FPL GW20 is here and in this blog we take a look at the top captaincy candidate based on our metric. This week we welcome Salah back and let’s see if Mo reclaims his spot on the top of our FPL Gameweek 20 Captain Picks and metrics having been overtaken by Cancelo in GW18 ending his 10 week run on top of our metric.
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 20 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including differentials, review, and analysis of the previous week matches, transfer trends, transfer tips, injury news, postponements, and much more.
FPL GW20 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”30″]
As usual Salah tops the polls with 50% managers voting for him. Diogo Jota and Ronaldo are second with almost simliar number of votes(10%), Son is fourth and Cancelo is fifth in the polls to round it up.
Further Read: FPL GW20 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW20 Preview
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 20 Captain picks
| (C)andidate | Shots Inside The Box | Chances Created | Big Chances Total | Expected Goals (xG) | Player’s Attack Rank |
| Salah | 18 | 9 | 7 | 3.90 | 2 |
| Jota | 24 | 6 | 9 | 4.33 | 1 |
| Ronaldo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 3.32 | 3 |
| Son | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2.52 | 4 |
| Cancelo | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1.13 | 5 |
Diogo Jota dominates the individual stats with a whopping 24 shots inside the box, 9 big chances and an xG of 4.33. Salah is not far behind with 18 shots inside the box, seven big chances and an xG of 3.90. Although Man United aren’t creating a lot, Ronaldo still is getting the bulk of those chances and he’s third amongst our top five picks.
Further Read: FPL GW20 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW20 Preview
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
| (C)andidate | Shots Inside The Box | Big Chances Total | Expected Goals (xG) | Team’s Attack Rank |
| Liverpool(Salah) | 80 | 22 | 14.60 | 2 |
| Liverpool(Jota) | 80 | 22 | 14.60 | 2 |
| Man United(Ronaldo) | 41 | 12 | 8.90 | 5 |
| Spurs(Son) | 52 | 20 | 11.30 | 4 |
| Man City(Cancelo) | 93 | 23 | 19.1 | 1 |
Man City and Liverpool are on a league of their own with City coming first and Liverpool second. This means Cancelo tops this section of metrics with Salah and Jota second. Man United have been poor and Ronaldo is last in team stats.
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Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW20
| (C)andidate | Drafthound Clean Sheet Odds | Drafthound Odds of Conceding >2.5 Goals | Safety Rank | Explosion Rank | Average Factor of Safety Rank and Explosion Rank | Fixture Difficulty Rank |
| Leicester (vs Salah) | 8% | 25% | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Leicester (vs Jota) | 8% | 25% | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Burnley (vs Ronaldo) | 13% | 39% | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Southampton (vs Son) | 20% | 23% | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Brentford (vs Cancelo) | 8% | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. We have used Drafthound’s Clean Sheet odds and the Odds of Conceding more than 2.5 goals. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Man City once again have the best odds with their opponents having just 8% chance of keeping a CS and a whopping 50% chance of conceding 2.5+ goals. Leicester surpirsingly have good odds of restrciting Liverpool to less than 2.5+ goals but their low CS chance of 8% means Salah and Jota are second on the table behind Cancelo.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 20 Captain Picks
| (C)andidate | Anytime Returns (FFHUB Tool) | Projected Points (FFHUB) | Safety Ranking | Explosion Rank | Average Rank Factor | Safety + Explosion Rank |
| Salah | 69% | 7.4 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Jota | 58% | 5.8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Ronaldo | 70% | 6.8 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Son | 57% | 6.1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Cancelo | 63% | 5.4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah and Ronaldo are joint top of the projections with Salah having a 69% chance of a return and a points projection of 7.4. Meanwhile Ronaldo has a 70% chance of return with a points projection of 6.8.
Further Read: FPL GW20 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW20 Preview
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 20 Captaincy metric analysis
| (C)andidate | Player’s Attack Rank | Team’s Attack Rank | Favourable Fixture Rank | Safety + Explosion Projections Rank | Cumulative Rank Factor |
| Salah | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Jota | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Ronaldo | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| Son | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| Cancelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Salah has comeback to top the metric in GW20 against a Leicester side who shipped six goals just 48 hours back. Jota is second and if you don’t own Salah then he’s the best alternative according to our metric. However if you’re concerned by his minutes then Cancelo seems to be not a bad option against a struggling Brentford side.
Thanks for reading the ‘FPL GW20 captaincy picks and metrics’ blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs. Also, follow our 45,000+community on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates. Link to all our FPL Gameweek 20 blogs.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 20:
Best FPL GW20 Free Hit Team Ahead of FPL Gameweek 20 Deadline
FPL GW19 Fixture Wise Stats Review | Players that Caught our Eye
FPL GW20 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Comparisons, Captaincy
What is FPL CUP? What are the rules? How to win the 2021/22 FPL CUP?
2021/22 FPL Chip Strategy: What to do with the Elusive Boosts
We have also made an elaborate guide covering every rule and chip available in FPL for the 2021/22 FPL Season ~ 2021/22 Fantasy Premier League Season Rules, Tips | The Ultimate Guide
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 20?
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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