Top FPL Gameweek 25 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 25 Captaincy metrics blog. Haaland faces a difficult away fixture against the defending champions, while the on-fire Red Devils face Spurs at Home. League leaders Arsenal welcome Sunderland at home and Joao Pedro and Enzo Fernandez round up the Metrics with an away game vs Wolves. Without further ado, let’s get into it and see who tops the captaincy metrics this week.

Total metrics points: 14 + 4 + 18 + 26 + 10 + 32 + 16 + 26 + 4 + 26 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 28 + 4 + 26 + 32 + 4 + 4 + 8 + 12 + 4 + 2 + 10 = 322 points

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.

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FPL GW25 Captaincy Metrics

Bruno Fernandes tops the captaincy poll this week with 36% of the votes and will be up against Spurs at home. Joao Pedro is 2nd with 25% of the votes and will be up against Wolves (A). Gabriel is 3rd in the captaincy poll this week with 10% of the votes & will be facing Sunderland at home. Enzo Fernandes, who has scored 4 goals and an assist in the last 6 league games, is fourth in the captaincy poll with 6% votes. For the first time in years, Haaland is 5th in the captaincy poll this week as he faces a tough away fixture against Liverpool.

Further Read: Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 25 Captain Picks

Enzo Fernandez tops the table with 10 shots in the box, 3 Big chances, and an xG of 2.72 in the last six games.

Haaland is 2nd with an xG of 2.67 in the last six games. He’s also had 4 big chances and 15 shots inside the box. He ranks Top for Shots inside the box among these 5 players.

Joao Pedro is 3rd with an xG of 1.39 in the last six games. He’s had 3 big chances and taken 7 shots inside the box during the period.

Gabriel stands 4th with an xG of 0.87, managing 6 shots inside the box and 3 big chances in total.

Finally, Bruno Fernandes stands last with an xG of 0.66 and 4 shots inside the box and 2 big chances. Even though Bruno is last for xG, He is Top for Chances Created (23) among these players.

Further Read: FPL Gameweek 25 Transfer Tips – Players to Buy, Hold, Sell

Underlying numbers of Candidate’s teams

Chelsea take the top spot and have registered 13.04 xG, 20 Big Chances, and 57 Shots inside the box in the last six games. Arsenal are up next with 65 shots inside the box and 20 big chances during the period, and an xG of 10.23.

Manchester United take the fourth spot with 65 shots inside the box and 21 big chances during the period and an xG of 9.75.

Manchester City are last with 67 shots inside the box and 15 big chances during the period and an xG of 9.21.

Further Read: FPL GW25 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Fixture Difficulty of the Candidate Team in FPL GW25

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.

Arsenal have 90% odds to get at least one goal and 49% odds to get 2 or more Goals this Gameweek vs Sunderland (H). They are Top for both the metrics.

Manchester City are 2nd with 84% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Liverpool (A) and 31% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.

Manchester United are 3rd with 81% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Spurs (H) and 25% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.

Lastly, Chelsea are 4th with 70% odds of at least 1 goal vs Wolves (A) and 12% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.

Further Read: Best FPL Gameweek 25 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 25 Captain Picks

In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. 

Gabriel is first with an anytime returns projection of 70% and a 6.6 points projection in FPL Gameweek 25 vs Sunderland (H).

Haaland is second and has an anytime returns projection of 62% and a 6.6 points projection, while Brubno is third with anytime returns projection of 52% and a points projection of 6.6.

Teammates Pedro and Enzo are joint 4th. Pedro has an anytime returns projection of 47% and a 4.7 points projection. Enzo has an anytime returns projection of 42% and a points projection of 5.3 vs Wolves (A).

Further Read: 2025/26 FPL Chip Strategy Guide for the 2nd Half of the Season

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 25 Captaincy metrics

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option. 

Gabriel is top of the captaincy metrics with a cumulative rank factor of 9, Enzo is a close second with a CRF of 10, and Haaland is third with a CRF value of 11. Joao Pedro and Bruno Fernandes come 4th and 5th respectively, with a CRF of 12 and 15.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW25:

Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season
FPL GW25 Transfer Targets and Watchlist
Top FPL Gameweek 25 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 25 Transfer Tips- Players to Buy, Hold, Sell based on Stats and Fixtures
FPL GW25 Team Selection from AK FPL- 3 Time Top 5k finisher
FPL GW25 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Best FPL GW25 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
FPL GW25 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
2025/26 FPL Chip Strategy Guide for the 2nd Half of the Season

Link to all our FPL GW25 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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