Top FPL GW27 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some Big Scores where 3 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points.

• Kauro Mitoma – 1 Goal – 8 Points
• James Maddison  – 1 Assist – 4 Points
• Yankuba Minteh – 1 Assist – 6 Points

That makes it 71/156 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differentials (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Sunday 23^rd  February 2025. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW27 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW27 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Jarrod Bowen vs Leicester City(H) – £7.3 Midfielder – 3.3 % TSB

• Slowly but steadily Bowen has racked up 13 Attacking returns in an underwhelming season for West Ham. Bowen has started 22 matches this season and has great stats with 24 Shots on Target, 38 Shots in the Box, and 10 Big chances. He has also created 6 Big Chances and played 40 key passes this season.
• Leicester are in the bottom 4 for Shots conceded, Shots on Target conceded, Shots in the Box conceded, and XGC. They usually concede more than 2 Goals per game. They’re also the second-worst at defending set-pieces and the worst vs headed attempts.
• Leicester have allowed the most shots in the league from their left and that is where Bowen will operate (right winger for West Ham)

Note: Bowen also has a confirmed fixture in GW29 where Teams like Palace, Newcastle, Liverpool, and Villa blank.

Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis

Christopher Nkunku vs Southampton(H) – £5.7 Midfielder – 2.1 % TSB

• Chelsea will play Ipswich, Southampton, Leicester, Brentford, and Spurs in the next 6 Games (teams which are ranked in the Bottom 6 for Shots in the Box conceded). Infact all of these teams are leaky and are prone to defensive mistakes, something which Nkunku can take advantage of.

• Southampton are rock bottom for Shots on Target conceded, Shots in the Box Conceded, Big Chances conceded, xGC, Goals conceded and Shots conceded.
• Due to the ongoing injury crisis for the attacking Chelsea players, Nkunku should be nailed to start these attractive fixtures coming up. Nkunku has got limited game time this season with only 5 starts so far. He has scored 2 Goals and 1 Assist so far. He has had 8 Shots on Target, 12 Shots in the box, and 7 Big Chances. He has created 1 Big Chance in that time and played 11 key passes for his teammates.

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

Jean Phillipe Mateta vs Aston Villa(H) – £7.4 Forward – 9.3 % TSB

• 7 Goals and 1 Assist in the last 7 Games shows the electric form Mateta is in currently and similar to last season he could finish the season with a bang. Mateta has 11 Goals and 2 Assists this season and plays Ipswich, Villa, and Southampton besides having a blank in Gameweek 29. He also has a Double Gameweek in Gameweek 32.

Mateta Stats over the Last 7 Gameweeks(Rank among Forwards):

• xG- 5.46 (1st)
• Big Chances- 10 (Joint 1st)
• Goals- 1 (Joint 1st)
• FPL Points- 56 (2nd)

• Mateta has 24 Shots on Target, 41 Shots in the box, and 24 Big chances. He also has created 6 Big chances and played 24 key passes for his teammates. They play an Aston Villa team that has only kept 3 Clean sheets and struggled on the road (kept only 1 Clean sheet away)

Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 27 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Omar Marmoush vs Spurs(A) – £7.1 Midfielder –  7.7 % TSB

• The Egyptian Prince is on everyone’s radar after his hat-trick against Newcastle. With Haaland out injured, Marmoush will be playing as the Central Striker for City.  He looked bright against both Liverpool and Newcastle. He is a clinical player with 3 Goals from 3 Shots on Target. He has even played 4 Key passes and created 1 Big Chance. He also had a goal ruled out for offside against Liverpool.
• Manchester City are also back to their prolific scoring ways. City have the best home xG in the league. Manchester City are ranked in the Top 4 for Shots, Shots on Target and Shots in the Box. They have generated the 3^rd highest xG in the League and have scored the 3^rd highest number of Goals in the League.
• Spurs are still struggling defensively and are ranked in the Top 5 for xGC and number of Goals conceded in the League. Lots of opportunities for City to score goals in this game.

Upcoming Fixtures for Manchester City including a good fixture in Blank Gameweek 29:

Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis

Bruno Fernandes vs Ipswich(H)- £8.3 Midfielder –  8.3 % TSB

• In a horrible season for Manchester United, it is the Captain who has got the joint-highest number of attacking returns for his team (6 Goals and 7 Assists). With Free kicks and Penalties in his locker and being a 90-minute man and a Bonus Magnet, Bruno has multiple routes to points. He is even playing higher up the pitch with Amad now injured.
• Bruno’s stats are great with 20 Shots on Target, 29 Shots in the Box, and 12 Big chances. He has created 11 Big Chances and played 55 key passes for his teammates.
• Ipswich are in the Bottom 5 for Shots conceded, Shots on Target conceded and Shots in the Box conceded. They are also in the Bottom 2 for xGC and Big Chances conceded. Ipswich also have the third-worst home xGC in the league.

Note: Bruno Fernandes also has a good fixture in GW29 vs Leicester(A) where Liverpool, Villa, Newcastle and Palace do not have a fixture.

Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 27 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

FPL GW27 Ultra Differential Pick (Under 1 % Ownership)

Pedro Neto vs Southampton(H), £6.2 Midfielder – 0.7 % TSB

• Neto played as Chelsea’s Central striker in the game against Villa and had a brilliant 1^st half where he created many chances and earned an Assist. Neto’s stats are nothing extraordinary as he is not a regular starter in the team but in the absence of Jackson & Madueke, should be starting most games going forward (including the two tasty fixtures up next against the Bottom 2 teams in the league)

Pedro Neto vs Aston Villa in GW26:

• Minutes- 90
• Shots inside the Box- 4
• xG- 0.42
• Chances created- 4
• Big Chances created- 1
• xA- 0.5
• Assists- 1

• Chelsea will play Ipswich, Southampton, Leicester, Brentford, and Spurs in the next 6 Games (teams which are ranked in the Bottom 6 for Shots in the Box conceded). Infact all of these teams are leaky and are prone to defensive mistakes, something which Neto can take advantage of.
• Southampton are rock bottom for Shots on Target conceded, Shots in the Box Conceded, Big Chances conceded, xGC, Goals conceded and Shots conceded.

That’s it for Gameweek 27. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 27.

Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW27:

2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
Top FPL GW27 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 27 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
FPL GW27 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW27 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 27 of the 2023/24 FPL Season?

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