The Differential Article had a bad week, with only 1 of our 6 picks returning with FPL Points. This week, we will be aiming to continue with some strong scores this Gameweek.
Jorgen Strand Larsen – 2 Goals, 3 Bonus – 13 Points
That makes it 64/156 picks that have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.
In this article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Thursday, 17th February, 2026. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide not to go with the 6 players mentioned below.
Link to all our FPL GW27 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
Top FPL GW27 Differential Picks
James Hill – Bournemouth – 4.0 Defender – 3.3 % TSB –
- Scores of 6, 7, 7, and 9 in the last 4 Gameweeks, 3 Assists, and 8 Defcon Points have made James Hill the next Bandwagon. That too during a period where Bournemouth have a great run of fixtures coming up. Games against West Ham, Sunderland, Brentford, and Burnley before the blank in Gameweek 31 make it an attractive fixture run.
🚀🍒🔥James Hill since he became a regular starter:
✅GW19 – 13 DEFCON
✅GW20 – 18 DEFCON
✅GW21 – 11 DEFCON
❌GW22 – 9 DEFCON
✅GW23 – 11 DEFCON, Assist
✅GW24 – 10 DEFCON, Clean Sheet
✅GW25- 12 DEFCON, Assist
✅GW26- 17 DEFCON, Assist
Top Defenders for DEFCON since GW19:
- Since Hill came into the Starting 11 in Gameweek 19, he leads all Defenders for Defensive Contributions (105), and he has achieved it in 7 out of the 8 Gameweeks. The only game in which Hill, did not get Defcon was when he got 9 Defensive Contributions and was just 1 short to hit the additional 2-point target. What makes Hill more attractive is his low price tag, which will only continue to increase if he keeps performing at this rate in the upcoming games.
Further Read: FPL GW27 Scout Selection based on Stats and Matchups
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Ibrahima Konate – Liverpool – 5.4 Defender – 3.1 % TSB –
- Liverpool now begin a wonderful run of fixtures which continue all the way till Gameweek 34. Games against Forest, West Ham, Wolves, Spurs, and Brighton (all bottom-half teams) will give Liverpool the perfect edge to reclaim a Champions League spot.
- Liverpool have been unlucky to keep only 8 Clean Sheets this season as their Defensive data is in the Top 3 for all key defensive metrics such as non-penalty xGC, xGC, Shots conceded, Shots in the Box conceded, and Shots on Target conceded.
- Konate has scored 1 Goal this season and earned Defcons 10 times this season, while Van Dijk has earned Defcon 12 times so far and scored 2 Goals. Konate’s stats are quite good with 3 Shots on Target, 9 Shots in the Box, 4 Big Chances, and 2 Big Chances created for his teammates.
- Van Dijk has the same number of Big Chances and created 0 Big Chances for his team-mates, which indicates that Konate has been unlucky not to get more attacking returns.
- Forest are ranked in the Bottom 5 for attempts conceded from Set Pieces and in the Bottom 3 for Headed shots, which could play into the hands (head) of Konate. Even West Ham (Liverpool’s next opponents) are the worst team for attempts conceded from Headed shots.
Further Read: FPL GW27 Transfer Targets and Watchlist based on Stats and Fixtures
Ismaila Sarr – Crystal Palace – 6.4 Midfielder – 3.9 % TSB –
- Sarr has always been an explosive mid-priced midfielder in FPL. What makes him more attractive now is his added responsibility of penalties, until Mateta is back from injury.
- Sarr has 2 Goals in the last 3 Gameweeks and has accumulated an xG of 1.84 in that time. That is the highest among Forest players since Mateta’s injury (from Gameweek 24).
- Palace have 2 great home fixtures coming up before Blank Gameweek 31 (Wolves and Leeds at home) and play a very poor Spurs team in Gameweek 29. Wolves are the Bottom Team of the League and have conceded the 3rd most Non Penalty xG, 4th most xG, and the 3rd most Goals (48).
- Leeds also tend to struggle away from home compared to their home form. This could make Sarr a tempting option for those who can ignore the Blank Gameweek.
Further Read: FPL GW27 Scout Selection based on Stats and Matchups
Rayan – Bournemouth – 5.5 Midfielder – 1.0 % TSB –
- What a brilliant start to the Premier League, Rayan has had. He has 2 Goals and an Assist since making his debut in Gameweek 24. He has had 6 Shots, 2 Shots on Target, 3 Shots in the Box, and 1 Big Chance. He also has created 1 Big Chance and played 5 key passes for his teammates.
- What’s more impressive is that no Bournemouth midfielder has had more Shots since Gameweek 24. He also ranks 2nd best for Chances created in the Bouremouth squad since his debut. This shows his growing influence on the team.
- Also, Bournemouth’s run from an attacking perspective is brilliant as they face West Ham, Sunderland, Brentford, and Burnley before the blank in Gameweek 31. West Ham are yet to keep a Clean Sheet at home and are ranked in the Bottom 2 for all defensive metrics.
- Sunderland tend to be a poor team away from home and are struggling in Xhaka’s absence, while Burnley are rock bottom for all Defensive metrics. Owning a Bournemouth attacker could be a key strategy for the upcoming run of fixtures.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 27 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – 8.6 Forward – 9.0 % TSB –
- Villa have a good run of 5 Games in the next 7 Gameweeks where they face teams who struggle away from home (Leeds, Sunderland), bottom of the table Wolves, and West Ham (who are in the bottom 2 for key defensive metrics), and a Forest side struggling at the moment.
- Watkins has had a bad season so far, but still has 8 Goals and 2 Assists and some good numbers. He has had 22 Shots on Target, 46 Shots in the box, and 18 Big Chances despite only starting 22 Games this season. He leads all Villa players in terms of XG (almost double that of 2nd placed Rogers) and xGI.
- He has been unlucky not to score more FPL points this season. However, he has been getting back into form with 9 of his 10 attacking returns coming after Gameweek 13. With an attractive run of fixtures to follow, he could be a nice Differential with a good game against West Ham in Blank Gameweek 31. (This is an important consideration for any future transfer you make, provided you are not planning to use the Free Hit in Gameweek 31)
Further Read: FPL GW27 Transfer Targets and Watchlist based on Stats and Fixtures
Ultra Differential Pick for FPL GW27 (Under 1 % Ownership)
Dango Ouattara – Brentford – 5.8 Midfielder – 0.7 % TSB –
- Brentford begin a great run of fixtures where they play teams that are all in the Bottom half of the Premier League table. Ouattara is the in-form midfielder for Brentford this season and is their highest-scoring midfielder despite starting only 15 Games this season. He also has got 9 attacking returns in the last 11 Gameweeks (in which he has played, was away for AFCON).
- Dango’s stats are impressive as he is ranked 5th among Midfielders for xGI per 90 and 3rd best for Big Chances per 90.
- He has had 10 Shots on Target, 27 Shots in the Box, 12 Big Chances, and created 5 Big Chances for his teammates. He has even got Defcon points twice this season.
- Dango is also famous for winning penalties. He has won 4 penalties this season, which makes up most of his Assist numbers.
- Finally, Dango also has a good fixture in Blank Gameweek 31 against Leeds. (This is an important consideration for any future transfer you make, provided you are not planning to use the Free Hit in Gameweek 31)
Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW27:
Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season
FPL GW27 Captaincy Metrics- Top Captain Picks based on Stats and Analysis
AK’s FPL GW27 Team Reveal & Transfer Plans | 3x Top 5K Finishes
Top FPL GW27 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW27 Scout Selection based on Stats and Matchups
FPL GW27 Transfer Targets and Watchlist based on Stats and Fixtures
FPL GW27 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL Gameweek 27 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
2025/26 FPL Chip Strategy Guide for the 2nd Half of the Season
Link to all our FPL GW27 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
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