Top FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 22 Captaincy metrics blog. We are finally back for Gameweek 22 after a much-needed break from FPL after the congested festive period, with Haaland facing Manchester United away, Ekitike, who came back from injury, is preparing to face Burnley at home, and Bruno G will be travelling away at Wolves. Ekitike’s teammate, Wirtz, would also be hoping to add to his recent goal involvements, while Rogers would be relishing the game against Everton at Villa Park. Without further ado, let’s get into it and see who tops the captaincy metrics this week.

Total metrics points: 14 + 4 + 18 + 26 + 10 + 32 + 16 + 26 + 4 + 26 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 28 + 4 + 26 + 32 + 4 + 4 + 8 + 12 = 306 points

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.

Link to all our FPL GW22 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW22 Captaincy Metrics

Erling Haaland, tops the captaincy poll for Gameweek 22 with 35% of the votes at the time of writing. Ekitike, who came on as a substitute and scored a goal after also provided an assist, against Barnsley in the FA Cup, finds himself in the second spot with 17% vote share. Bruno G who keeps overperforming his underlying stats, finds himself in the third spot with 14% of vote share.

Finally, Ekitike’s teammate Florian Wirtz and Morgan Rogers round up the Captaincy candidates for GW22.

Further Read: FPL GW22 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks

Haaland tops the table with 21 shots in the box, 10 Big chances, and an xG of 4.41 in the last six games.

Rogers is 2nd with an xG of 2.38 in the last six games. He’s also had 2 big chances and 12 shots inside the box.

Ekitike is 3rd with an xG of 2.35 in the last six games. He’s had 4 big chances and taken 13 shots inside the box during the period.

Wirtz stands 4th with an xG of 2.03, amassing 8 shots inside the box and 3 big chances in total. He also has created 12 chances for his teammates, the most out of all 5 candidates.

Finally, Bruno G stands last with an xG of 1.69 and a measly 4 shots inside the box and 3 big chances.

Further Read: AK’s FPL GW22 Team Reveal & Transfer Plans | 3x Top 5K Finishes

Underlying numbers of Candidate’s teams

Manchester City and Newcastle United, both take the top spot and have registered 10.55 xG each in the last six games. City have had 68 shots inside the box and 23 big chances during the period, while Newcastle have had 64 shots inside the box and 23 big chances.

Aston Villa have registered 9.25 xG in the last six games and take up the 3rd spot. They have had 44 shots inside the box and 18 big chances.

Finally, Liverpool take up the 4th spot with an xG of 7.86, having registered 48 shots inside the box and 11 Big chances in total

Further Read: FPL GW22 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Stats & Eye Test

Fixture Difficulty of the Candidate Team in FPL GW22

In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates. 

We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.

Liverpool have 90% odds to get at least one goal and 49% odds to get 2 or more Goals this Gameweek vs Burnley (H).

Manchester City are 3rd with 87% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Manchester United (A) and 39% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.

Newcastle United are 4th with 81% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Wolves (A) and 23% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.

Lastly, Aston Villa are 5th with 80% odds of at least 1 goal vs Everton (H) and 20% odds of scoring 2 or more goals.

Further Read: FPL GW22 Wildcard Team – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks

In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week. 

Haaland is first with an anytime returns projection of 69% and a 7.7 points projection in FPL Gameweek 22 vs Manchester United (A).

Ekitike is second and has an anytime returns projection of 68% and a 7.2 points projection vs Burnley (H), while Wirtz and Bruno G are joint – third and have an anytime returns projection of 44% and 42%, and a points projection of 5.2 and 5.7, respectively.

Finally, Rogers is 5th and has an anytime returns projection of 40% and a points projection of 4.8 vs Everton (H).

Further Read: Top FPL GW22 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 22 Captaincy metrics

In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option. 

Haaland tops the captaincy metrics with a cumulative rank factor of 6, Ekitike is 2nd with a CRF of 10. Wirtz is 3rd with a CRF of 12, Bruno G is 4th with a CRF of 13, and Rogers is last with a CRF of 15.

Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW22

Upcoming FPL Double/Blank Gameweeks | 25/26 FPL Season
FPL GW22 Scout Picks based on Stats and Matchups
Top FPL Gameweek 22 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
Best FPL GW22 Differential Picks(<10% TSB)
AK’s FPL GW22 Team Reveal and Transfer Plans
FPL GW22 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Stats & Eye Test
FPL GW22 Wildcard Team – Tips, Players to Target and Best Drafts
FPL Gameweek 22 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Best FPL Budget Enablers to Target – Position-wise from GW22 Onwards
FPL GW22 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW22 blogs, including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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