Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 12 Captaincy metrics blog. Haaland was once again amongst the goals last Gameweek(despite the missed penalty) & will be up against Newcastle. Salah has a good fixture at home vs Forest. Saka who got a 12 pointer in GW11 plays the North London Derby at home. Mateta and Mbeumo are also in consideration with both form and fixtures on their side. Let’s see who comes out on top of the captaincy metrics.
This season, we have an 8/11 returns record. Last season, the metrics finished with 686 pts(26/38 returns), the metrics had a “26/38 returns record” in the 23/24 season, 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season, and “30/38 returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 14 + 4 + 18 + 26 + 10 + 32 + 16 + 26 + 4 + 26 + 4 = 180 points
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
Link to all our FPL GW12 blogs including scout picks, players to target, buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, best forwards, and more. Completely free to access as well!
FPL GW12 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW12 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom of the Crowd
Haaland, despite facing Newcastle(A), comes up first in the captaincy poll with 42% of the votes. Mateta despite his blank last week is 2nd with 17% of the votes and will be facing Wolves(A). Mbeumo who has most FPL Points over the last 4 matches(among active players) is 3rd with 12% of the votes and will be playing Everton(H) this week. The Premiums- Salah(vs NFO) and Saka(vs TOT) both have home games and are joint 4th with 6% of votes each.
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 12 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks
Mateta tops the table with 19 shots in the box, 11 big chances, and an xG of 5.40 in the last six games. The only caveat is that most part of this xG(More than 3.0 xG) came in a single game vs Bournemouth in GW8.
Haaland is 2nd with an xG of 4.83 in the last six games. He’s also had 12 big chances and 24 shots inside the box.
Mo Salah is 3rd with an xG of 2.39 in the last six games, he’s also had 7 big chances and created 15 chances which is the highest amongst the five players during the period.
Saka is 4th with an xG of 2.11 in the last six games and has had 4 big chances & 11 goal attempts in the box. He’s also created 12 chances.
Mbeumo is 5th with an xG of 1.36 in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW12 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Underlying numbers of Candidate’s teams
Arsenal take the top spot and have registered 11.94 xG in the last six games. Gunners have had 76 shots inside the box(Also the Highest among these 5 teams) and 21 big chances during the period.
Liverpool have registered 10.93 xG in the last six games and take up the second spot. They have had 61 shots inside the box and 24 big chances(Highest among these 5 teams) during the period.
Crystal Palace are 3rd in the table with an xG of 10.79. The Blues have also registered 57 goal attempts in the box and have had 20 big chances in their last six games.
Manchester City are 4th in the table with an xG of 10.17 during the last 6 matches. They have 70 Shots inside the box and 20 Big chances during this run.
Manchester United are 5th in the table with an xG of 8.29 and have had 17 big chances and 50 goal attempts in the box.
Further Read: Top FPL GW12 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW12 Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW12
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Liverpool and Arsenal are joint Top in this table. Liverpool have 42% odds to get >2 Goals this Gameweek vs NFO which is the Highest among all Teams. They have 83% odds to get atleast one goal which is the 2nd Highest.
Arsenal are at 87% odds of at least 1 goal in this Gameweek vs TOT(H) which is the Highest and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW12.
Manchester City are 3rd and have 80% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Newcastle(A)
Manchester United are 4th with a 77% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Everton(H).
Crystal Palace are last with 75% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and only a 23% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Wolves(A).
Further Read: FPL GW12 – Fixtures & Players to Target for Gameweek 12
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks
In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is first with an anytime returns projection of 67% and a 7.4 points projection in FPL Gameweek 12 vs Newcastle(A).
Salah is second and has an anytime returns projection of 62% and a 7.0 points projection vs Forest(H)
Saka is third with an anytime returns projection of 57% and a points projection of 6.5 vs Tottenham(H).
Mateta is 4th with an anytime returns projection of 57% and a points projection of 6.1 against Wolves(A).
Mbeumo is 5th with the United attacker having an anytime returns projection of 48% and a points projection of 5.8 against Everton(H).
Further Read: Best Defenders/Gabriel Replacements for FPL GW12 & Beyond
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 12 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Mo Salah tops the captaincy metrics with a cumulative rank factor of 8 this week. Saka is a close 2nd with a CRF of 9, followed by Haaland who is again close and finishes 3rd with a CRF of 10. Mateta finishes 4th with a CRF of 13 and Mbeumo finishes last with a CRF of 19.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW12
Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
Top FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL Gameweek 12 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold, & Sell
Top FPL GW12 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW12 Deadline
FPL GW12 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
FPL GW12 – Fixtures & Players to Target for Gameweek 12
Best Defenders/Gabriel Replacements for FPL GW12 & Beyond
FPL GW12 Transfer Targets & Watchlist Based on Eye Test & Stats
Best GWs to Use Your Free Hit & Triple Captain Chips (GW12–19)
FPL GW12 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Link to all our FPL GW12 blogs, including buy, hold, sell analysis, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer targets, and more. Completely free to access as well!
Thanks for reading the “FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks and Metrics“ blog. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for regular blogs. Also, follow our 220,000+ community on Instagram, Threads, Facebook, and Twitter to stay updated on regular Posts and FPL updates.
What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 12 of the 2025/26 FPL Season?
We’ll be covering differential picks, transfer targets, Buy, Hold, Sell analysis, Scout picks, Gameweek preview, Captaincy metrics, FPL GW12 tips, and more. Keep checking allaboutfpl.com for all our blogs. We’ll also be posting regularly about the same on our social media accounts, so follow us on Twitter, Threads, Instagram, Facebook, and keep our notifications ON.
Our content is always free, and if you like our content, do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)
FPL GW12 FPL Deadline Countdown
Login and set your team for FPL GW12 now!
AK - Anurag Khetan
Latest posts by AK - Anurag Khetan (see all)
- Top FPL Gameweek 14 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics - December 2, 2025
- Top FPL Gameweek 13 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics - November 28, 2025
- Top FPL Gameweek 12 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics - November 21, 2025
