Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks & Metrics blog. A blank gameweek for four teams means the captaincy pool is smaller this wee. The popular captaincy options this week include Salah, Isak, Barnes, Murphy and Cunha. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics!
This season the metrics has a 23/33 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 + 42 + 18 + 32 + 14 + 32 + 6 + 16 + 58 + 40 + 28 + 12 + 30 + 14 + 6 + 4 + 22 + 8 = 634 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW34 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, free hit drafts, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW34 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW34 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Isak tops the captaincy poll this week with 35% of the votes ahead of facing Ipswich at home. Cunha is 2nd ahead of Salah with the former getting 23% of the votes and will be playing the already relegated Foxes at home, the later has got 21% of the votes and will be playing against Spurs at home. The top five in the captaincy poll is completed is by Isak’s team mates Murphy and Barnes.
Further Read: FPL GW34 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 34 Captain picks
The Egyptian king tops the table with an xG of 3.79 in the last six games, including 9 big chances, which is the highest amongst the five players. He’s also created 17 chances for his teammates, close to three chances every game.
Harvey Barnes is 2nd in the table with an xG of 3.14 in the last six games and is 2nd for big chances(4). He’s also had 18 shots inside the box in the last six games, highest amongst the five players.
Cunha is 3rd with an xG of 2.54, 11 goal attempts in the box, 10 chances created, and 3 big chances in the last six games.
Newcastle star Isak is only fourth with an xG of 2.44 and has had seven big chances and 14 goal attempts in the box over he last six games.
Jacob Murphy is last with an xG of 1.77 over the last six games, he’s also created 9 chances for his team mates during the period.
Further Read: FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Liverpool take the first spot with an xG of 13.14 in the last six games and have had 88 shots inside the box and 26 big chances during the period.
Newcastle are second with 10.65 xG over the last six games, they have also had 59 goal attempts in the box and 22 big chances.
Wolves are last for xG amongst the five teams, registering 7.66 xG in the six games. They have also had a decent 41 shots inside the box and 12 big chances.
Further Read: Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW34
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Newcastle are first with a 92% odds of at least 1 goal and 58% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW34 vs Ipswich(H)
Liverpool are 2nd with a 90% odds of scoring at least one goal and 58% odds of scoring odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW34 vs Spurs(H).
Wolves are last with 83% odds of scoring at least one goal and 33% odds of scoring 2+ goals, which are pretty strong odds as they prepare to face relegated Leicester City at home.
Further Read: FPL GW34 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks
In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Salah is first for projections this week with 71% anytime returns & a 8.1 points projection in FPL BGW34.
Isak is second this week with 71% anytime returns & a 7.1 points projection in FPL BGW34. Salah and Isak have the same return odds but Isak’s xMins is slightly lower than that of Salah reducing his predicted points.
Cunha, meanwhile, is 3rd and has a 57% anytime returns & a 6.3 points projection in GW34 against Leicester City at home.
Barnes is 4th with 55% anytime returns and a points prediction of 5.6. Murphy is last with a 50% anytime returns and a points prediction of 4.8.
Further Read: Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 34 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops the FPL Gameweek 34 captaincy metrics this week with a CRF of 7. Isak and Barnes are joint 2nd with a CRF of 9, Murphy is 4th with a CRF of 13 and Cunha is last with a CRF of 16.
Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW34:
2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
FPL GW34 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 34 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW34 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
Top FPL GW34 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW34 Free Hit Guide – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
Premier League GW34 Predictions and Prizes- Sleeper Pick’em
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
Link to all our FPL GW34 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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