FPL GW36 – Fixtures & Players to Target for Gameweek 36

Hi everyone. Welcome to our second article for AllAboutFPL. This week, we look at the key Fixtures and Players to Target for FPL GW36.

Link to all our FPL GW36 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, free hit drafts, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Key Fixtures to Target for FPL GW36

To identify the key fixtures, I am considering two parameters:

• Odds – Clean sheets and Expected goals (taken from oddschecker)
• Difference of team xG/game and opponent xGA/game

FPL GW36 Odds and Expected Goals Data:

Forest (52%), Man City (42%), and Fulham (42%) are the best for clean sheet odds, followed by Brentford and Man United (each at 34%) and Liverpool (32%). Meanwhile, with regards to expected goals, Man City (2.3) and Forest (2.0) are the two teams projected to score 2+ goals. The next 3 for projected goals are Brentford (1.8), Newcastle (1.8), and Man United (1.6).

Now let’s look at the difference between team xG/game and opponent xGA/game. The higher the difference, the better the fixture for attacking. Meanwhile lower the difference, the better for defending.

So Top 5 Attacking assets for FPL GW36 based on the difference:

• Manchester City vs Southampton
• Brentford vs Ipswich Town
• Crystal Palace vs Tottenham
• Nottingham Forest vs Leicester
• Chelsea vs Newcastle

Meanwhile Top 5 for defensive assets for FPL GW36 based on the difference:

• Manchester City vs Southampton
• Nottingham Forest vs Leicester
• Fulham vs Everton
• Brentford vs Ipswich Town
• Liverpool vs Arsenal

Basis the two parameters (odds and delta xG):

• Teams to pick attacking assets – Man City, Brentford, Palace, Forest, Newcastle
• Teams to pick defensive assets – Forest, Man City, Fulham, Brentford, and Liverpool

Now that we have the teams picked, let’s look at the players.

Players to Target for FPL GW36

Best Manchester City Picks for FPL GW36:

Let’s start with Man City. KDB and Marmoush are the top attacking picks here. In the last 10 GWs, they are the top 2 attacking picks for Man City by points – Marmoush (41) and KDB (35). Also, this is the best attacking fixture for the week, so it makes sense to double up on attacking Man City assets.

Now lets come to the elephant in the room. Or actually the big Norwegian in the room – Haaland. Will he start in GW36? I am not too sure. He was on the bench last week but he didn’t get any minutes. I don’t think he will directly start this game. And even if he does, that doesn’t mean Marmoush won’t start.

They started 5 of the 6 games (except NFO) when both of them were available.

So either way, I think Marmoush is the safer choice. With Haaland, you might also have to move Salah out (for the funds), and that might make the transfers complicated.

Gvardiol is the obvious defensive pick to complete the trio.

Best Brentford Picks for FPL GW36:

Brentford is just as straightforward – Mbeumo, Wissa, and Collins are the trio to go for. I don’t mind tripling up on both Brentford and Man City.

Best Nottingham Forest Assets for FPL GW36:

What about Nottingham Forest? I am not too keen on a triple-up. While it is definitely one of the target fixtures basis odds and xG delta, Nottingham Forest haven’t been performing that well in the recent past.

In fact, across the last 10 GWs, NFO is:

• 4th lowest for xG (only better than the 3 relegated sides)
• 6th lowest for Shots
• 9th lowest for Shots on Target

They also have the:

• 4th highest xG conceded
• 4th highest Shots conceded
• 9th highest Shots on Target conceded

Wherever they are 4th, the only teams worse than them are the three relegated teams. They have 3 losses and a draw in the last 5 games as well. Overall, I am not too keen on a triple-up – I would recommend one defensive asset and one attacking asset.

For attacking asset, I would recommend Elanga. He has better metrics than Wood, he is on free kicks and corners. He also had two good chances to score in the game against Palace last night.

Elanga vs MGW vs Hudson Odoi vs Wood – Last 5 GWs:

• Shots/90: 1.8 vs 1.5 vs 1.1 vs 1.5
• xG/90: 0.2 vs 0.1 vs 0.1 vs 0.2
• Chances Created/90: 1.0 vs 1.5 vs 1.9 vs 0.8
• xA/90: 0.1 vs 0.1 vs 0.1 vs 0.1
• TPA/90: 4.0 vs 1.6 vs 2.7 vs 3.0
• FPL Points/90: 7.4 vs 2.2 vs 2.4 vs 3.4

Meanwhile, for defensive assets, I would pick Sels or Neco Williams (better underlying attacking numbers than Milenkovic)

Milenkovic vs Williams – Last 10 GWs:

• Shots/90: 0.4 vs 1.3
• xG/90: 0.1 vs 0.1
• Chances Created/90: 0.3 vs 0.9
• xA/90: 0.0 vs 0.1
• TPA/90: 1.3 vs 1.2
• FPL Points/90: 4.1 vs 3.4

So that’s 8 players done – 3x Man City, 3x Brentford, and 2x Forest.

Now let’s come to the third forward spot. What do we do about Isak and Mateta? I would play Isak over Wood and move Mateta out for Wissa. So Isak-Marmoush-Wissa would be my preferred front 3 for this GW.

Isak has better numbers than all the other forwards we discussed. Newcastle have surprisingly good scoring odds as well. Also Isak averages 7 points (in 8 games) against the top 7 defenses (by goals against – ARS, LIV, CHE, BOU, NFO, EVE and MCI). Even though they play 3 of these 7 defenses next (CHE, ARS and EVE), I don’t mind holding on to him because of this stat. 7 points/game is quite good.

Wood vs Wissa vs Mateta vs Isak vs Marmoush – Last 10 GWs:

• Shots/90: 1.6 vs 2.7 vs 1.9 vs 3.5 vs 3.6
• xG/90: 0.2 vs 0.5 vs 0.2 vs 0.8 vs 0.4
• Chances Created/90: 0.9 vs 0.8 vs 0.6 vs 0.8 vs 1.0
• xA/90: 0.1 vs 0.0 vs 0.1 vs 0.1 vs 0.1
• TPA/90: 2.9 vs 4.8 vs 1.7 vs 5.9 vs 5.4
• FPL Points/90: 3.3 vs 6.8 vs 5.7 vs 6.9 vs 4.7

So now that the front 3 is sorted, let’s close the final 2 players.

Fulham has very good clean sheet odds – I would pick Sessegnon as the 3rd defender (along with Gvardiol and Collins). In the last 10 GWs, Sessegnon is highest for goal involvements (6 – 4G and 2A), highest for xG, 2nd best for xGI, and 3rd best for points. He would also be a very good differential at this stage (2.5% owned), and can help to gain rank if he does score or assist again.

And for the final midfielder, I would go with Eze. Palace should definitely do well against a tired (or rotated) Spurs, and he is definitely the Talisman right now.

Thus,the best XI for GW36 would be:

Sels
Sessegnon Collins Gvardiol
Eze Elanga Mbeumo KDB
Isak Wissa Marmoush

Other players that can be considered for FPL GW36:

• Van Dijk: Liverpool has decent clean sheet odds against Arsenal
• Wood: While he may be struggling, he does average 9 points (in 5 games) against promoted sides, the same as Wissa. He can definitely be considered. Also, Forest are projected to score 2+ goals.
• Neco Williams (as discussed earlier)
• Cunha vs BHA – The second best forward by points in the last 5 GWs against the team that has conceded 11 in the last 5, sounds quite good.

Further reads from AllAboutFPL ahead of FPL GW36:

FPL GW36 – Fixtures & Players to Target for Gameweek 36
FPL GW36 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW36 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 36 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

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