FPL GW11 Saturday Fixtures Review Based on Stats and Eye Test

FPL GW11 Saturday fixtures proved to be a roller coaster ride for FPL managers with a lot of benching, goals, surprise victories, CS losses, and more. Here in this blog, we review the stats and key numbers from FPL GW11 Saturday fixtures that caught our eye. This review is written by @fpl Trybe(Do follow him on Twitter)

FPL GW11 Fixture wise Review

Southampton vs Aston Villa

Scoreline	1	0
xG(1H/2H)	0.62 (0.52/0.10)	0.70 (0.15/0.55)
xGOT	0.78	0.14
Shots on Target	3 (JWP, A.Armstrong, Che)	3 (Bailey, El-Ghazi, Buendia)
Big Chances	1 (S. Armstrong)	0
Top 2 FPL scorers	A.Armstrong (9)McCarthy (9)	Watkins (2)Mings (2)
Next 4	nor-liv-LEI-BHA	BHA-cry-MCI-LEI
Style of Play	4-4-2	4-2-3-1
Talking Points	Overly offensive in 1H Armstromg scoring a stunning goal (xG: 0.04)S. Armstrong with a BC missed (xG: 0.19) in the 6-yard boxWard-prowse with most chances created (4)	Much improved 2H performance – offensivelyxG open play of 0.59 8 SiB (Watkins,El-Ghazi & Buendia with 2 each) Matty Cash won the most duels (14) in the match – MoM performanceBuendia El-Ghazi with a combined xG of 0.34

Southampton FPL Notes:

• 5th clean sheet of the season
• 3rd win of the season; all have been the same scoreline (1-0)
• McCarthy is now the 2nd highest GK in FPL (47 pts); in my watchlist
• FPL Cue: Livra & McCarthy (28 saves; tied with DDG & 1 more than Mendy)

Aston Villa FPL Notes:

• Martinez (44 pts) & Cash (39 pts) are the Top 2 FPL assets for AVL
• AVL has fallen off the cliff post their 1-0 away victory at Old Trafford
• Have lost 5 games on the trot
• Huge pressure on Dean Smith; currently sitting bottom of the table

Manchester United vs Manchester City

Scoreline	0	2
xG(1H/2H)	0.73(0.67/0.06)	1.31(0.89/0.42)
xGOT	0.02	0.52
Shots on Target	1 (CR7)	5 (Cancelo – 2KDB, B.Silva, Jesus – 1)
Big Chances	1 (Greenwood)	1 (Gundogan)
Top 2 FPL scorers	Cancelo (14)B. Silva (8)	Bruno (2)CR7 (1)
Next 4	wat-che-ARS-CRY	EVE-WHU-avl-wat
Style of Play	3-4-1-2	4-3-3
Talking Points	Conceded 16 crosses on the right flank (2nd worst after NOR on Saturday)Greenwood missed a BC (xG: 0.52) in 1HDisappointing 2nd half showing with a poor xG of 0.06Only 1 SoTDDG with 5 saves avoided an embarrassment	KDB’s game of the season – 3 SiB, 1 BC (xG: 0.07) which should have been scored, 4 chances created. Unfortunate not to come out with a returnKDB & B.Silva played as false 9s Cancelo much advanced on the left flank with 1 BCCGundo (xG: 0.04) & Foden (xG: 0.09) hit the woodwork once

MUN FPL Notes:

• 17 goals conceded (5th worst; tied with Burnley & Leeds)
• 3rd loss at home already this season; 7/18 points
• 14 goals scored in last 9
• FPL Cue: With Watford next and a better away form, Greenwood could be a differential

MCi FPL Notes:

• Best defensive unit comfortably with a season xGC of 7.46
• Only 6 goals conceded (2 vs LIV)
• Cancelo’s 4th assist (2 vs MU, 1 each vs LEI & CHE)
• FPL Cue: Double MCI def. over double CHE def.

Brentford vs Norwich

Scoreline	1	2
xG(1H/2H)	2.79(1.28/1.51)	1.15(0.86/0.29)
xGOT	2.55	1.53
Shots on Target	7 (Norgaard – 3Canos – 2Henry,Pinnock,Jansson – 1)	5 (Rashica – 3; Normann, Pukki – 1)
Big Chances	3 (Norgaard – 2Henry – 1)	1 (Pukki)
Top 2 FPL scorers	Henry (10)Ghoddos (4)	Normann (9)Pukki (9)
Next 4	new-EVE-tot-lee	SOU-WOL-new-tot
Style of Play	3-5-2	4-3-2-1
Talking Points	Norgaard & Henry with a combined xG of 1.65Toney & Mbeumo with a combined xG of 0.26Mbeumo’s goal ruled out offsideToney with a missed chance (xG:0.14) from a throw-in in 2’. Got booked in 4’ uncharacteristicallyNorgaard with a BC missed (xg: 0.66) from a throw-inJensen with 7 CC	1st win of the seasonTalisman Pukki (xG: 0.91) with the bulk of team xGScored from a pen after being brought down by GoodeRashica (3), Pukki (2)  & Normann (2) with highest shots takenKrul with 6 saves, all in the box

BRE FPL Notes:

• Four defeats on the bounce now
• 4/5 defeats at home
• Toney 2G in 11; Mbeumo with 0 GI in last 236 mins
• Defensive injuries to Raya (GK) and Jorgensen (CB) haven’t helped
• FPL Cue: BRE’s attacking numbers remain impressive but Toney & Mbeumo’s non-involvement in recent goals aint good news. Exposure to Mbeumo is enough

NOR FPL Notes:

• 5G in 11; 3 in last 2 (LEE & bre)
• Pukki with 3G
• Next 3 fixtures critical for survival
• FPL Cue: Pukki (5.9m) & Krul (4.5m) with 23% of team’s FPL points. Better assets at these price points 

Chelsea vs Burnley

Scoreline	1	1
xG(1H/2H)	2.28(0.93/1.36)	0.82(0.05/0.77)
xGOT	0.80	1.15
Shots on Target	4 (CHO – 2Havertz, Jorginho – 1)	2 (Cornet,Vydra)
Big Chances	5 (Havertz – 2Rudiger,Christensen,Barkley – 1)	1 (Vyrdra)
Top 2 FPL scorers	Havertz (8)James (7)	Vydra (7)Rodriguez (4)
Next 4	lei-MUN-wat-whu	CRY-TOT-wol-new
Style of Play	3-4-2-1	4-4-2
Talking Points	CHO was the most advanced CHE asset (xGI: 1.04); 3 BCC Havertz with the highest xG: 0.70. Should have scored another goalReece James with an assist (xA: 0.38) and 1 BCCMount coming in as a sub in 85’	70 long balls vs CHE’s 58Defence over-performed with an xGC: 2.28 and 1 GC2 diving saves from PopeVydra with the highest xG: 0.67Wood subbed-out for Rodriguez in 61’

CHE FPL Notes:

• 4 GC for the season(best)
• xGC: 11.79(5th best)
• Havertz (8.1m) now with 1G 1A in 2 games
• James’s confidence levels look supremely higher than Chilwell’s (eye test)
• FPL Cue: Still feel double-up of Chilwell + James is not a value proposition 

BUR FPL Notes:

• 7th best xG in last 2; 15th best xG for the season
• Last 6 (incl MCI,CHE & LEI): Only 1 loss, 1 clean sheet & 8 goals scored 
• FPL Cue: Lowton(4.4m) & Cornet(6m) could be looked at considering their price-points have many options available and these 2 could prove to be differentials coz of low ownership

Crystal Palace vs Wolves

Scoreline	2	0
xG(1H/2H)	1.81(0.14/1.68)	0.29(0.18/0.11)
xGOT	1.42	0.27
Shots on Target	6 (Edouard, Benteke – 2Gallagher, Zaha – 1)	2 (Jiminez, Moutinho)
Big Chances	3 (Zaha – 2Gallagher – 1)	0
Top 2 FPL scorers	Gallagher (11)Zaha (8)	Jiminez (2)Hwang (2)
Next 4	bur-AVL-lee-mun	WHU-nor-BUR-LIV
Style of Play	4-3-3	3-4-2-1
Talking Points	12 SiBSuper-attacking display in 2H1 BCC each for Zaha, Edouard, McArthur & Schlupp4 CC by Gallagher & ZahaGallagher lucky to get a goal with a huge deflection (xG: 0.06)	2SiBToo many long ballsNo real threat from Open Play (xG:0.06)Jiminez & Hwang with a combined xG: 0.13Totally outmatched by the opposition in all departments

CRY FPL Notes:

• Guaita with an approx average saves of 2.9 per game
• 4 clean sheets (BRE,TOT,mci,WOL)
• 4G 4A for Gallagher (875 mins) & 4G 1A for Zaha (824 mins)
• FPL Cue: Zaha (6.9m) looks a different player under Vieira; less frustrated; more of a team player. Is on Penalties as well.  

WOL FPL Notes:

• 7th best xG and 9th best xGC for the season
• 1st loss in 6
• One of their worst performances of the season. IB couldn’t have come at a better time for them
• Jiminez (7.7m) has blanked 7/11 times
• FPL Cue: Hwang (5.8m) is only 5 pts behind Jiminez with 300 less mins in the bag

Brighton vs Newcastle United

Scoreline	1	1
xG(1H/2H)	1.41(1.08/0.33)	0.37(0.08/0.29)
xGOT	1.42	0.18
Shots on Target	5 (Trossard – 3Lamptey, Duffy – 1)	Hayden (1)
Big Chances	1 (Trossard)	0
Top 2 FPL scorers	Trossard (10)March (3)	Hayden (10)Clark (6)
Next 4	avl-LEE-whu-sou	BRE-ars-NOR-BUR
Style of Play	4-1-4-1	5-4-1
Talking Points	Trossard’s 2nd straight start as a false 9 (xG: 0.95 & xA: 0.23); 1 BC and 1 BCC 6 CC among Veltman,Lamptey & Cucurella2 SiB each for Lamptey & Cucurella1st start for Lamptey	Toothless attacking-wise5 CC (2 by Clark)Wilson with an xG: 0.04Hayden scoring (xG: 0.19) his 1st goal since his solitary goal in 19/20 season

BHA FPL Notes:

• Trossard’s contribution (11.4%) is the highest towards team’s FPL pts; 3G 1A
• Maupay has only played 81 mins in last 3
• Only 2 losses in 11; same as MCI
• Haven’t lost an away game yet; play AVL next
• FPL Cue: Lamptey (4.4) looks super-lively & attacking. Can be rotated with Livramento from the bench. Still better prospects available than Trossard (6.4m) at the price-point

NEW FPL Notes:

• Eddie Howe to take charge from GW12 onwards
• FPL Cue: Good set of fixtures coming up to look at Wilson (7.3m) & Ritchie (4.9m) considering Howe did wonders with these two at Bournemouth 

Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 12:

We have also made an elaborate guide covering every rule and chip available in FPL for the 2021/22 FPL Season ~ 2021/22 Fantasy Premier League Season Rules, Tips | The Ultimate Guide

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