Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks & metrics blog. This week there are strong captaincy candidates with good fixtures including Saka, Palmer, Salah, Isak, and Bruno which makes captaincy this week interesting. Let’s see who tops the captaincy metrics this week.
This season the metrics has a 10/16 return record. Last season the metrics finished with 560 points(26/38 returns). The metrics had a 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season and a 30/38 “returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 10 + 34 + 34 + 26 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 26 + 26 + 10 + 36 + 6 = 252 pts
Note: “Returns” ~ Player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW20 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW17 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW17 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Salah is on top of the captaincy poll for GW17 with 38% of the votes and will be up against a leaky Spurs defence after being fully rested in the midweek Carabao Cup game vs Southampton. King Mo has blanked only twice so far this season and has registered 10 double-digit hauls already.
Palmer who blanked in GW16 is second ahead of facing a strong Everton defence in Goodison Park. Isak who continued his goal-scoring run in GW16(6 goals & 3 assists since GW9) is 3rd in the poll with 17% of the votes and will be up against Ipswich. Saka & Bruno complete the top five in the captaincy poll this week.
Further Read: FPL GW17 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 17 Captain picks
Salah comes out on top for underlying numbers with an xG of 5.42 and 23 Shots inside the Box from the last 6 games. He has also had 10 Big Chances during this run, the highest amongst all players.
Palmer is 2nd with an xG of 5.31 and is also 2nd for chances created(16) amongst the five players in the last six games.
Isak is third in underlying numbers with 3.28 xG in the last six games. He’s also created an impressive 15 chances over the previous six games and picked up three assists.
Bruno is 4th with an xG of 1.90 in the last six games. He’s created the most chances(19) amongst the five players in the last six games,
Saka comes 5th for underlying numbers with 1.74 xG & 15 Shots inside the Box. He’s had only one Big Chance in the last six games, however, he has created chances(13) in the last six games which showcases his assist potential as well.
Further Read: Top FPL GW17 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams
Chelsea top the Team Underlying Data with 16.47 xG over the last 6 matches which is the highest amongst all teams. The Blues have also had 82 shots inside the box and 26 big chances during the period.
Liverpool are 2nd in the table with an xG of 14.51, the Reds are joint top for shots inside the box(82) & big chances(27).
Arsenal rank 3rd for xG amongst the five teams with the Gunners registering 11.73 xG in the six games. They have also had 69 shots inside the box and 20 big chances.
Newcastle are 4th with an xG of 10.74 & they have had 16 big chances & 66 shots inside the box in the last six games.
Man United rank only fifth for Expected Goals in the last six games with 6.53 xG, 12 Big Chances, and only 43 Shots inside the box.
Further Read: FPL GW17 Tips – Budget Midfielders, Arsenal Defence & More
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW17
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of Scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Liverpool are top with a whopping 90% odds of at least 1 goal and 48% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW17 vs Spurs(A).
Newcastle are second & have an 85% odds of at least 1 goal and 33% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Ipswich(A)
Chelsea & Arsenal have identical odds and are joint 3rd with 83% odds of at least 1 goal and 33% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Everton(A) & Crystal Palace(A) respectively.
Man United are last with 76% odds of at least 1 goal and 33% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Bournemouth team at home in Old Trafford.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 17 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks
In the Fourth Phase of the article, I have used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points Tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Palmer is top for projections this week with 62% anytime returns & a 7.1 points projection in FPL GW17.
Isak & Salah are joint second for projections this week with Isak having an anytime returns projection of 64% and a points projection of 6.5 in GW17. Salah has 61% anytime returns & a 6.9 points projection in FPL GW17 away to Spurs(A)
Saka is 4th with a 60% anytime returns & a 6.4 points projection in GW17 vs Crystal Palace(A)
Bruno is last with a 50% anytime returns & a 5.3 points projection in GW17 vs Bournemouth(H)
Further Read: Best FPL GW17 Defenders to Consider | Ait-Nouri Replacements
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 17 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Salah tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of only six. Palmer is close behind in the 2nd position with a CRF of 7. Isak is 3rd with a CRF of 9, only a CRF of 3 separates the top three in the captaincy metrics this week. Saka is 4th & Bruno is last in the captaincy metrics for GW17.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW17:
Top FPL GW17 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW17 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Midfielders Watch: Top Assets to Target for Gameweeks 17-19
FPL GW17 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW17 Tips – Budget Midfielders, Arsenal Defence & More
Sleeper Draft Fantasy GW17- Best Punts and Hidden Gems
Best FPL GW17 Defenders to Consider | Ait-Nouri Replacements
Link to all our FPL GW17 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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