Top FPL GW26 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline

The Differential Article had a good week, with 4 of our 6 picks returning with FPL Points. This week, we will be aiming to continue with some strong scores this Gameweek.

  • James Garner – Defcon – 4 Points
  • Valentin Taty – 1 Goal – 6 Points
  • Ismaila Sarr – 1 Goal – 8 Points
  • Chris Richards – 1 Clean Sheet, 2 Bonus – 8 Points

That makes it 63/150 picks that have returned FPL Points from our picks this Season.

In this article, we will be highlighting 5 Players who are less than 10% Owned and 1 Ultra Differential (less than 1% Owned) for all of you as of Sunday, 8th February, 2026. There are many more whom you guys can consider if you decide not to go with the 6 players mentioned below.

Link to all our FPL GW26 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

Top FPL GW26 Differential Picks

Daniel Munoz vs Burnley(H) – 5.8 Defender – 6.9 % TSB

  • Munoz and Palace have 2 Brilliant Home games against 19th and 20th position teams, Burnley and Wolves, and then face Leeds in Gameweek 30. They also face a out of form Spurs team in Gameweek 29. With such a strong run of fixtures, Munoz could be a great option to rise up the ranks in the next few weeks.
Palace next 5 fixtures
  • Munoz has 3 Goals and 3 Assists in only 16 starts this season. He has the 3rd highest xGI among Defenders (4.4) and ranks in the Top 5 for xA and Shots on Target among Defenders. He has had 7 Shots on Target, 14 Shots in the Box. He has created 4 Big Chances and been presented with 3 Big Chances. He looks to be the 3rd best attacking asset in the Palace team with only Sarr and Brennan Johnson ahead of him in terms of attacking positions.

Top Defenders for xGI/90 this season:

Data from stats.allaboutfpl.com (Fully Free)
  • Its not all about attacking returns either. Munoz tends to pick up the occasional Defcon 2 pointer. He has got those thrice this season and has come close quite a few times as well. Also, the chance for grabbing a Clean Sheet is higher in the next 2 Gameweeks as both Burnley and Wolves rank in the Bottom 3 for all attacking metrics such as Shots, Shots in the Box, Shots on Target, Big Chances, Non Penalty xG, xG, and Goals.

Further Read: Top FPL GW26 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline

Mateus Mane vs Forest(A), Arsenal(H) – 4.6 Forward – 2.2 % TSB

  • Mane still looks to be the Main Man for Wolves. Since his 2 goals, Mane has had 1 Big Chance and has created a further 2. Overall, he has had 10 Shots on Target, 4 Shots in the Box. He has had the Most Shots on Target among Wolves players so far this season, despite only starting 8 games this season.

FPL Points and xGI Data for Wolves Players since GW18:

Data from stats.allaboutfpl.com (Fully Free)
  • He also averages close to 6 Defensive Contributions per 90 minutes and could have a chance to get the extra 2 points against Arsenal and Forest. Forest still sit in the Bottom 3 for xGC, Big Chances conceded, and Shots in the Box conceded. They also shipped 3 Goals to Leeds, and Wolves could fancy their chances of an upset. Also, we have seen a lot of unpredictable things happening in Double Gameweeks, and backing a Differential over 2 games never hurts anyone.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 26 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell

Estevao vs Leeds(H) – 6.4 Midfielder – 2.6 % TSB

  • This pick is for the Mavericks. FPL Managers who chase the upside. Estevao did not get a single minute last Gameweek and thus looks to be in a prime position to start against Leeds in Gameweek 26. The last time Estevao started for Chelsea, he scored 1 goal and got an Assist to grab 13 FPL Points. That makes it 2 Goals and 5 Assists in his Debut season, that too in only 9 starts.
  • His stats are quite impressive considering his limited minutes. He has had 7 Shots on Target, 20 Shots in the Box, and 4 Big Chances. He has also created 4 Big Chances and played 14 key passes for his teammates. To be honest, he has looked Chelsea’s best winger this season, whenever he has played. Leeds have also conceded 25 Goals away from home and have only kept a single Clean Sheet all season. Leeds tend to struggle away from home and could be there for the taking against a revitalized Chelsea side under Rosenior.

Further Read: FPL GW26 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Jorgen Strand Larsen vs Burnley(H) – 6.1 Foward – 1.1 % TSB

  • Palace have 2 Brilliant Home games against 19th and 20th position teams, Burnley and Wolves, and then face Leeds in Gameweek 30. They also face an out-of-form Spurs team in Gameweek 29. With such a strong run of fixtures, Strand Larsen could be a good Cheap option in the Forward slots. He almost scored against Brighton, too, but was denied by a good save from Verbruggen.
Palace next 5 fixtures

Larsen Stats vs Brighton in GW25:

  • 3 Shots inside the box
  • 2 Shots on Target
  • 0.42 xGI

Note: Mateta is ruled out for GW26 vs Burnley as confirmed by Glasner, while it is still not confirmed if he will undergo surgery or not.

  • Due to his limited minutes this season, he has only 1 Goal and 1 assist this season. But he has been tremendously unlucky not to score more. He has registered almost 3.5 xG with 9 Shots on Target, 21 Shots in the Box, and 6 Big Chances. If he is to break the duck, he will not get a better set of fixtures to score than the next 3 Home Games.
  • Burnley are ranked the Bottom team for all Defensive metrics this season and have conceded the most Shots, Shots in the Box, Shots on Target, Big Chances, non-penalty xG, and xG. They have also conceded the most Goals. Wolves also rank in the Bottom 5 for most of these metrics, and Leeds tend to perform poorly away from home. Take a risk, and you may be rewarded.

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season

Crysencio Summerville vs Man United(H) – 5.6 Midfielder – 1.7 % TSB

  • 4 Goals in 4 Games, 2 Double Dight Hauls and 4 Defcon points in the last 4 Gameweeks. That’s what a hot streak looks like, and Summerville is currently on it. He ranks in the Top 6 for xG, Top 3 for Shots on Target (6), and Top for Shots in the Box (10) over the last 4 Gameweeks. Since Taty and Pablo’s introduction to the team, it’s the West Ham wingers who are profiting, and that has led to West Ham’s improved performances.

Top Midfielders for FPL Points over the last 4 Gameweeks:

Data from stats.allaboutfpl.com (Fully Free)
  • This week, Summerville faces a Manchester United side at home. Although United have improved overall, they still tend to struggle defensively. Look at the Fulham game for proof, where they conceded twice in the last 10 minutes. United also tend to struggle against pacy & direct wingers, and that’s where Summerville is at his best.

Further Read: 2025/26 FPL Chip Strategy Guide for the 2nd Half of the Season

Ultra Differential Pick for FPL GW26 (Under 1 % Ownership)

Gabriel Martinelli vs Brentford(A), Wolves(A)– 6.8 Midfielder –  0.9 % TSB

  • Martinelli has now come on for the last 30 minutes in 2 Consecutive Gameweeks and has got an Assist in both games. That adds to his other assists and solo Goal in the League. The problem with Martinelli is that he has only started 7 Games in the League. Despite his limited game time, he has decent stats with 7 Shots on Target, 18 Shots in the Box, and 4 Big Chances.
  • Martinelli has underperformed his xG of 2.65, which shows his lack of confidence due to limited minutes. However, that could now change due to Trossard picking up a muscle injury and Saka not likely available till Gameweek 27. That leaves Martinelli and Madueke as the only 2 fit wingers for Arsenal. When Martinelli plays regular football, he tends to do well as he is a confidence player. Proof of that is his performances in this season’s Champions League, where he has scored 6 Goals and got 1 Assist in 7 Starts. He could be a cheeky Differential for Double Gameweek 26 with big potential for FPL Points.

That’s it for Gameweek 26. We will be back with 6 More Differentials next Gameweek, where we will be hoping to get some positive returns from our current selected Differentials for Gameweek 26.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW26:

Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season
Top FPL Gameweek 26 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW26 Team Reveal- Transfers, Chip Strategy and Triple Captain?
FPL GW26 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
FPL Gameweek 26 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Top FPL GW26 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
FPL GW26 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
2025/26 FPL Chip Strategy Guide for the 2nd Half of the Season

Link to all our FPL GW26 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 26 of the 2025/26 FPL Season?

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