Welcome to the FPL Gameweek 9 Captaincy metrics blog. Haaland is in red-hot form, and obviously, he’s the most popular captain choice. He was once again on the scoresheet against Villarreal in the midweek UCL game. Semenyo, who has been the standout midfielder this season, is a good captaincy option and will be up against Nottingham Forest. Newcastle face Fulham, who have only one clean sheet this season, making Woltemade a decent captaincy shout too. Let’s see who comes out on top of the captaincy metrics.
This season, we have a 7/8 returns record. Last season, the metrics finished with 686 pts(26/38 returns), the metrics had a “26/38 returns record” in the 23/24 season, 31/37 “returns record” in the 22/23 season, and “30/38 returns record” in the 21/22 season. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)
Total metrics points: 14 + 4 + 18 + 26 + 10 + 32 + 16 + 26 = 146 points
Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week.
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FPL GW9 Captaincy Metrics
FPL GW9 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd
Haaland is top of the captaincy poll with 44% of votes, the highest by a distance, which isn’t a surprise. He’ll be playing Unai Emery’s Aston Villa at Villa Park. Semenyo, who has 70 FPL points in the first 8 gameweeks, is 2nd in the captaincy poll with 33% of the votes and will be playing Nottingham Forest(H). The rest of the top three is completed by Saka, Woltemade, and Joao Pedro.
Further Read: Team Wise Players to Target from FPL GW9 onwards
Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 9 Captain picks
Haaland tops the table without any surprise, with 26 shots in the box, 13 big chances, and an xG of 6.23 in the last six games.
Woltemade is 2nd with an xG of 2.65 in the last six games. He’s also had 5 big chances and 11 shots inside the box.
Semenyo is 3rd with an xG of 2.14 in the last six games, he’s also had 3 big chances and 11 goal attempts in the box.
Saka is 4th with an xG of 1.29 in the last six games and has had 2 big chances & 9 goal attempts in the box so far this season. He’s also created 13 chances, which is the highest amongst the six players during the period.
Joao Pedro is only 5th with an xG of 0.88 in the last six games. He’s also had only 4 goal attempts in the box in the last six games.
Further Read: FPL GW9 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Underlying numbers of Candidate’s teams
Man City have registered 10.58 xG in the last six games and take up the top spot. They have had 59 shots inside the box and 22 big chances during the period.
Arsenal have registered 9.89 xG in the last six games and take up the 2nd spot. They have had 79 shots inside the box and 18 big chances during the period.
Chelsea are 3rd in the table with an xG of 8.52. The Reds have also registered 48 goal attempts in the box and have had 14 big chances in their last six games.
Newcastle are 4th in the table with an xG of 7.67 and have had 9 big chances and 43 goal attempts in the box.
Bournemouth are 5th in the table with an xG of 7.47 and have had 10 big chances and 44 goal attempts in the box.
Further Read: Top FPL GW9 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW9 Deadline
Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW9
In the Third Phase of the Article, we look at the Fixture Difficulty of our 5 Candidates.
We will use DraftHound’s odds for a Team scoring at least one goal in the Gameweek and the Odds of scoring more than 2.0 goals in the Gameweek as a whole.
Chelsea are top with a 87% odds of at least 1 goal in gameweek one and 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals in FPL GW9 against Sunderland(H).
Arsenal are 2nd with a 86% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 38% odds of scoring 2+ goals against Crystal Palace(H).
Newcastle are 3rd and have 82% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and a 31% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Fulham(H)
Man City are only 4th with a 80% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and only a 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Aston Villa(A).
Bournemouth are last with 78% odds of at least 1 goal in the gameweek and only a 29% odds of scoring 2+ goals this week against Nottingham Forest(H).
Further Read: FPL Gameweek 9 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 9 Captain Picks
In the fourth phase of the article, I used the Anytime Returns and Projected Points tools available at Fantasy Football Hub. With the help of the Anytime Returns Tool, I have derived the Safety Rank, which helps in determining the Safest Captaincy Option of the week, while I have used the Projected Points Tool to determine the Explosion Rank, which helps in determining the Most Explosive Option of the week.
Haaland is first with an anytime returns projection of 68% and a 7.5 points projection in FPL Gameweek 9 vs Aston Villa(A)
Saka is second and has an anytime returns projection of 57% and a 6.2 points projection vs Crystal Palace(H)
Semenyo is third with an anytime returns projection of 50% and a points projection of 6.0 vs Nottingham Forest(H)
Woltemade is fourth with an anytime returns projection of 47% and a points projection of 4.7 against Fulham(H).
Joao Pedro is also 4th with the Chelsea forward having an anytime returns projection of 46% and a points projection of 5.2 against Sunderland(H).
Further Read: FPL GW9 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 9 Captaincy metrics
In the Fifth and Final Phase of the article, I have aggregated the Ranks derived above to pull out the Cumulative Rank Factor (CRF). According to our captaincy metrics, the candidate with the lowest cumulative rank factor is the ideal captaincy option.
Haaland tops the captaincy metrics with a CRF of 7, and Saka is 2nd with a CRF of 10. Woltemade & Joao Pedro are 3rd with a cumulative rank factor of 13, and Semenyo is last with a CRF of 16.
Further Reads from ALLABOUTFPL Ahead of FPL GW9
FPL Gameweek 9 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold & Sell
FPL GW9 Scout Picks Based on Stats, Analysis and Matchups
Top FPL GW9 Differential Picks to Target Ahead of GW9 Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 9 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW9 Predicted Lineups, Injuries, & Press Conference Updates
Team Wise Players to Target from FPL GW9 onwards
FPL GW9 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
Premier League Players who will miss PL due to AFCON 2025
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AK - Anurag Khetan
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