We are possibly watching one of the greatest players in Premier League history in his peak right now. Mohammed Salah who topped our metric last week came away with 3 goals and an assist against Manchester United at Old Trafford. Stuff of dreams? Theatre of Dreams for a reason. We are back for with our FPL Gameweek 10 Captain Picks, which we choose from the top 5 community picks in our voting section.
The Captaincy metric model is now at a very decent 8/9 in terms of picking a successful captain this season. Let’s look at who tops our FPL Gameweek 10 Captain Picks metric.
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FPL GW10 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
[Total_Soft_Poll id=”19″]
Liverpool’s Mohammed Salah, tops the polls (obviously) with 82.75% of the votes.
Liverpool’s star man is followed by Kai Havertz (3.77%) and Phil Foden (3.49%). The candidates list is rounded up by Kevin De Bruyne (1.98%) and Raphinha (1.60%).
Underlying Numbers of the Captaincy Candidates
Mohammed Salah tops our picks for Underlying Numbers as always. With 22 Shots Inside the Box, 11 Big Chances in total and an xG total of 5.60, the Egyptian leads the Attacking Stats factor for players.
Phil Foden comes in behind Salah, with 13 Shots Inside the Box, 4 Big chances and an xG total of 1.94.
Raphinha just about takes the third place with 6 Shots Inside the Box, 1 Big Chance and an xG of 1.07.
Kevin De Bruyne with 7 shots inside the box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.63 just about beats Kai Havertz, who has very unimpressive stats, with 7 Shots Inside the Box, 0 Big Chances and xG of 0.44.
Further Read: FPL GW10 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Gameweek 10 Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the Candidates Teams
Liverpool have the best underlying numbers as a team in the last 6 games. An impressive total of 77 Shots Inside the Box and 28 Big Chances, helps in boosting their xG to 16.76, by far the best as compared to the teams in focus in this week’s analysis.
Manchester City come in second behind Liverpool with 81 Shots Inside the Box and 15 Big Chances in Total resulting in an xG of 11.44.
Chelsea come in behind Manchester City with 54 Shots Inside the Box, 16 Big Chances in total and an xG of 10.36.
Leeds United have the weakest underlying numbers of all teams assessed here, with just 49 Shots Inside the Box, 6 Big Chances in total and an xG of just 6.70.
Further Read: FPL GW10 Wildcard Team Reveal | Best Wildcard Draft
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW10
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. We have used Drafthound’s Clean Sheet odds and the Odds of Conceding more than 2.5 goals. You can check out the same as well for free on Drafthound along with fixture analysis, predicted analysis, and more.
Crystal Palace, who are facing Manchester City this week, have the weakest odds. Clean sheet odds of just 8% pretty much tells you that the bookies really fancy Manchester City to score at least one goal in this match. Palace have also been given a 51% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals this week, meaning City scoring 3 goals is more likely than not, according to the bookies’ expectations.
Brighton come in behind Brighton, with a 9% chance of keeping a CS and a 42% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals this week against Liverpool, as the bookies expect this one to be a goal fest for Liverpool as well.
Newcastle, facing a Chelsea side that came away with a 7-0 victory at Norwich last week, have been given a 14% chance of keeping a Clean Sheet. They have also been given a 39% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals against the table-toppers, as this is another game the bookies trust to see goals in.
Norwich have been given the best Clean sheets odds of 22% this week out of all the teams in focus here. However, it’s important to note that Brentford have also been given a 33% chance of conceding more than 2.5 goals, which pretty much tells the story about Norwich’s inconsistency in keeping teams out this season.
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 9 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, We have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Kevin De Bruyne, has the highest Anytime Returns Projections at 71%, while his Projected Points stand at 7.1 for the week.
The popular pick of the week, Mohammed Salah has the second-highest Anytime Returns Projections at 61%, and his Projected Points at 6.4 for the game against Brighton.
De Bruyne’s teammate Phil Foden sees an Anytime Returns Projections of 59% while his Projected Points stand at 5.7.
Leeds United’s Raphinha has an Anytime Returns Projections at 58% while his Projected Points at 3.8, just about giving him a fourth place.
Kai Havertz, who blanked against Norwich in a 7-0 thumping, has an Anytime Returns Projections at 47% and Projected Points at 4.9, as both Havertz and Raphinha share the last spot in the assessment.
Further Read: Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead Of FPL GW10- Foden vs Mount, Cornet vs Smith Rowe, Chilwell vs Cancelo
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 10 Captaincy metric analysis
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). The Candidate having the lowest Cumulative Rank Factor is the most ideal Captaincy Option according to this metric.
For the nth time this season, it’s Mohammed Salah who’s being picked by our Captaincy Model here for Gameweek 10, with a CRF value of 7, just about edging Kevin De Bruyne’s and Phil Foden’s 8.
Raphinha and Kai Havertz jointly share the last spot, with a CRF value of 17, making them unideal captaincy choices against the Liverpool and Manchester City assets this Gameweek.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL Gameweek 10:
FPL GW10 Wildcard Team Reveal | Best Wildcard Draft
FPL GW10 Transfer Trends Analysis – Best Transfer Combinations
FPL GW10 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of Gameweek 10 Deadline
FPL GW10 Watchlist – Stand Out Players Who Impressed In GW9
Popular FPL Player Comparisons Ahead Of FPL GW10- Foden vs Mount, Cornet vs Smith Rowe, Chilwell vs Cancelo
FPL GW10 Analysis – Players To Buy, Hold Or Sell Ahead Of Deadline
FPL GW9 Fixture Wise Stats and Eye Test-Based Review
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 10?
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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