Top FPL GW13 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article continued with some Big Scores where 1 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points.

• Jurrien Timber – 1 Clean Sheet – 6 Points

That makes it 32/72 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will be highlighting 3 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Thursday 28th November, 2024. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW13 blogs including scout picks, wildcard guide, best midfielders, best forwards, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW13 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Martin Odegaard – Arsenal – £8.2 Midfielder – 4.5% TSB

• The missing link that Arsenal needed has returned with a bang and Arsenal look ready to score more goals. Odegaard has 2 Assists from his last 2 Games and looks fitter than ever. He has played 10 Key passes over the last 2 Matches which is twice than any of his team-mates.
• West Ham have improved a little defensively since Fabianski has started playing in goal but their defensive stats are not that great. West Ham are 6^th worst for xGC conceded in the League and have a weakness from set pieces and corners. West Ham are also 4^th worst for Shots and Shots in the box conceded this season.

Bukayo Saka on Martin Ødegaard: “The day he returned there was a big smile on my face. You can see the chemistry we have. How much I enjoy playing with him. I’m happy he’s back, I hope he stays fit for the rest of the season.”

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 13 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell

Yoanne Wissa – Brentford – £6.1 Forward – 8.5% TSB

• Brentford are a different team at home where they have averaged 3 Goals per game and have the best xG in the League. Leicester are even leakier away and have the 2^nd worst xGC conceded away from home.
• Leicester also concede a lot of shots from set pieces and headers and are 2^nd worst for Big chances conceded so far this season. This is where Wissa thrives as he feeds off Big Chances (11 so far this season)
• Wissa is also a Bonus Point Monster and has great goal threat (14 Shots in the Box and 10 Shots on Target). This could be 1 last chance to get Wissa before the fixture swing for Brentford from next week.

Top Players for xG/90 in Premier League this season:

• Haaland- 1.0
• Wissa– 0.75
• Salah- 0.71
• Johnson- 0.65
• Watkins- 0.63
• Solanke- 0.58
• Jackson- 0.57

Further Read: FPL GW13 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

Kauro Mitoma – Brighton –  £6.4 Midfielder – 6.0% TSB

• Playing Southampton is a great chance for any attacker to come into form. Southampton have the worst xGC in the League, they have conceded the most shots, the 3^rd most shots in the box and 2^nd most Shots on Target. They have also conceded the 2^nd most Big Chances in the League.
• Mitoma has both Goal Threat & Chance creation numbers. He has had 20 Shots in the box, 10 Shots on Target and 7 Big Chances. He has created 4 Big Chances and played 14 key passes.

Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 13 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Lewis Hall – Newcastle  – £4.4 Defender – 6.6% TSB

• What could have been last Monday night when Hall put Isak through to score, only to be it ruled out for offside. Palace tend to concede quite a few big chances from set pieces and headed attempts which could play into Hall’s hands (feet more likely).
• Newcastle have improved defensively quite a lot and rank 2^nd for xGC and Goals conceded and 4^th for Big Chances conceded since Gameweek 6.  Palace have also scored the 2^nd joint fewest Goals (10 in the League).
• Hall has started every game since GW4 and in this he has created 13 chances(4th highest among DEFs) and 1.54 xA(4th Highest among Defenders). Hall is also on corners- He has taken 22 corners during this run with only Leif Davis(37) taking more corners among Defenders.
• Hall also has had 3 Shots in the box and he could be the perfect Budget defender to get, if you are moving away from Everton/Brentford defenders.

Further Read: FPL GW13 Tips – Best Arsenal Assets, Mbeumo Dilemma & More

James Maddison – Tottenham – £7.6 Midfielder – 7.6% TSB

• Maddison averages 6.1 Points per match, which is the highest among Spurs attacking players. Plus Maddison tends to be a form player and getting on him at the right moment could reap rewards for FPL Managers.

Spurs Attack Rank this season:

• Shots inside the Box- 2nd
• xG- 1st
• Big Chances- 2nd
• Goals Scored- 1st

• Maddison has an xG and an xA or more than 3 which shows his all round potential. He has had 20 Shots, 15 Shots in the Box and 13 Shots on Target and 7 Big Chances.
• Creativity wise, he has created 3 Big Chances and played 19 key passes. He already has 4 Goals and 5 Assists which is the highest among Spurs players for Goal contributions.

Further Read: FPL GW13 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups

FPL GW13 Ultra Differential Pick (Under 1 % Ownership)

Pervis Estupinan – Brighton – £5.0 Defender – 0.9% TSB

• Playing the team which has scored the least amount of Goals (9 in the League) and the 5^th lowest xG, will give Brighton defenders to add to their Clean sheet tally. Southampton are the 3^rd worst for Shots and Shots in the box and 4^th worst for Shots on Target and Big Chances in the League.
• Southampton tend to struggle from set pieces (they have conceded the most attempts in the League from this scenario, with 14) which could also play into Estupinan’s avenues to FPL points as he shares corner duties for Brighton having taken 16 corners over the last 7 games
• Estupinan always loves bombing forward and has an outside the box screamer in him. Estupinan averages 0.15 Big Chances created for every 90 minutes along with an impressive xGI/90 of 0.14.

That’s it for Gameweek 13. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 13.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW13

FPL Gameweek 13 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Top FPL GW13 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) to Consider Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW13 Tips & Ultimate Guide: Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW13 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
FPL GW13 Tips – Best Arsenal Assets, Mbeumo Dilemma & More
GW13 Sleeper Draft Fantasy Punts and Hidden Gems
Top FPL Gameweek 13 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Link to all our FPL GW13 blogs including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 13 of the 2024/25 FPL Season?

We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Scout picks, Gameweek preview, Captaincy metrics, FPL GW13 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts so follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook and keep our notification ON.