Top FPL DGW25 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some Big Scores where 4 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points.

• Vitali Mykolenko – 1 Clean Sheet – 7 Points
• Ibrahima Konate – 1 Clean Sheet – 7 Points
• Iliman Ndiaye – 1 Goal, 1 Bonus – 9 Points
• David Moyes – 1 Win, 1 Draw, 6 Goals, 1 Clean Sheet – 22 Points

That makes it 66/144 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will be highlighting 4 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 2 Ultra Differentials (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Wednesday 12^th  February, 2025. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL DGW25 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL DGW25 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Dango Ouattara vs Southampton(A) – £5.1 – 1.7 % TSB

• A Budget Midfielder playing up top for a fearless attacking team is a dream for us FPL Managers. In the last 4 Gameweeks Ouattara has actually been presented with the most Big Chances among the Cherries players. He has got 5 Big Chances which is almost half of the 11 Big Chances that Bournemouth have got in the last 4 Gameweeks. Bournemouth are also in the Top 4 for Metrics such as Shots, Shots on Target, Shots in the Box and xG in the League.
• Ouattara is for now nailed to start in the team until Evanilson returns at the end of the season. He has good stats considering he has only cemented himself in the team in the last few weeks. He has 29 Shots in the Box, 13 Shots on Target, 14 Big Chances and has created 8 Big Chances and played 14 Key passes. He has already hit double digit for attacking returns this season with 6 Goals & 4 Assists. Expect that number to rise over the next few Gameweeks.

Dango Ouattara Stats since Evanilson injury(GW21):

• Matches– 4
• Shots inside the box– 7
• Big Chances– 5
• xG– 1.51
• Chances Created– 3
• Goal Involvements– 4
• FPL Points– 29

• Bournemouth’s brilliant run starts with a game against bottom of the table Southampton. Southampton are top for Shots on Target conceded, Shots in the Box conceded, Big Chances conceded, xGC and Goals conceded. They also tend to concede a lot of Chances through the Center of the pitch where Ouattara operates.

Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis

Lucas Digne vs Ipswich(H), Liverpool(H) – £4.6 – 7.2 % TSB

• The FPL OG Troll is back and we couldn’t help getting sucked into his trap. Digne has actually done quite well this season with 4 Assists. He has created 12 Big Chances and played 29 Key passes this season. In terms of Goal Threat he has had 3 Shots on Target and seems to be quite nailed in Villa’s injury prone defence.

Most Big Chances Created among Defenders this season:

• Alexander Arnold- 14
• Digne- 12
• Leif Davis- 10
• Mitchell- 9

• Ipswich are ranked bottom for Shots, Shots in the Box, Big Chances and xG in the League. They have scored the 2^nd lowest Goals in the League and Villa have actually been brilliant at home where they have only lost 1 Game in Gameweek 2 (against Arsenal, a game where they should not have lost ideally)

Further Read: FPL Midfielders Watch: Top Assets to Target for Gameweeks 25-28

Dean Huijsen vs Southampton(A) – £4.4 – 4.3 % TSB

• The Cheapest route into the Bournemouth Defence is not the worst pick. Actually Huijsen is almost similar to Kerkez in terms of Goal potential and has scored the same amount of Goals as Kerkez. Huijsen has had 11 Shots so far but he only started playing after Senesi got injured. Also Huijsen has more Shots in the Box (9) while Kerkez has only 7.

Huijsen vs Kerkez- Per 90 stats this season:

• xGI- 0.16 vs 0.10
• Big Chances- 0.15 vs 0.00
• Shots inside the box- 0.65 vs 0.30
• Big Chances Created- 0.07 vs 0.22

• Southampton have also conceded the most Attempts from Set pieces which suits Huijsen in this game more compared to Kerkez. Bounemouth’s defensive stats are in the middle of the League (8^th best in terms of xGC and they have conceded the joint 5^th fewest Goals in the League)
• Southampton are bottom for Goals scored in the League and are ranked in the Bottom 4 for attacking stats such as Shots, Shots on Target, Shots in the Box and xG. This could be a good chance for a Clean Sheet for Bournemouth.

Further Read: FPL GW25 Tips- Top Liverpool Assets, Assistant Manager Transfers

Unai Emery vs Ipswich(H), Liverpool(H) – £0.8– 8 % TSB

•  Villa have actually been brilliant at home where they have only lost 1 Game in Gameweek 2 (against Arsenal, a game where they should not have lost ideally)

Villa have 7 Wins, 4 Draws in their Last 11 Home Games after their defeat to Arsenal.

• Villa are predicted to get to win comfortably at Ipswich and have a good chance for a Clean Sheet as Ipswich are ranked bottom for Shots, Shots in the Box, Big Chances and xG in the League. They have scored the 2^nd lowest Goals in the League. Ipswich also are very poor defensively as they are in the Bottom 2 for Big Chances and Goals conceded and are ranked in the Bottom 5 for Shots, Shots on Target and Shots in the Boxes conceded.
• Finally there is a unlikely chance that Villa get a positive result against Liverpool at home, but as it’s a Table Bonus game, it could be a gamble worth taking.

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season

FPL GW25 Ultra Differential Picks (Under 1 % Ownership)

Jacob Ramsey vs Ipswich(H), Liverpool(H) – £5.4 – 0.3 % TSB

• We have seen before that Ramsey is a pure form player and performs really well when he is feeling it. Ramsey has started the last 5 Games and played more than 70+ minutes in all but 1 Game. He has a Goal and 3 Bonus in the last 5 Games and also scored against Spurs in the FA Cup last weekend.
• Unai Emery was full of praise for Ramsey after the Spurs victory and even let Ramsey play on for 90 minutes where he racked up 5 Shots and got into some really attacking positions (sometimes as the player furthest forward, in the absence of Watkins)
• Ipswich also are very poor defensively as they are in the Bottom 2 for Big Chances and Goals conceded and are ranked in the Bottom 5 for Shots, Shots on Target and Shots in the Boxes conceded.

Further Read: 2024/25 FPL Chip Strategy Guide – Best Windows and Analysis

Ethan Nwaneri vs Leicester(A) – £4.5 – 0.8 % TSB

• Jesus, Saka, Havertz, Martineli all injured. Time for Trossard, Sterling & Nwaneri to step up and show what they are all about. Nwaneri has scored 2 Goals in the last 5 League Games and is slowly starting to find his feet with the Arsenal regulars (same as what we saw with Saka few years back)
• Leicester are ranked in the Top 5 for xGC, Big Chances conceded, Shots, Shots in the Box and Shots on Target conceded. They have conceded the 2^nd most Goals in the League and have only kept 1 Clean sheet which is the fewest in the League.

That’s it for Double Gameweek 25. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 25.

Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL DGW25:

2024/25 Ultimate Chip Strategy Guide- Best Windows to play all Chips & Combinations
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 24/25 FPL Season
FPL Gameweek 25 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW25 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 25 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Top FPL DGW25 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Ultimate FPL Assistant Manager Chip Guide: Rules, Tips & More
FPL GW25 Tips- Top Liverpool Assets, Assistant Manager Transfers
Sleeper GW25 Draft Fantasy- Punts and Hidden Gems
FPL Midfielders Watch: Top Assets to Target for Gameweeks 25-28 
FPL GW25 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL DGW25 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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