After a very surprisingly amazing week for our Captaincy metrics where it chose Cancelo and Foden over Salah (who blanked), we are back with our FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks. (Note: Blog written and published 4 hours before deadline. At the time of writing we have not got any confirmed news about Cancelo being out due to COVID and Spurs game off due to COVID)
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 19 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including differentials, review, and analysis of the previous week matches, transfer trends, transfer tips, injury news, postponements, and much more.
FPL GW19 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”29″]
Manchester United’s Crisitano Ronaldo, tops the polls with 48% of the votes.
He’s followed by Heung Min-Son (17.7%) and last Gameweek’s hero Joao Cancelo (16%). The candidates list is rounded up by Lacazette (3%) and Phil Foden (4%).
Further Read: FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW19 Preview
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 19 Captain picks
| (C)andidate | Shots Inside The Box | Chances Created | Big Chances Total | Expected Goals (xG) | Player’s Attack Rank |
| Ronaldo | 17 | 1 | 6 | 3.70 | 1 |
| Son | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2.21 | 3 |
| Cancelo | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0.48 | 5 |
| Foden | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1.9 | 4 |
| Lacazette | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2.51 | 2 |
Cristiano Ronaldo tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 12 Shots Inside the Box, 5 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 3.32, the Portuguese leads the Attacking Stats factor for players.
Lacazette comes in behind Ronaldo, with 6 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big chances and an xG total of 2.51.
Heung-Min Son just about takes the third place with 5 Shots Inside the Box, 3 Big Chance and an xG of 1.86.
Phil Foden with 7 shots inside the box, 1 Big Chance and xG of 1.90 just about beats teammate Joao Cancelo, who has 4 Shots Inside the Box, 1 Big Chance and xG of 0.48.
Further Read: FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW19 Preview
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
| (C)andidate | Shots Inside The Box | Big Chances Total | Expected Goals (xG) | Team’s Attack Rank |
| Man United (Ronaldo) | 48 | 11 | 10.20 | 4 |
| Tottenham (Son) | 45 | 18 | 9.90 | 5 |
| Man City(Cancelo) | 94 | 22 | 18.20 | 1 |
| Man City (Foden) | 94 | 22 | 18.20 | 1 |
| Arsenal (Lacazette) | 70 | 19 | 13.9 | 3 |
Manchester City have the best underlying numbers as a team in the last 6 games. An impressive total of 94 Shots Inside the Box and 22 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 18.20, by far the best as compared to the teams in focus in this week’s analysis.
Arsenal come in second behind Manchester City with 70 Shots Inside the Box and 19 Big Chances in Total resulting in an xG of 13.90.
Manchester United come in behind Manchester City with 48 Shots Inside the Box, 11 Big Chances in total and an xG of 10.20.
Tottenham have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams assessed here, with just 45 Shots Inside the Box, 18 Big Chances in total and an xG of 9.90.
Further Read: Popular FPL GW19 Player Comparisons | FPL GW19 Preview
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Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW19
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. We have used Drafthound’s Clean Sheet odds and the Odds of Conceding more than 2.5 goals. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
| (C)andidate | Drafthound Clean Sheet Odds | Drafthound Odds of Conceding >2.5 Goals | Safety Rank | Explosion Rank | Average Factor of Safety Rank and Explosion Rank | Fixture Difficulty Rank |
| Newcastle (vs Ronaldo) | 14% | 37% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Crystal Palace (vs Son) | 20% | 25% | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Leicester City (vs Cancelo) | 8% | 42% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Leicester City (vs Foden) | 8% | 42% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Norwich (vs Lacazette) | 14% | 31% | 3 | 4 | 3.5 | 4 |
Leicester, who are facing Manchester City this week, have the weakest odds. Clean sheet odds of just 8% pretty much tells you that the bookies really fancy Manchester City to score at least one goal in this match. Leicester City have also been given a 42% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals this week, meaning City scoring 3 goals this Gameweek should not come as a surprise.
Newcastle come in behind Leicester, with a 14% chance of keeping a CS and a 37% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals this week against Manchester United.
Norwich, facing Arsenal this week, have been given a 14% chance of keeping a Clean Sheet. They have also been given a 31% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals against Arsenal who have been in form recently.
Crystal Palace have been given the best Clean sheets odds of 20% this week out of all the teams in focus here. They have also been given a 25% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals, as the bookies seem to be less confident on this one seeing too many goals.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 19 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
| (C)candidate | Anytime Returns (FFHUB Tool) | Projected Points (FFHUB) | Safety Ranking | Explosion Rank | Average Rank Factor | Safety + Explosion Rank |
| Ronaldo | 71% | 6.9 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Son | 58% | 6.4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Cancelo | 73% | 6.2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Foden | 61% | 3.6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Lacazette | 56% | 5.4 | 5 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 |
Cristiano Ronaldo has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 71%, while his Projected Points stand at 6.9 for the week.
Joao Cancelo has the second-highest Anytime Returns Projections at 73%, and his Projected Points at 6.2 for the game against Watford.
Hueng-Min Son has an Anytime Returns Projections of 58% while his Projected Points stand at 6.4, which puts him in the third place after Ronaldo and Cancelo.
Phil Foden has an Anytime Returns Projections at 52% and Projected Points at 5.8, giving him the fourth spot, while Lacazette has an Anytime Returns Projections at 56% and Projected Points at 5.6, who rounds up the picks for the week.
Further Read: FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW19 Preview
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 20 Captaincy metric analysis
| (C)andidate | Player’s Attack Rank | Team’s Attack Rank | Favourable Fixture Rank | Safety + Explosion Projections Rank | Cumulative Rank Factor |
| Ronaldo | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| Son | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| Cancelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| Foden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| Lacazette | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
For the second week in a row, we are tied with both Cristiano Ronaldo and Joao Cancelo with a CRF value of 9 each. However, with Covid rumours for Cancelo flying about, it would be wise to captain Ronaldo instead.
Phil Foden comes in third behind the Portuguese duo with a CRF value of 10.
Lacazette gets the fourth spot behind Foden with a CRF value of 14.
Tottenham’s Hueng-Min Son rounds up GW19’s picks as he finishes last with a CRF value of 16.
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Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 19:
Popular FPL GW19 Player Comparisons | FPL GW19 Preview
FPL GW19 Differential Picks to Consider | FPL GW19 Preview
Best FPL GW19 Free Hit Team Ahead of FPL Gameweek 19 Deadline
FPL GW19 Top Transfer Ins And Outs | Transfer Trends & Combinations
FPL GW19 Ultimate Guide: Postponements, Double and Blank GWs, Tips, Differentials, Comparisons, Captaincy
FPL Free Hit Chip Explained | Extra FH Chip | FPL Guide
GW18 Sunday Fixture Wise Review | Players That Caught Our Eye
FPL GW18 Saturday Fixture Wise Review | Players That Caught Our Eye
FPL History: Highest Scoring FPL Players Each Year Since The First FPL Season In 2002/03
What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 19?
We’ll be covering fixture analysis, differential picks, GW19 Wildcard drafts, captaincy metrics, player comparisons, expected line up, press conference summaries, Scout Picks for FPL GW19, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs and subscribe to our free newsletter through the link below. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook keep our notification ON.
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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