Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 30 Captaincy metrics blog. After the success of GW28, we were due a blank in GW29 which was duly delivered by Ekitike against Wolves. We come back to GW30 after the FA Cup weekend with some really enticing options for captaincy this Gameweek.
Total metrics points: 14 + 4 + 18 + 26 + 10 + 32 + 16 + 26 + 4 + 26 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 28 + 4 + 26 + 32 + 4 + 4 + 8 + 12 + 4 + 2 + 10 + 12 + 14 + 4 + 30 + 4 = 386 points
Link to all our FPL GW30 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW30 Captaincy Metrics
Ekitike tops the captaincy poll this week with 21% of the votes against Spurs (H). Haaland is tied-second with 18% of the votes. Bruno is also tied-second in the captaincy poll this week with 18% of the votes. Semenyo, who is up against West Ham (A), is 4th, while Joao Pedro rounds up the captaincy picks for GW30.
Further Read: AK’s FPL GW30 Team Reveal & Transfer Plans | 3x Top 5K Finishes
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 30 Captain Picks
Joao Pedro tops the table with 21 shots in the box, 12 Big chances, and an xG of 5.91 in the last six games.
Ekitike is 2nd with an xG of 2.94 in the last six games. He’s also had 8 big chances and 15 shots inside the box.
Semenyo is 3rd with an xG of 2.75 in the last six games. He’s had 5 big chances and has had 10 shots inside the box.
Haaland stands 4th with an xG of 2.06, managing 9 shots inside the box and 5 big chances in total.
Finally, Bruno stands last with an xG of 1.68 and 3 shots inside the box and 2 big chances.
Further Read: FPL GW30 Transfer Targets and Watchlist
Underlying numbers of Candidate’s teams
Cheslea take the top spot and have registered 15.93 xG, 26 Big Chances, and 61 Shots inside the box in the last six games.
Liverpool are up next with 71 shots inside the box and 23 big chances during the period, and an xG of 11.94.
Manchester City third with 65 shots inside the box and 21 big chances during the period, and an xG of 11.67.
Lastly, Manchester United are fifth with 55 shots inside the box and 16 big chances during the period, with an xG of 9.05
Further Read: FPL GW30 Scout Selection- Top Picks based on Stats and Matchups
Fixture Difficulty of the Candidate Team in FPL GW30
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Manchester City have 89% odds to get at least one goal and 48% odds to get 2 or more Goals this Gameweek vs West Ham (A).
Liverpool are 3rd with 86% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Spurs (H) and 35% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.
Manchester United are 4th with 80% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Aston Villa (H) and 22% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.
Chelsea are last with 63% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Newcastle (H) and 10% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.
Further Read: Top FPL GW30 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 30 Captain Picks
In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is first with an anytime returns projection of 71% and a 7.5 points projection in FPL Gameweek 30 vs West Ham (A).
Ekitike is second with an anytime returns projection of 57% and a 6.1 points projection in FPL Gameweek 28 vs Spurs (H).
Joao Pedro and Bruno Fernandes are joint-third and have an anytime returns projection of 56% and 55% and a 5.7 points and 5.9 points projection, respecitvely.
Semenyo finally has an anytime returns projection of 47% with a points projection of 5.6.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 30 Transfer Tips- Buy, Hold, Sell Analysis
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 30 Captaincy metrics
Ekitike and Haaland are joint-top of the captaincy metrics with a cumulative rank factor of 9 each. Joao Pedro is third with a CRF value of 10. Semenyo is fourth with a CRF value of 12 and Bruno is last with a CRF value 17.
AK’s opinion: It’s indeed a tough call between Haaland and Ekitike. Haaland is away from home but has penalties. While Ekitike has a home game against Spurs, but does not have spot kick duties. I would still favour Haaland a bit more than Ekitike, as I expect both to start and Haaland to have a bit more minutes, also the possibility of getting a penalty cannot be ruled out.
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW30:
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season
Top FPL Gameweek 30 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
AK’s FPL GW30 Team Reveal & Transfer Plans | 3x Top 5K Finishes
FPL GW30 Scout Selection- Top Picks based on Stats and Matchups
FPL GW30 Transfer Targets and Watchlist
Top FPL GW30 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL Gameweek 30 Transfer Tips- Buy, Hold, Sell Analysis
FPL GW30 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
2025/26 FPL Chip Strategy Guide for the 2nd Half of the Season
Link to all our FPL GW30 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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