Top FPL GW18 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

Are you looking to break away from the template with lower-owned punts and catch up ranks in your mini-leagues? Don’t worry we have got you covered with some spicy punts. In this article, we will be highlighting the Top FPL GW18 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) and Ultra-Differential Pick(<1% TSB) ahead of the GW18 deadline based on Stats and upcoming fixtures.

Last week we had three picks return making it 43/102 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

Link to all our FPL GW18 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW18 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Martin Odegaard – Arsenal – 8.3 Midfielder – 6.1 % TSB – 

• Arsenal will face an Ipswich side that is in the Bottom 5 for Shots, Shots in the Box, and Shots on Target conceded. They rank 2^nd worst for Big Chances and xGC across the League and have also conceded 52 % of their chances through the Center of the pitch. This game could hence suit Odegaard as he will look to take more attacking responsibility in the absence of Saka.
• Ipswich also are making basic mistakes & gifting goals to the opposition, something which Alexander Isak took advantage of, last Gameweek. Odegaard has decent stats despite being injured for quite some time this season. He has had 6 Shots on Target, 10 Shots in the Box, and been presented with 4 Big Chances. Odegaard has also created 5 Big Chances for his teammates and played 24 Key passes. 
• Add to the fact that Odegaard is a BPS Monster and all it will need for him is to get 1 attacking return to scoop up the Bonus in any game. Arsenal also have the 2^nd most Goals predicted this Gameweek according to Market odds and this could be a great chance to jump on Odegaard in place of the injured Saka.

Further Read: FPL GW18 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Diogo Jota – Liverpool – 7.2 Midfielder – 3.2 % TSB –

• Liverpool start a brilliant fixture run against the most porous team in the League right now, Leicester. Liverpool are predicted to score 3.47 Goals in Gameweek 18. Jota got a nice 20-minute run out last Gameweek and could be in line to start 4 days later against Leicester.
• Leicester are ranked in the Bottom 3 for Shots, Shots on Target, Shots in the Box, Big Chances, and xGC conceded in the League. Since Ruud took over, Leicester have conceded the most Shots in the last 4 Gameweeks and looks much more open than they did under Steve Cooper. 
• Jota had a good start before he got injured in the autumn. He scored 3 Goals and has had 3 Assists so far. His stats make for good reading with 16 Shots in the Box, 4 Shots on Target, and 9 Big Chances. If Jota starts up front against Leicester (who concede most of their chances through the Center), Jota could have a field day against this porous Leicester defence.

Further Read: FPL GW18 Tips – Hold or Sell Pedro?, Robinson + Rogers & More

Jarrod Bowen – West Ham –  7.5 Midfielder – 7.1 % TSB – 

• West Ham face a Southampton team that is in the Bottom 2 for Shots, Shots on Target, Shots in the Box, Big Chances, and xGC conceded in the League so far. West Ham have slowly started to find their feet under Lopetegui and have not lost in the last 3 Gameweeks.

• Bowen is the clear Talisman of the team and has had 4 Goals and 6 Assists. That’s 10 attacking returns despite West Ham having an underwhelming season. Bowen also has great stats with 20 Shots on Target, 28 Shots in the Box, and 7 Big Chances.
• He has played 36 Key passes and created 6 Big Chances for his teammates. Bowen also does well for Bonus when he gets attacking returns and he could get quite a few of those against Southampton this Gameweek.

Further Read: FPL GW18 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Gabriel Jesus – Arsenal – 6.8 Midfielder – 4.5 % TSB –

• Arsenal will face an Ipswich side that is in the Bottom 5 for Shots, Shots in the Box, and Shots on Target conceded.
• They rank 2^nd worst for Big Chances and xGC across the League and have also conceded 52 % of their chances through the Center of the pitch. If Jesus plays through the Center, this game could suit him very well.
• Ipswich also are making basic mistakes & gifting goals to the opposition, something which Alexander Isak took advantage of, last Gameweek.
• Jesus is a man in form after scoring 5 Goals against Palace in the last week. He will look to continue that scoring run this Gameweek and Arteta surely will not drop such a confident player, especially in the absence of Saka. 

Further Read: FPL GW18 Tips – Hold or Sell Pedro?, Robinson + Rogers & More

Jacob Murphy – Newcastle  – 5.0 Midfielder – 1.7 % TSB –

• Murphy has registered two 13-point hauls in the last 2 Gameweeks and has made the right wing his own now ahead of Gordon. Murphy has been low key having a solid season with 3 Goals and 5

• Assists. His stats are decent too with 6 Shots on Target, 12 Shots in the Box, and 4 Big Chances. He has also created 5 Big Chances and played 16 Key passes.
• Newcastle play Aston Villa, Manchester United, and Spurs in the next 3 Gameweeks and all of these teams are defensively weak, despite being good teams. Newcastle have started to click with a solid midfield of Tonali & Bruno. Murphy has cemented his place in the team and could be a solid 5^th Midfielder for your teams.

Further Read: FPL GW18 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

FPL GW18 Ultra Differential Pick (Under 1 % Ownership)

Pedro Neto – Chelsea – 6.2 Midfielder – 0.7 % TSB – 

• Neto has now cemented himself in the first team and is a tempting option with Chelsea’s fixtures still being great. Chelsea have great attacking stats with the highest number of Shots on Target, 3^rd third-highest Shots in the Box and Shots, 2nd second-highest Big Chances, and xG.
• Neto has had 1 Goal and 2 Assists in 808 minutes so far. He has been unlucky not to score more FPL points (he has had 6 Shots on Target and 9 Shots in the Box). He has created 17 Key passes and 4 Big Chances for his teammates. Chelsea are also predicted to score the 3^rd Highest number of Goals this Gameweek (2.49 according to the Hub AI)

That’s it for Gameweek 18. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 18.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW18:

FPL GW18 Tips – Hold or Sell Pedro?, Robinson + Rogers
Top FPL Gameweek 18 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW18 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Top FPL GW18 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW18 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW18 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 18 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Scout picks, Gameweek preview, Captaincy metrics, FPL GW18 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook and keep our notification ON.