The Differential Article had a bad week where 1 of our 6 picks returned with FPL Points. This week, we will be aiming to continue with some strong scores this Gameweek.
- Bruno Guimares – 2 Defcon – 4 Points
That makes it 97/222 Picks who have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.
In this article, we will be highlighting 4 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 2 Ultra Differentials (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Saturday 23rd May, 2026. With this being the Final Gameweek, we would like to atleast get to 100 correct picks this season. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide to not go with the 6 players mentioned below.
Link to all our FPL GW38 blogs, including players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW38 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
William Osula – Newcastle – 5.5 Forward – 1.6 % TSB
- Probably the form player in the League right now. Osula has grabbed a Starting berth with both hands. Since he secured the starting spot (from Gameweek 32), Osula has 5 Goals. Over this time period, he is ranked 1st for Goals and Bonus points, 2nd for FPL Points, xGI and Big Chances and 3rd for xG.
- Osula will face a Fulham team who as usual have tailed off at the end of the season. They have conceded 11 Big Chances over the last 4 Gameweeks , which is joint worst in the League. Osula also is taking up great goal scoring positions and in the form that he is currently, expect him to grab another Goal this Gameweek.
Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 38 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Richarlison – Tottenham – 6.4 Forward – 6.9 % TSB
- Since De Zerbi took over Spurs, Richarlison has found form with 2 Goals, 1 Assist and 22 FPL Points. Over the last 4 Gameweeks, Richarlison has had 5 Big Chances and created 2 Big chances. Only Haaland can beat him for Big Chances over this period. He should also be on penalties and has the temperament to get Spurs out of the relegation battle on the final day.
- Despite only starting 19 Games this season, he has 11 Goals and 4 Assists which makes him the Top Spurs player for Goal Involvements, Goals, xG and xGI. He has had 26 Shots on Target, 54 Shots in the Box and 18 Big Chances.
- Everton also being his former club, Richy will have the added motivation to score against them. Everton have also been quite leaky as of late having conceded atleast 2 Goals in the last 6 Games. Over the season they are in the Bottom 3 for xGC and in the Bottom 4 for Non Penalty xGC.
Further Read: FPL GW38 Transfer Targets Based on Stats & Eye Test
Rayan – Bournemouth – 5.4 Midfielder – 1.9 % TSB
- Keep an eye out for this kid next season. He has scored 5 Goals and got 2 Assists in 12 Games. Over that time, he has had 8 Shots on Target, 14 Shots in the Box and 3 Big Chances. His form is solid with 3 Goals and 1 Assist in the last 4 Gameweeks. That earned him a maiden call to the Brazilian World Cup squad.
- Forest looked quite open against Manchester United and struggled against counter attacks. Bournemouth play with a similar style and will look to end a brilliant campaign where they secured European qualification after such a long time. This could be a high scoring game and expect Rayan to be involved if Bournemouth score a couple of goals.
Further Read: FPL GW38 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Mateus Mane – Wolves – 4.2 Forward – 1.4 % TSB
- Mane got a Goal and Defcon points last Gameweek and bagged 11 Points. The Wolves vs Burnley game should be quite open as both teams avoid to finish bottom of the table. He will now be up against a Burnley team that is ranked Bottom for all Defensive Metrics this season.
- Mane has 3 Goals and 2 Assists from 14 starts this season. He looks to be Wolves’ form player and could be set for a bigger role next season. Mane has also rediscovered his form recently with 4 Shots on Target, 3 Shots in the Box and 4 Big Chances created.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 38 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Ultra Differential Picks for FPL GW38 (Under 1 % Ownership)
Zian Flemming – Burnley – 5.3 Forward – 0.5 % TSB
- Flemming has had a solid season with 10 Goals in 20 starts for Burnley. He now faces Wolves, the team that has kept the joint lowest number of Clean Sheets this season (4), same as Burnley. Wolves have conceded the 2nd most Goals in the League (67) after Burnley and have the 2nd worst Defensive stats in the League. This is a fight for bragging rights and to ensure that their teams don’t finish bottom of the table.
- Flemming also has history in this fixture as he grabbed a brace and 3 Bonus Points earlier this season. He averages the most Big Chances for Burnley and is their focal point of the attack. Wolves also tend to concede quite a few big chances from the centre of the pitch.
- Flemming has the Highest xG, Goals, xGI and the 2nd most Goal Involvements in the Burnely squad. He has had 20 Shots on Target, 41 Shots in the Box and 19 Big Chances over the season. Wolves have been struggling since the March International break while Burnely have improved since hiring Mike Jackson. Finally a home match for Burnley means they will have the crowd behind them to hopefully sign off with a positive result.
Further Read: Top FPL Gameweek 38 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Taty Castellanos – West Ham – 5.5 Forward – 0.2 % TSB
- Taty was West Ham’s best player against Newcastle where he came off from the bench and scored a goal. He had 8 Shots in total and 4 On Target. Surely with West Ham needing to win on the final day, Nuno will give him a run out from the beginning. Taty will be looking to add to his 5 Goals and an Assist from only 16 Starts since joining West Ham after the winter transfer window.
- In this short space of time, he has had 20 Shots on Target, 40 Shots in the Box and 11 Big Chances. He also looks to be the main attacking threat for West Ham in recent weeks. With this being West Ham’s final Game at home, the fans will be urging the Hammers to get a win and go for as many goals as possible.
That’s it for Gameweek 38. Just like that another Premier League season comes to an end. This has been a fun series to pick Lower Owned Players and watching them get massive hauls or fail miserably. Again, a huge thanks to Srini & Surya for giving me the opportunity to write this series this season. Will see you all again soon when the Premier League resumes in August. Have a great summer ahead watching a brilliant World Cup (hopefully)!!
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW38:
FPL GW38 Transfer Targets based on Stats and Fixtures
AK’s FPL GW38 Team Reveal & Transfer Plans | 3x Top 5K Finishes
Top FPL GW38 Differential Picks(<10% TSB) for Gameweek 38
Top FPL Gameweek 38 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Interview with World Number 1 FPL Manager – Erik Ibsen
FPL Gameweek 38 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
FPL GW38 Scout Picks based on Stats and Matchups
Link to all our FPL GW38 blogs, including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 38 of the 2025/26 FPL Season?
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