Box, 7 Big Chance and an xG of 3.30.
Kevin DeBruyne with 7 shots inside the box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.73 just beats teammate Joao Cancelo to fourth spot, who himself has 3 Shots Inside the Box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.34.
Further Read: FPL GW24 Wildcard- Planning ahead, Chip Strategy and Draft
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
Tottenham have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. An impressive total of 68 Shots Inside the Box and 24 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 14.39, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Liverpool come in second behind Tottenham. Although the shots volume is higher than Tottenham at 76 Shots Inside the Box and 21 Big Chances in Total, their xG is actually fewer at 12.30, pushing them to second in our tables.
Manchester City come in behind Liverpool with 63 Shots Inside the Box, 18 Big Chances in total and an xG of 11.97.
Lastly, West Ham United have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams involved in our picks, with 52 Shots Inside the Box, 19 Big Chances in Total and an xG of 11.19.
Further Read: FPL GW24 | Premium FPL Assets Rotational Planner
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW24
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Manchester City lead the teams with 94% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also has a 53% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this week.
Liverpool come in behind City, with a 92% of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 31% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this Gameweek.
West Ham United have been given an 87% scoring at least 1 Goal this GW, while their odds to score at least 2.5 goals this Gameweek is a decent 31%.
Tottenham come last of the teams since they play only one game, with an 83% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this gameweek, and a 27% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in their game against Southampton this Gameweek.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 24 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub.
With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Mohammed Salah has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 76%, while his Projected Points stand at 6.9 for the week.
Kevin DeBruyne has Anytime Returns Projection at 72%, and the highest Projected Points at 8.1 this week.
Joao Cancelo has an Anytime Returns Projections of 75% while his Projected Points stand at 6.4, which puts him in third place after Salah and DeBryune.
Harry Kane has an Anytime Returns Projections at 62% and Projected Points at 6.6, giving him the fourth spot, while Jarrod Bowen has an Anytime Returns Projections at 57% and Projected Points at 6.1, finishing last in the Returns Projected Factor.
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 24 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Mohammed Salah comes out on top with a CRF Value of 8.
Kevin DeBruyne with a CRF value of 10 just about gets beaten to second by the Egyptian.
Tottenham’s Harry Kane comes in third with a CRF value of 11 as Joao Cancelo comes fourth with a CRF value of 12.
Jarrod Bowen finishes dead last, with a CRF value of 17 to round up our captaincy picks for GW24.
*Author’s note: It’s difficult to see Salah starting the game against Leicester, as he has played 4 games in the last 11 days, with 3 of them going to extra time (120 minutes) and then penalties. We advise you to go with the second pick for the same reason, that is Kevin De Bruyne for Gameweek 24.
Scenario Two with Jota Included and Salah Excluded
After the uncertain news of whether Salah will play the game vs Leicester, Jota has entered the top five in our poll and has pushed out Salah out to sixth in our poll. So now we have updated the tables based on the top five in our poll ~ Jota, KDB, Kane, Cancelo and Bowen. KDB tops it in the absence of Salah and Jota is just close behind in second. Full credits to @AK_FPL1 for managing to update the tables in record time based on popular demand. Please do follow him if you haven’t already!
For people who asked us to add TAA, Son, Salah and Jota together, we are sorry that we couldn’t do custom tables for you as the effort and time required was high. But we do have a solution for the same in the coming weeks, stay tuned!
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 24:
FPL GW24 Top Transfer Ins and Outs | Transfer Trends & Combinations
Impact of FA Cup Results and Draws on FPL GW27 and FPL GW30
Best FPL Chip Strategy For The Remainder Of The Season
Popular Player Comparisons Ahead of FPL GW24/25 ~ Robbo vs Jota, Digne vs Cucurella vs Tierney
FPL GW24 Wildcard Attraction —Strategy, Planning, and Thoughts
FPL GW24 | Premium FPL Assets Rotational Planner
FPL GW24 Scouting Report: Edouard, Olise, Kulusevski & Bentancur
FPL GW24 Wildcard- Planning ahead, Chip Strategy and Draft
FPL Double Gameweek Announcements Tracker & Fixtures to Target
New Premier League Signings and their FPL Impact ~ Should you buy or not?
What to Expect from Frank Lampard at Everton? | Tactical Analysis
Best Budget Players for FPL GW24 and beyond | Salah Enablers
FPL GW24 Ultimate Guide: Announcements, Tips, Differentials, Wildcard Drafts, Captaincy
FPL GW23 Fixture Wise Review & Key Stats That Caught Our Eye
What is FPL CUP? What are the rules? How to win the 2021/22 FPL CUP?
[kofi]
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 24?
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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