Another day and another haul bagged, as our Captaincy Model picked Bowen for captaincy in DGW21, and duly delivered a massive 42 points to those who trusted us and picked the legend.
We are back with our pick for DGW22 and there are some really enticing options this week on our hands.
PS: Blog has been updated following the uncertainties in the Spurs vs Arsenal game.
Link to all our FPL Gameweek 22 blogs. Our blogs cover a wide range of topics including the best free hit team, Son replacements, players to target, differentials and more
FPL GW22 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”32″]
Manchester United’s Crisitano Ronaldo, tops the polls with 33% of the votes.
He’s followed by Dennis (17.7%) and Tottenham’s Harry Kane (12%). The candidates list is rounded up by Jota (9%) and Maddison (7%).
Further Read: Best FPL GW22 Free Hit Team Ahead Of FPL Gameweek 22 Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 22 Captain picks
| (C)andidate | Shots Inside The Box | Chances Created | Big Chances Total | Expected Goals (xG) | Player’s Attack Rank |
| Ronaldo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 4.98 | 1 |
| Dennis | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1.38 | 5 |
| Kane | 17 | 7 | 6 | 3.79 | 2 |
| Jota | 18 | 3 | 6 | 3.42 | 3 |
| Maddison | 11 | 12 | 3 | 1.73 | 4 |
Cristiano Ronaldo tops our picks for Underlying Numbers. With 20 Shots Inside the Box, 8 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 4.98, the Portuguese leads the Attacking Stats factor for players.
Harry Kane comes in behind Ronaldo, with 17 Shots Inside the Box, 6 Big chances and an xG total of 3.79.
Diogo Jota just about gets beaten to third place with 18 Shots Inside the Box, 6 Big Chance and an xG of 3.42.
James Maddison with 11 shots inside the box, 3 Big Chance and xG of 1.73 just beats Emmanuel Dennis to fourth spot, who has 10 Shots Inside the Box, 2 Big Chance and xG of 1.38
Further Read: FPL DGW22: Best Son Replacements to Consider in FPL
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
| (C)andidate | Shots Inside The Box | Big Chances Total | Expected Goals (xG) | Team’s Attack Rank |
| Manchester United (Ronaldo) | 47 | 12 | 8.90 | 4 |
| Watford (Dennis) | 43 | 9 | 6.88 | 5 |
| Tottenham (Kane) | 65 | 21 | 13.24 | 1 |
| Liverpool (Jota) | 79 | 21 | 12.54 | 2 |
| Leicester (Maddison) | 51 | 17 | 9.59 | 3 |
Tottenham have the best underlying numbers of the teams in comparison in the last 6 games. An impressive total of 65 Shots Inside the Box and 21 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 13.24, which is the highest of all teams in question.
Liverpool come in second behind Tottenham. Although the shots volume is higher than Tottenham at 79 Shots Inside the Box and 21 Big Chances in Total, their xG is actually fewer at 12.54, pushing them to second in our tables.
Leicester City come in behind Liverpool with 51 Shots Inside the Box, 17 Big Chances in total and an xG of 9.59.
Manchester United come only fourth in our tables, having mustered just 47 Shots Inside the Box, 12 Big Chances in total and an xG of just 8.90 in their last 6 outings.
Lastly, Watford have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams involved in our picks, with just 43 Shots Inside the Box, 9 Big Chances in Total and an xG of 6.88.
[kofi]
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Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW22
| (C)andidate | Odds of At least 1 Goal by the Candidate’s team this Gameweek | Odds of Scoring >2.5 goals by Candidate’s team this gameweek | Safety Rank | Explosion Rank | Average Factor of Safety Rank and Explosion Rank | Fixture Difficulty Rank |
| Manchester United (Ronaldo) | 94% | 93% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Watford (Dennis) | 89% | 69% | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Tottenham (Kane) | 93% | 92% | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Liverpool (Jota) | 89% | 42% | 4 | 5 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Leicester (Maddison) | 92% | 86% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. We will use Drafthound’s odds for a Team scoring at least One goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.5 goals in the Gameweek as a whole. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Manchester United lead the teams with 94% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, and also has a 93% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in their 2 games this Gameweek.
Tottenham come in behind Leicester, with a 93% of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek and a 92% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals this Gameweek in their double.
Leicester City have been given a 92% scoring at least 1 Goal this GW, while their odds to score at least 2.5 goals this Gameweek is a decent 86%.
Watford come behind the three teams with an 89% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this Gameweek, having a 69% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in this Gameweek.
Liverpool come last of the teams since they play only one game, with an 89% chance of scoring at least 1 goal this gameweek, and a 42% chance of scoring more than 2.5 goals in their solitary game against Brentford this Gameweek.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks
| (C)andidate | Anytime Returns (FFHUB Tool) | Projected Points (FFHUB) | Safety Ranking | Explosion Rank | Average Rank Factor | Safety + Explosion Rank |
| Ronaldo | 84% | 9.5 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Dennis | 57% | 5.8 | 5 | 4 | 4.5 | 4 |
| Kane | 77% | 10.8 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Jota | 61% | 6.3 | 4 | 5 | 4.5 | 4 |
| Maddison | 63% | 8.4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Cristiano Ronaldo has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 84%, while his Projected Points stand at 9.5 for the week.
Harry Kane has the second-to-highest Anytime Returns Projection at 77%, but has the highest Projected Points at 10.8 this week, which ties him with Ronaldo at the top spot.
James Maddison has an Anytime Returns Projections of 63% while his Projected Points stand at 8.4, which puts him in third place after Ronaldo and Kane.
Diogo Jota has an Anytime Returns Projections at 61% and Projected Points at 6.3, giving him the fourth spot, while Dennis has an Anytime Returns Projections at 57% and Projected Points at 6.8, tying him with Jota for the last spot for the week.
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 22 Captaincy metric analysis
| (C)andidate | Player’s Attack Rank | Team’s Attack Rank | Favourable Fixture Rank | Safety + Explosion Projections Rank | Cumulative Rank Factor |
| Ronaldo | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| Dennis | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| Kane | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| Jota | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| Maddison | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
Quite surprisingly, our pick of the week is Harry Kane, who comes out on top with a CRF Value of 6.
Cristiano Ronaldo with a CRF value of 7 just about gets beaten to second by the Englishman.
Leicester’s James Maddison comes in third behind the Portuguese duo with a CRF value of 13 as Diogo Jota comes fourth with a CRF value of 14.
Emmanuel Dennis finishes dead last, with a CRF value of 18 to round up our captaincy picks for DGW22.
Final Update:
Now that there is a strong possibility that the Spurs vs Arsenal game might be postponed and that Ralf Rangnick has confirmed that Ronaldo should be available tomorrow for the Villa game we suggest you to Captain Ronaldo as he’s closely behind Kane in the metrics. Kane loses the shine as a captaincy choice if the Arsenal vs Spurs game is postponed. Also, if potentially Ronaldo gets benched he’s like to play at least 120 mins(Sub appearance vs Villa + Start vs Brentford) in total compared to Kane who might play just once.
We have tried to help out managers with all the info that we have got. But unfortunately, we might not surely know the status of the Spurs vs Arsenal game before the FPL GW22 deadline.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 22:
FPL GW22 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Deadline
FPL GW22 Top Transfer Ins and Outs | Transfer Trends & Combinations
FPL DGW22 Team in Focus – Watford | Dennis vs King
Best FPL GW22 Free Hit Team Ahead Of FPL Gameweek 22 Deadline
FPL DGW22: Best Son Replacements to Consider in FPL
FPL DGW22 Players to Target | FPL Double Gameweek 22
FPL Free Hit Chip Explained | Extra FH Chip | FPL Guide
FPL GW22 Ultimate Guide: Announcements, Tips, Differentials, Captaincy
We have also made an elaborate guide covering every rule and chip available in FPL for the 2021/22 FPL Season ~ 2021/22 Fantasy Premier League Season Rules, Tips | The Ultimate Guide
Thanks for reading the ‘FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks and Metrics‘ blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs. Also, follow our 50,000+community on Instagram, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates. Link to all our FPL Gameweek 22 blogs.
What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 22?
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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