Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 17 Captaincy metrics blog. Haaland, who topped the captaincy metrics last week, outscored Saka, who was the most popular captain choice last week. This week, Haaland & Foden will face West Ham at home. Semenyo, who scored a goal at Old Trafford in GW16, will be facing Burnley at home. Let’s see who comes out on top of the captaincy metrics.
This season, we have an 10/16 returns record. Last season, the metrics finished with 686 pts(26/38 returns), the metrics had a “26/38 returns record” in the 23/24 season, 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season, and “30/38 returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 14 + 4 + 18 + 26 + 10 + 32 + 16 + 26 + 4 + 26 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 28 + 4 + 26 = 246 points
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW17 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW17 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW17 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom of the Crowd
Haaland, who’ll be up against West Ham(H), comes up first in the captaincy poll as expected with 72% of the votes. Foden, who is in red-hot form, is 2nd in the captaincy poll this week with 9% of the votes. Semenyo, Thiago, and Ekitike are 3rd, 4th, and 5th, respectively, in the captaincy poll this week.
Note: Thiago is yellow-flagged after he missed the midweek Carabao Cup game vs Man City due to a knock.
“Jordan and Thiago both picked up little knocks against Leeds,” Andrews revealed.
“I don’t know yet, is the honest answer, on exactly how they are. They’ve been with medics today, and we’ll see how they are going into the game on Saturday.”
Further Read: Top FPL GW17 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks
Haaland tops the table with 15 shots in the box, 7 Big chances, and an xG of 4.81 in the last six games.
Thiago is 2nd with an xG of 4.34 in the last six games. He’s also had 8 big chances and 13 shots inside the box.
Foden is 3rd with an xG of 2.82 in the last six games, he’s had 6 big chances, created 7 chances & taken 12 shots inside the box during the period.
Ekitike is 4th with an xG of 1.89 in the last six games and has had 4 big chances & 11 goal attempts in the box. The Liverpool forward has registered back-to-back double-digit hauls and will be looking to continue his goal-scoring run.
Semenyo is 5th with an xG of 1.50 in the last six games. He’s had only one big chance and has created 9 chances which is the highest amongst the five players in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 17 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Underlying numbers of Candidate’s teams
Man City take the top spot and have registered 12.88 xG in thelast six games. The blues have had 65 shots inside the box and 18 big chances during the period.
Bournemouth have registered 11.22 xG in the last six games and take up the 3rd spot. They have had 63 shots inside the box and 16 big chances.
Liverpool are 4th in the table with an xG of 9.03 during the last 6 matches. They have 61 Shots inside the box and 14 Big chances during this run.
The Bees are last with an xG of 8.68 during the last 6 matches. They have 43 Shots inside the box and 16 Big chances during this run.
Further Read: FPL GW17 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Fixture Difficulty of the Candidate Team in FPL GW17
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Man City have 90% odds to get atleast one goal and 58% odds to get >2 Goals this Gameweek vs West Ham(H) this gameweek.
Bournemouth are 3rd with 86% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Fulham(A) and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW17 against Burnley(H).
Liverpool are 4th with 80% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs Spurs(A) and 27% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW17.
Brentford are last with 75% odds of at least 1 goal in the Gameweek and a 22% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Wolves(A).
Further Read: Best Mbeumo Replacements to Consider ahead of FPL GW17
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks
In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is first with an anytime returns projection of 78% and a 9.5 points projection in FPL Gameweek 15 vs West Ham(H).
Foden is second and has an anytime returns projection of 54% and a 6.5 points projection vs West Ham(H).
Semenyo is 3rd here. He has an anytime returns projection of 53% and a points projection of 6.1 vs Burnley(H).
Ekitike is 4th and has an anytime returns projection of 50% and a points projection of 4.9 against Spurs(A).
Thiago is 5th with the Brentford attacker having an anytime returns projection of 48% and a points projection of 4.1 against Wolves(A). His predicted points are less becuase of his low xMins this week due to his injury concern.
Further Read: FPL GW17 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 17 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Haaland tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of 4, the least possible cumulative rank factor in our captaincy metrics. Foden is close behind in 2nd with a CRF of 7, and Semenyo is 3rd with a CRF of 14. Ekitike and Thiago are 4th and 5th in the captaincy metrics for GW17, with a CRF of 16 and 17, respectively.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW17
Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
Top FPL Gameweek 17 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 17 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Top FPL GW17 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of Deadline
Best Mbeumo Replacements to Consider ahead of FPL GW17
FPL GW17 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW17 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis, and Matchups
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